Statistiche / Calcio / Ucraina. Persha Liga Ucraina / Inhulets vs Livyi Bereh

Inhulets vs Livyi Bereh Statistics & Analysis

Jun 01, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Inhulets Livyi Bereh ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 29, 2026 · 08:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2336856

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds 2.39
CLV Pending
Final Result Livyi Bereh win · Inhulets 1–3 Livyi Bereh
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 41.8%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Building sample

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Persha Liga Ucraina
  • Fixture: Inhulets vs Livyi Bereh
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-01 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Inhulets 1.45 — Livyi Bereh 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 56.2% · Implied: 46.7% · Probability edge: +9.5 pts · Est. EV: +12.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 47.1% · No 52.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.0%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Persha Liga Ucraina Persha Liga Ucraina — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 81
2 Chornomorets Odessa 30 19 8 3 65
3 Livyi Bereh 30 19 6 5 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 46
6 Prykarpattia 30 9 10 11 37
7 Metal Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 36
9 Yarud Mariupol' 30 9 9 12 36
10 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 30 10 6 14 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 34
13 Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 30
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 21
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 19
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bukovyna 30 74 21 +53 81
2 Livyi Bereh 30 50 21 +29 63
3 Chornomorets Odessa 30 44 20 +24 65
4 Inhulets 30 41 32 +9 46
5 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 30 37 38 -1 36
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 36 28 +8 53
7 Prykarpattia 30 33 33 0 37
8 Yarud Mariupol' 30 31 32 -1 36
9 Metal Kharkiv 30 31 35 -4 37
10 Chernihiv 30 30 36 -6 31
11 UCSA 30 30 40 -10 36
12 Probiy Horodenka 30 29 37 -8 36
13 Nyva Ternopil 30 24 34 -10 34
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 23 36 -13 30
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 20 45 -25 21
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 16 61 -45 19