Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification / Norway U21 vs Israel U21

Norway U21 vs Israel U21 Statistics & Analysis

Norway U21 Norway U21
Oct 06, 2026 - 16:45
1 1.46
1 1.14
xG Accuracy: 85%
Israel U21 Israel U21
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Norway U21 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11912869

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Norway U21 1–1 Israel U21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
  • Fixture: Norway U21 vs Israel U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-06 16:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.9%
  • xG (showing): Norway U21 1.46 — Israel U21 1.14 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.4% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +14.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Spain U21 10 47 5 +42 27
2 Finland U21 10 34 7 +27 23
3 Kosovo U21 10 21 11 +10 15
4 Romania U21 10 12 13 -1 16
5 Cyprus U21 10 8 29 -21 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 57 -57 0