Statistiche / Calcio / Turchia. 1. Lig / Erokspor vs Pendikspor

Erokspor vs Pendikspor Statistics & Analysis

Erokspor Erokspor
May 02, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.70
1 0.73
xG Accuracy: 77%
Pendikspor Pendikspor
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Erokspor Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 2-0, 1-1, 2-1, 0-0 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 05:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1822228

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Erokspor 1–1 Pendikspor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Lig
  • Fixture: Erokspor vs Pendikspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-02 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 59.2% · Draw 26.5% · Away 14.3%
  • xG (showing): Erokspor 1.7 — Pendikspor 0.73 (total xG ≈ 2.43)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 56.2% · Implied: 38.1% · Probability edge: +18.1 pts · Est. EV: +46.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 43.8% · No 56.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (15.0%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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1. Lig 1. Lig — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Erzurum BB 38 23 12 3 81
2 Amed 38 21 11 6 74
3 Erokspor 38 21 11 6 74
4 Yeni Çorumspor 38 21 8 9 71
5 BB Bodrumspor 38 18 10 10 64
6 Pendikspor 38 16 15 7 63
7 Keçiörengücü 38 16 12 10 60
8 Bandırmaspor 38 16 12 10 60
9 Manisa BBSK 38 16 7 15 55
10 Sivasspor 38 14 11 13 53
11 İstanbulspor 38 13 13 12 52
12 Sarıyer 38 15 7 16 52
13 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 38 13 11 14 50
14 Van BB 38 13 10 15 49
15 Boluspor 38 14 6 18 48
16 Ümraniyespor 38 13 7 18 46
17 Serik Belediyespor 38 11 6 21 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 8 10 20 34
19 Hatayspor 38 2 8 28 14
20 Adana Demirspor 38 1 3 34 -57
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Erzurum BB 38 82 27 +55 81
2 Erokspor 38 81 35 +46 74
3 Amed 38 81 42 +39 74
4 Keçiörengücü 38 73 43 +30 60
5 BB Bodrumspor 38 71 39 +32 64
6 Yeni Çorumspor 38 63 39 +24 71
7 Boluspor 38 61 57 +4 48
8 Pendikspor 38 58 33 +25 63
9 İstanbulspor 38 57 55 +2 52
10 Manisa BBSK 38 57 56 +1 55
11 Van BB 38 52 47 +5 49
12 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 38 52 54 -2 50
13 Bandırmaspor 38 47 34 +13 60
14 Sivasspor 38 47 43 +4 53
15 Ümraniyespor 38 47 51 -4 46
16 Sakaryaspor 38 45 72 -27 34
17 Sarıyer 38 44 44 0 52
18 Serik Belediyespor 38 44 75 -31 39
19 Hatayspor 38 33 102 -69 14
20 Adana Demirspor 38 22 169 -147 -57
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 BB Bodrumspor 38 36.3 21.7 +14.6 64
2 Boluspor 38 34.5 20.9 +13.6 48
3 Erzurum BB 38 26.5 14.2 +12.3 81
4 Yeni Çorumspor 38 32.2 20.3 +11.9 71
5 Erokspor 38 30.7 19.1 +11.6 74
6 Amed 38 37.6 26.5 +11.1 74
7 Keçiörengücü 38 35.2 24.2 +11.0 60
8 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 38 28.2 21.6 +6.6 50
9 Pendikspor 38 29.8 24.3 +5.5 63
10 Bandırmaspor 38 26.5 23.2 +3.3 60
11 Manisa BBSK 38 29.0 29.1 -0.1 55
12 Van BB 38 24.9 25.2 -0.3 49
13 Sarıyer 38 24.4 27.4 -3.0 52
14 Sivasspor 38 22.2 25.2 -3.0 53
15 İstanbulspor 38 25.2 28.8 -3.6 52
16 Ümraniyespor 38 23.9 27.9 -4.0 46
17 Serik Belediyespor 38 20.8 29.9 -9.1 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 24.7 34.1 -9.4 34
19 Hatayspor 38 17.8 37.7 -19.9 14
20 Adana Demirspor 38 11.0 60.4 -49.4 -57