VfR Mannheim vs Oberachern Statistics & Analysis

VfR Mannheim

May 30, 2026 - 13:30

4 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 40%

Oberachern

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 VfR Mannheim VfR Mannheim ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 15:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1725537

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result VfR Mannheim win · VfR Mannheim 4–2 Oberachern

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Fixture: VfR Mannheim vs Oberachern
Kickoff: 2026-05-30 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): VfR Mannheim 1.45 — Oberachern 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.9% · Over 2.5 65.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 69.4% · No 30.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 69.4% · No 30.6%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	VfR Aalen	34	26	5	3	83
2	VfR Mannheim	34	20	9	5	69
3	FC Nöttingen	34	18	4	12	58
4	FV Ravensburg	34	16	9	9	57
5	Essingen	34	14	12	8	54
6	Oberachern	34	16	6	12	54
7	CFR Pforzheim	34	12	12	10	48
8	Reutlingen	34	12	11	11	47
9	FC 08 Villingen	34	12	11	11	47
10	Karlsruhe II	34	11	10	13	43
11	Backnang	34	12	7	16	42
12	TSV Singen	34	12	4	18	40
13	Normannia Gmünd	34	9	12	13	39
14	Türkspor Neckarsulm	34	11	6	17	39
15	Göppinger SV	34	9	9	16	36
16	Hollenbach	34	9	8	17	35
17	Bissingen	34	7	12	15	33
18	Denzlingen	34	5	4	25	19

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	VfR Aalen	34	87	24	+63	83
2	FC Nöttingen	34	82	61	+21	58
3	VfR Mannheim	34	81	34	+47	69
4	CFR Pforzheim	34	68	61	+7	48
5	FV Ravensburg	34	61	52	+9	57
6	Reutlingen	34	56	50	+6	47
7	Hollenbach	34	56	69	-13	35
8	FC 08 Villingen	34	55	56	-1	47
9	TSV Singen	34	55	81	-26	40
10	Essingen	34	54	58	-4	54
11	Karlsruhe II	34	54	61	-7	43
12	Oberachern	34	54	62	-8	54
13	Bissingen	34	54	81	-27	33
14	Normannia Gmünd	34	53	51	+2	39
15	Göppinger SV	34	53	53	0	36
16	Türkspor Neckarsulm	34	52	61	-9	39
17	Backnang	34	50	67	-17	42
18	Denzlingen	34	35	78	-43	19