Statistiche / Calcio / Andorra. Primera Divisió Andorra / Esperança d'Andorra vs UE Santa Coloma

Esperança d'Andorra vs UE Santa Coloma Statistics & Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra Esperança d'Andorra
May 10, 2026 - 09:00
0 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 draw UE Santa Coloma ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-1, 0-0 0-3 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 02:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3017754

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds 2.39
CLV Pending
Final Result UE Santa Coloma win · Esperança d'Andorra 0–3 UE Santa Coloma
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 41.8%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Primera Divisió Andorra
  • Fixture: Esperança d'Andorra vs UE Santa Coloma
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Esperança d'Andorra 1.45 — UE Santa Coloma 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 56.2% · Implied: 30.0% · Probability edge: +26.2 pts · Est. EV: +76.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 32.4% · No 67.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (16.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera Divisió Andorra Primera Divisió Andorra — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Inter Club d'Escaldes 24 17 3 4 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 15 6 3 51
3 Ranger's 24 15 3 6 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 44
5 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 24 10 4 10 34
6 Penya Encarnada 24 7 3 14 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 17
9 Esperança d'Andorra 24 2 5 17 11
10 Pas de la Casa 3 0 1 2 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Inter Club d'Escaldes 24 47 24 +23 54
2 Ranger's 24 46 22 +24 48
3 UE Santa Coloma 24 45 13 +32 51
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 45 20 +25 44
5 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 24 31 26 +5 34
6 Ordino 24 27 42 -15 22
7 Penya Encarnada 24 19 41 -22 24
8 Esperança d'Andorra 24 15 47 -32 11
9 Carroi 24 15 55 -40 17
10 Pas de la Casa 3 0 6 -6 1