Miedź Legnica vs Ruch Chorzów Statistics & Analysis

Miedź Legnica

May 17, 2026 - 12:30

1 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 72%

Ruch Chorzów

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Miedź Legnica Ruch Chorzów ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 22:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1770279

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ruch Chorzów win · Miedź Legnica 1–2 Ruch Chorzów

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: I Liga Polacca
Fixture: Miedź Legnica vs Ruch Chorzów
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Miedź Legnica 1.45 — Ruch Chorzów 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 49.4% · Implied: 47.0% · Probability edge: +2.4 pts · Est. EV: +3.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 68.4% · No 31.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.2%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

I Liga Polacca — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Wisła Kraków	34	20	11	3	71
2	Śląsk Wrocław	34	17	11	6	62
3	Wieczysta Kraków	34	16	9	9	57
4	Chrobry Głogów	34	16	7	11	55
5	ŁKS Łódź	34	15	9	10	54
6	Polonia Varsavia	34	15	8	11	53
7	Ruch Chorzów	34	14	11	9	53
8	Miedź Legnica	34	15	7	12	52
9	Puszcza Niepołomice	34	12	13	9	49
10	Polonia Bytom	34	13	8	13	47
11	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	11	12	11	45
12	Odra Opole	34	11	11	12	44
13	Stal Rzeszów	34	12	7	15	43
14	Stal Mielec	34	10	6	18	36
15	Pogoń Siedlce	34	9	9	16	36
16	Znicz Pruszków	34	7	7	20	28
17	Górnik Łęczna	34	5	12	17	27
18	GKS Tychy 71	34	5	8	21	23

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Wisła Kraków	34	72	32	+40	71
2	Wieczysta Kraków	34	70	47	+23	57
3	Śląsk Wrocław	34	69	47	+22	62
4	ŁKS Łódź	34	56	48	+8	54
5	Polonia Bytom	34	56	50	+6	47
6	Ruch Chorzów	34	54	46	+8	53
7	Polonia Varsavia	34	52	49	+3	53
8	Miedź Legnica	34	52	53	-1	52
9	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	51	54	-3	45
10	Stal Mielec	34	51	62	-11	36
11	Stal Rzeszów	34	49	60	-11	43
12	Chrobry Głogów	34	48	36	+12	55
13	Puszcza Niepołomice	34	45	40	+5	49
14	Znicz Pruszków	34	40	68	-28	28
15	GKS Tychy 71	34	40	74	-34	23
16	Górnik Łęczna	34	39	62	-23	27
17	Odra Opole	34	34	40	-6	44
18	Pogoń Siedlce	34	33	43	-10	36