Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo Statistics & Analysis

Luckenwalde

May 10, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 63%

BFC Dynamo

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Luckenwalde BFC Dynamo ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 15:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2769556

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result BFC Dynamo win · Luckenwalde 0–1 BFC Dynamo

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga Nordost
Fixture: Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Luckenwalde 1.45 — BFC Dynamo 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 03, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Nordost — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Lokomotive Lipsia	34	23	3	8	72
2	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	34	22	6	6	72
3	FSV Zwickau	34	19	7	8	64
4	Hallescher FC	34	19	6	9	63
5	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	34	17	10	7	61
6	Altglienicke	34	14	11	9	53
7	Chemnitzer FC	34	14	9	11	51
8	BFC Preussen	34	14	8	12	50
9	Magdeburg II	34	15	4	15	49
10	Luckenwalde	34	11	10	13	43
11	SV Babelsberg 03	34	11	8	15	41
12	BFC Dynamo	34	10	10	14	40
13	BSG Chemie Lipsia	34	12	4	18	40
14	Hertha BSC U21	34	11	7	16	40
15	Greifswalder FC	34	9	11	14	38
16	ZFC Meuselwitz	34	8	9	17	33
17	Eilenburg	34	4	11	19	23
18	Hertha Zehlendorf	34	2	8	24	14

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	34	68	47	+21	61
2	SV Babelsberg 03	34	67	65	+2	41
3	Lokomotive Lipsia	34	65	30	+35	72
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	34	65	35	+30	72
5	Hallescher FC	34	63	36	+27	63
6	Magdeburg II	34	61	55	+6	49
7	Chemnitzer FC	34	56	52	+4	51
8	FSV Zwickau	34	52	44	+8	64
9	Altglienicke	34	50	40	+10	53
10	BFC Preussen	34	50	55	-5	50
11	Hertha BSC U21	34	46	60	-14	40
12	BFC Dynamo	34	45	50	-5	40
13	ZFC Meuselwitz	34	44	61	-17	33
14	BSG Chemie Lipsia	34	43	49	-6	40
15	Greifswalder FC	34	40	45	-5	38
16	Luckenwalde	34	36	45	-9	43
17	Eilenburg	34	35	68	-33	23
18	Hertha Zehlendorf	34	30	79	-49	14