Waldgirmes vs VfB Marburg Statistics & Analysis

Waldgirmes

May 23, 2026 - 15:30

0 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 63%

VfB Marburg

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Waldgirmes VfB Marburg ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 2-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 21:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1512661

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result VfB Marburg win · Waldgirmes 0–1 VfB Marburg

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Assia
Fixture: Waldgirmes vs VfB Marburg
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Waldgirmes 1.45 — VfB Marburg 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 38.0% · Over 2.5 62.0%); BTTS No (Yes 43.0% · No 57.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 43.0% · No 57.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Assia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Eintracht Frankfurt II	34	29	3	2	90
2	Eddersheim	34	19	7	8	64
3	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	34	16	11	7	59
4	FC Gießen	34	18	4	12	57
5	Baunatal	34	16	8	10	55
6	TuBa Pohlheim	34	15	9	10	54
7	Friedberg	34	14	7	13	49
8	Hünfelder SV	34	15	3	16	48
9	1960 Hanau	34	14	5	15	47
10	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	34	13	8	13	47
11	Darmstadt 98 II	34	13	6	15	45
12	VfB Marburg	34	13	6	15	45
13	Hummetroth	34	13	5	16	41
14	Fernwald	34	11	9	14	42
15	Kassel	34	10	9	15	39
16	Waldgirmes	34	9	6	19	33
17	Weidenhausen	34	5	7	22	22
18	Hanau 93	34	3	7	24	15

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Eintracht Frankfurt II	34	100	34	+66	90
2	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	34	90	76	+14	47
3	Eddersheim	34	75	50	+25	64
4	Darmstadt 98 II	34	75	69	+6	45
5	FC Gießen	34	74	57	+17	57
6	TuBa Pohlheim	34	74	62	+12	54
7	Hünfelder SV	34	68	64	+4	48
8	Baunatal	34	64	52	+12	55
9	Hummetroth	34	64	64	0	41
10	Kassel	34	63	82	-19	39
11	Fernwald	34	59	54	+5	42
12	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	34	57	42	+15	59
13	Friedberg	34	57	59	-2	49
14	1960 Hanau	34	49	66	-17	47
15	VfB Marburg	34	47	58	-11	45
16	Waldgirmes	34	47	69	-22	33
17	Weidenhausen	34	43	92	-49	22
18	Hanau 93	34	35	92	-57	15