Statistiche / Calcio / Italia. Campionato Primavera 1 / Torino Primavera vs Lazio U20

Torino Primavera vs Lazio U20 Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 09:00
4 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 draw Torino Primavera ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1547237

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Torino Primavera win · Torino Primavera 4–1 Lazio U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Campionato Primavera 1
  • Fixture: Torino Primavera vs Lazio U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Torino Primavera 1.45 — Lazio U20 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 53.1% · Over 2.5 46.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 68
2 Parma Primavera 38 19 11 8 68
3 Cesena Primavera 38 19 10 9 67
4 Roma Primavera 38 17 12 9 63
5 Bologna Primavera 38 17 11 10 62
6 Inter Primavera 38 16 11 11 59
7 Atalanta Primavera 38 14 15 9 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54
10 Genoa Primavera 38 12 14 12 50
11 Milan U20 38 11 16 11 49
12 Hellas Verona Primavera 38 12 12 14 48
13 Torino Primavera 38 11 14 13 47
14 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 47
15 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 47
16 Sassuolo Primavera 38 10 14 14 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 40
18 Cagliari Primavera 38 10 9 19 39
19 Frosinone Primavera 38 8 11 19 35
20 Cremonese U19 38 6 6 26 24
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Fiorentina U20 38 70 48 +22 68
2 Cesena Primavera 38 70 52 +18 67
3 Inter Primavera 38 70 61 +9 59
4 Roma Primavera 38 59 35 +24 63
5 Parma Primavera 38 59 38 +21 68
6 Hellas Verona Primavera 38 55 61 -6 48
7 Bologna Primavera 38 54 40 +14 62
8 Atalanta Primavera 38 54 47 +7 57
9 Lecce U20 38 54 53 +1 54
10 Juventus U20 38 52 48 +4 55
11 Milan U20 38 51 49 +2 49
12 Sassuolo Primavera 38 51 58 -7 44
13 Torino Primavera 38 50 50 0 47
14 Genoa Primavera 38 49 52 -3 50
15 Cagliari Primavera 38 49 62 -13 39
16 Frosinone Primavera 38 47 76 -29 35
17 Lazio U20 38 44 51 -7 47
18 Napoli U20 38 39 55 -16 40
19 Monza U20 38 37 45 -8 47
20 Cremonese U19 38 31 64 -33 24