Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Australia. New South Wales NPL 2 / Canterbury Bankstown vs Newcastle Jets II

Canterbury Bankstown vs Newcastle Jets II Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 13, 2026 - 07:00
1.22
1.38
31% 30% 39%

Penilaian Ramalan

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
Newcastle Jets II Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
39.0%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
34.1%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Canterbury Bankstown kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
Canterbury Bankstown -10.1 pp
Keluasan
7/7
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.

Penilaian Pasaran

Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.

Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada Canterbury Bankstown.

  • Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
  • Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Canterbury Bankstown 31.48% 41.6% -10.1 pp
Seri 29.54% 24.27% +5.3 pp
Newcastle Jets II 38.97% 34.13% +4.8 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Newcastle Jets II lwn. odds semasa)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+24.9% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Tidak — Nilai
EV +24.9% Model 45.6%
Bukan hasil yang dominan (kebarangkalian model adalah di bawah 50% pada kaki ini).
Menengah (nilai seimbang): Kurang 2.5 (EV +25%+) — 51.8% Model
EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Lebih 2.5 48.2% · Kurang 2.5 51.8%
EV Selesai -27.7% · EV Di Bawah +25%+
Condong nilai: Kurang 2.5
1X2 Nilai lemah
Newcastle Jets II · Kebarangkalian model 39.0%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 34.1%
EV garisan konsensus: -4.4%
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -27.7% · EV Di Bawah +25%+ (4 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -22.8% · EV No +24.9%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Canterbury Bankstown market context before kickoff

— Menjejaki on Canterbury Bankstown

Odds move
2.15 → 2.15 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
7/7
Steam score
40 (B)
Current status
1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.

Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Ramalan Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
2.17
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "2c5de65b01d98550550f743e38cc88b8a98bb33906053289f0f563066ff58a17",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.38,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3897,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.456,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2954,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.57,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.39,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.18,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.22,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3148,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Canterbury Bankstown or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Canterbury Bankstown"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.38,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Newcastle Jets II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.05,
        "edge_gap": 0.0747,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3397,
        "model_prob": 0.3897,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 39.0,
          "draw": 29.5,
          "home": 31.5
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
          "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
          "odd": 2.7
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
          "odd": 2.7
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 2.69
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
          "odd": 2.65
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
          "odd": 2.64
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
          "odd": 2.63
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
          "odd": 2.62
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.7,
        "bookmaker_affi": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
        "bookmaker_id": 9,
        "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
        "display_market": "Newcastle Jets II Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.94,
        "market_odds": 2.66,
        "model_odds": 2.57,
        "overround": 10.6,
        "prob_edge": 1.9,
        "value_pct": 5.1,
        "value_rating": "small_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 1,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 18,
        "away_score_rate": 74.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 18,
        "home_score_rate": 70.5,
        "no_prob": 45.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.38,
        "home_expected": 1.22,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.1
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Canterbury Bankstown or Draw",
            "prob": 61.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Canterbury Bankstown or Newcastle Jets II",
            "prob": 70.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Newcastle Jets II",
            "prob": 68.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Canterbury Bankstown or Newcastle Jets II",
        "pick_prob": 70.5
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 39.0,
        "draw_pct": 29.5,
        "home_pct": 31.5,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Newcastle Jets II"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.9,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 3,
        "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
        "edge": 10.6,
        "implied_prob": 26.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 29.5,
        "odds": 3.75
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.22,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2494,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 24.9,
          "text": "+24.9%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.2275,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -22.8,
          "text": "-22.8%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2494,
        "no_prob": 45.6,
        "sort_key": 10374.46,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 54.4
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.277,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -27.7,
          "text": "-27.7%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.3054,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 30.5,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.3054,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 10274.86,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0439,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -4.4,
          "text": "-4.4%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3413,
        "max_ev": -0.043,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -4.3,
          "text": "-4.3%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.3897,
        "side_label": "Newcastle Jets II",
        "sort_key": 1789.25,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "",
        "alert_breadth_note": "",
        "alert_move": "",
        "alert_team": "",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 10.1,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.12,
        "hero_label": "Canterbury Bankstown",
        "market_prob_pct": 34.1,
        "market_team": "Canterbury Bankstown",
        "model_prob_pct": 39.0,
        "model_team": "Newcastle Jets II",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": null,
        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": -10.12,
          "fair_prob": 31.48,
          "label": "Canterbury Bankstown",
          "market_prob": 41.6,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 5.27,
          "fair_prob": 29.54,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 24.27,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 4.84,
          "fair_prob": 38.97,
          "label": "Newcastle Jets II",
          "market_prob": 34.13,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -15.34,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 63.54,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 15.34,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 36.46,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -11.51,
          "fair_prob": 54.4,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 65.91,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 11.51,
          "fair_prob": 45.6,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 34.09,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -10.12,
        "fair_prob_pct": 31.48,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "Canterbury Bankstown",
        "market_prob_pct": 41.6,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Canterbury Bankstown"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 10.12,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Newcastle Jets II",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 34.1,
          "model_prob_pct": 39.0,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "The model and market both lean Newcastle Jets II, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Canterbury Bankstown remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.12,
        "hero_label": "Canterbury Bankstown",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
          "follow_up": "",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Canterbury Bankstown than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Canterbury Bankstown.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market is materially more optimistic about Canterbury Bankstown than the current fair estimate.",
            "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Canterbury Bankstown."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market favors Canterbury Bankstown more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
            "Recent line movement on Canterbury Bankstown (+0.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (7/7) supports the current market view on Canterbury Bankstown."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 10.12,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 7.5 pp (at 39.0%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 7.5,
          "max_prob_pct": 39.0,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -10.12,
            "fair_prob_pct": 31.48,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Canterbury Bankstown",
            "market_prob_pct": 41.6,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 5.27,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.54,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 24.27,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 4.84,
            "fair_prob_pct": 38.97,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Newcastle Jets II",
            "market_prob_pct": 34.13,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Canterbury Bankstown.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Canterbury Bankstown (34.1%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Newcastle Jets II, Market \u2192 Canterbury Bankstown, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
        "entry_implied_pct": 46.08,
        "entry_odds": 2.17,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "7/7",
        "current_odds": 2.15,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.15,
        "pick_team": "Canterbury Bankstown",
        "steam_score": 40,
        "steam_team_name": "Canterbury Bankstown",
        "steam_tier": "B"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 10.1,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 11187,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/11187.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Newcastle Jets II",
      "country_code": "AU",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
      "country_name": "Australia",
      "fixture_id": 1517788,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Australia",
      "home_team_id": 20791,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/20791.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Canterbury Bankstown",
      "league_country": "Australia",
      "league_id": 835,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/835.webp",
      "league_name": "New South Wales NPL 2",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-13 07:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4174,
            "best_odd": 2.645,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0202,
            "ev": -0.0439,
            "implied_prob": 0.3413,
            "model_prob": 0.3897,
            "p_final": 0.3615
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2763,
            "best_odd": 3.72,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0146,
            "ev": -0.043,
            "implied_prob": 0.2427,
            "model_prob": 0.2954,
            "p_final": 0.2572
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3818,
            "best_odd": 2.17,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0386,
            "ev": -0.181,
            "implied_prob": 0.416,
            "model_prob": 0.3149,
            "p_final": 0.3774
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.74,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.42,
          "edge_no": 0.1151,
          "edge_yes": -0.1151,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2494,
          "ev_yes": -0.2275,
          "implied_no": 0.3409,
          "implied_yes": 0.6591,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.5,
          "best_under_odd": 2.52,
          "edge_over": -0.1534,
          "edge_under": 0.1534,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.277,
          "ev_under": 0.3054,
          "implied_over": 0.6354,
          "implied_under": 0.3646,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3054,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
          "draw_prob": 0.2954,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3897,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.16
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0202,
          "ev": -0.0439,
          "implied_prob": 0.3413,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3897,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Newcastle Jets II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1151,
          "ev": 0.2494,
          "implied_prob": 0.3409,
          "model_prob": 0.456,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1534,
          "ev": 0.3054,
          "implied_prob": 0.3646,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1517788,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3054,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3897,
        "draw": 0.2954,
        "home": 0.3149
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3054,
        "implied_prob": 0.3646,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.3054,
          "implied_prob": 0.3646,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Newcastle Jets II",
        "home": "Canterbury Bankstown"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.113726,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2494,
        "implied_prob": 0.3409,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.456,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1517788,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T07:31:41.082210+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Canterbury Bankstown & Newcastle Jets II!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Ramalan