Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Nordost-Süd / Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen

Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen Statistics & Analysis

Auerbach Auerbach
May 30, 2026 - 12:00
4 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 40%
Budissa Bautzen Budissa Bautzen
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Auerbach Auerbach ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 11:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1592968

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Auerbach win · Auerbach 4–2 Budissa Bautzen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd
  • Fixture: Auerbach vs Budissa Bautzen
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-30 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Auerbach 1.45 — Budissa Bautzen 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 41.2% · Over 2.5 58.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 68.5% · No 31.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 68.5% · No 31.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.0%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Oberliga - Nordost-Süd — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 RSV Eintracht 30 20 8 2 68
2 SC Freital 30 19 2 9 59
3 VfB Plauen 30 18 5 7 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51
5 Germania Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 48
6 VfL Halle 30 13 7 10 46
7 Budissa Bautzen 30 12 9 9 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 43
9 Union Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 39
10 Empor Glauchau 29 10 7 12 37
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 29 9 6 14 33
13 FC Lok Stendal 30 8 6 16 30
14 FC Grimma 30 8 4 18 28
15 Bischofswerdaer FV 30 6 7 17 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 20
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 VfL Halle 30 68 45 +23 46
2 RSV Eintracht 30 61 29 +32 68
3 SC Freital 30 57 28 +29 59
4 Budissa Bautzen 30 57 46 +11 45
5 VfB Plauen 30 52 28 +24 59
6 Auerbach 30 51 37 +14 51
7 Germania Halberstadt 30 49 44 +5 48
8 Krieschow 30 48 42 +6 43
9 FC Grimma 30 47 73 -26 28
10 Empor Glauchau 29 42 49 -7 37
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 41 58 -17 33
12 FC Lok Stendal 30 41 59 -18 30
13 Union Sandersdorf 30 40 41 -1 39
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 29 36 56 -20 33
15 Bischofswerdaer FV 30 36 61 -25 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 33 63 -30 20