Ya 56.3% · Tidak 43.7%
EV Ya -11.6% · EV No +4.0%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Penilaian Ramalan
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Tauras Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 39.2%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 31.5%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Be1 NFA kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Be1 NFA -10.5 pp
- Keluasan
- 9/9
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.
Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada Be1 NFA.
- Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
- Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Be1 NFA | 31.87% | 42.41% | -10.5 pp |
| Seri | 28.9% | 26.13% | +2.8 pp |
| Tauras | 39.24% | 31.46% | +7.8 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Tauras lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+8.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+4.0% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (5.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
Tauras · Kebarangkalian model 39.2%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 31.5%
EV garisan konsensus: -1.7%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.2%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai terpilih — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran yang dijejaki mungkin mengosongkan +EV pada kemungkinan terbaik, tetapi sabitan adalah terhad (5.5/10) — saiz ke bawah.
Kekuatan keputusan: 5.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -16.0% ·
EV Di Bawah +8.7%
(8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -11.6% · EV No +4.0%
BTTS: EV Ya -11.6% · EV No +4.0%
Be1 NFA market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Be1 NFA
- Odds move
- 2.10 → 2.10 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 9/9
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.11
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
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],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3994,
"best_odd": 2.81,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.03,
"ev": -0.0243,
"implied_prob": 0.3173,
"model_prob": 0.3923,
"p_final": 0.3472
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2879,
"best_odd": 3.4,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0077,
"ev": -0.0821,
"implied_prob": 0.2622,
"model_prob": 0.2891,
"p_final": 0.27
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3812,
"best_odd": 2.12,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0389,
"ev": -0.1909,
"implied_prob": 0.4205,
"model_prob": 0.3186,
"p_final": 0.3817
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.38,
"best_yes_odd": 1.57,
"edge_no": 0.0333,
"edge_yes": -0.0333,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0401,
"ev_yes": -0.1161,
"implied_no": 0.4037,
"implied_yes": 0.5963,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.66,
"best_under_odd": 2.2,
"edge_over": -0.0596,
"edge_under": 0.0596,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.16,
"ev_under": 0.0868,
"implied_over": 0.5656,
"implied_under": 0.4344,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0868,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.563,
"draw_prob": 0.2891,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3923,
"over_prob": 0.506,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.16
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.03,
"ev": -0.0243,
"implied_prob": 0.3173,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3923,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Tauras"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0333,
"ev": 0.0401,
"implied_prob": 0.4037,
"model_prob": 0.437,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0596,
"ev": 0.0868,
"implied_prob": 0.4344,
"model_prob": 0.494,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1529738,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0868,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3923,
"draw": 0.2891,
"home": 0.3186
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Tauras",
"home": "Be1 NFA"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.042879,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0868,
"implied_prob": 0.4344,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.494,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1529738,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T00:43:37.294495+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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