Ya 54.4% · Tidak 45.6%
EV Ya -18.9% · EV No +16.7%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Penilaian Ramalan
Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Blacktown Spartans Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 40.4%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 43.5%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (43.5% vs model 40.4%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Perisikan Pergerakan Pasaran
- Pergerakan semasa
- Bankstown City Lions ↑ +3.2% 3.1 → 3.2
- Jenis bergerak
- ⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil
- Skor Stim
- 17C
Limited conviction - Keluasan pasaran
- 3/11
- fasa
- Tidak stabil
- Buku rujuk
- Bet365
Gerakan dipimpin sharp: Pinnacle - Pengesahan CLV
- +0.00 pp
Pergerakan konsensus tertinggi
Laluan Odds — Bankstown City Lions
🐢 Drift perlahan selama 12j
Buka
3.75
Rendah / Tinggi
2.60
semasa
3.20
Naratif Pasaran
Harga dua hala tidak stabil pada Bankstown City Lions (ayunan 3.75 → 2.60 → 3.20) — bersih 3.2% tetapi turun naik intrahari tinggi.
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Seri +3.2 pp
- Keluasan
- 3/11
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Bankstown City Lions odds dipanjangkan ↑ +3.2%.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran dan model adalah sejajar secara meluas. Sebarang jurang harga yang kecil mungkin menggambarkan margin penggenapan atau pembuat taruhan, bukan percanggahan struktur.
Walau bagaimanapun, Bankstown City Lions telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 3.2%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah. Pengesahan kekal terhad (3/11 buku), mencadangkan minat awal dan bukannya pergerakan pasaran yang luas.
- Harga semasa kekal hampir dengan garis dasar model.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blacktown Spartans | 40.43% | 43.53% | -3.1 pp |
| Seri | 28.29% | 25.09% | +3.2 pp |
| Bankstown City Lions | 31.28% | 31.38% | -0.1 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Blacktown Spartans lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+16.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
Blacktown Spartans · Kebarangkalian model 40.5%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 43.5%
EV garisan konsensus: -13.9%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -7.9% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -26.2% ·
EV Di Bawah +25%+
(8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -18.9% · EV No +16.7%
BTTS: EV Ya -18.9% · EV No +16.7%
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Menunggu sepak mula
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 3.54
- Penutup
- 3.54
- CLV
- +0.0 pp
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "b3d23036ff6eff5c95ea806f23b80bd6303083958d45972a0695e82ac58caadd",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.3128,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.2829,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.4043,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.22,
"away_win_prob": 0.3128,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.3128,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.456,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2829,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.2829,
"fair_odds_away": 3.2,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 3.2,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.53,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.53,
"fair_odds_home": 2.47,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.47,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.38,
"home_win_prob": 0.4043,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.4043,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Blacktown Spartans or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"away_xg": 1.22,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0307,
"edge_gap": 0.0923,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4353,
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 31.2,
"draw": 28.3,
"home": 40.5
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.04
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.04,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Blacktown Spartans Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.3,
"market_odds": 2.04,
"model_odds": 2.47,
"overround": 12.6,
"prob_edge": -8.5,
"value_pct": -17.4,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 2,
"away_played": 18,
"away_score_rate": 70.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 1,
"home_played": 18,
"home_score_rate": 74.8,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.22,
"home_expected": 1.38,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Blacktown Spartans or Draw",
"prob": 68.7
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Blacktown Spartans or Bankstown City Lions",
"prob": 71.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Bankstown City Lions",
"prob": 59.6
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Blacktown Spartans or Bankstown City Lions",
"pick_prob": 71.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 31.3,
"draw_pct": 28.3,
"home_pct": 40.4,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 2.3,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 0.2,
"implied_prob": 28.2,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 28.3,
"odds": 3.54
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Blacktown Spartans",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.53,
"gap_pp": -3.07,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 40.46
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.09,
"gap_pp": 3.22,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 28.31
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.38,
"gap_pp": -0.15,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 31.23
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.47,
"gap_pp": -12.27,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.53,
"gap_pp": 12.27,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.04,
"early": 2.04,
"implied_closing_pct": 43.53,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 43.53,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.54,
"early": 3.54,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.09,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.09,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.83,
"early": 2.83,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.38,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.38,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.51,
"early": 1.51,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.47,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.47,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.31,
"early": 2.31,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.53,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.53,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 12.3,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.38,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2625,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -26.2,
"text": "-26.2%"
},
"ev_under": 0.2639,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 26.4,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2639,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10387.51,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1674,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 16.7,
"text": "+16.7%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.1894,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -18.9,
"text": "-18.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1674,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 10150.66,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1388,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -13.9,
"text": "-13.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4353,
"max_ev": -0.0794,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -7.9,
"text": "-7.9%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"side_label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"sort_key": 1780.15,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "3/11",
"alert_breadth_note": "3/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +3.2%",
"alert_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 3.2,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 3.2,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 43.5,
"market_team": "Blacktown Spartans",
"model_prob_pct": 40.4,
"model_team": "Blacktown Spartans",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.1,
"fair_prob": 40.43,
"label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"market_prob": 43.53,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.2,
"fair_prob": 28.29,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.09,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.1,
"fair_prob": 31.28,
"label": "Bankstown City Lions",
"market_prob": 31.38,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -12.75,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 60.95,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.75,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 39.05,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.5,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 62.9,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.5,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 37.1,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": 3.2,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.29,
"hero_side": "draw",
"hero_team_name": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.09,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Bankstown City Lions"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 3.2,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 43.5,
"model_prob_pct": 40.4,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean Blacktown Spartans, but the market prices them higher (43.5% vs model 40.4%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 3.2,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"hero_side": "draw",
"market_activity": "Bankstown City Lions odds lengthened \u2191 +3.2%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, Bankstown City Lions has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.2%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (3/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, Bankstown City Lions has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.2%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (3/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, Bankstown City Lions has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.2%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (3/11), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 3.2,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 9.1 pp (at 40.4%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 9.1,
"max_prob_pct": 40.4,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.1,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.43,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"market_prob_pct": 43.53,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.2,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.29,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.09,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.1,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.28,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Bankstown City Lions",
"market_prob_pct": 31.38,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Blacktown Spartans (43.5%).",
"Bankstown City Lions has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2191 +3.2%, 3/11).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Blacktown Spartans, Market \u2192 Blacktown Spartans, Recent sharp money \u2192 Bankstown City Lions.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 28.25,
"closing_odds": 3.54,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 28.25,
"entry_odds": 3.54,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 3,
"books_total": 11,
"breadth_display": "3/11",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.2,
"move_context": "Highest consensus move",
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.2%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.2,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Bankstown City Lions (swing 3.75 \u2192 2.60 \u2192 3.20) \u2014 net 3.2% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "3.75 \u2192 2.60 \u2192 3.20",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"pick_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.75"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.60"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.20"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,4.9 28.0,18.0 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing"
},
"open_odds": 3.1,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "3/11",
"current_odds": 3.2,
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.2%",
"open_odds": 3.1,
"pick_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_team_name": "Bankstown City Lions",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 3.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 20790,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/20790.webp",
"away_team_name": "Bankstown City Lions",
"country_code": "AU",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
"country_name": "Australia",
"fixture_id": 1517785,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Australia",
"home_team_id": 16771,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16771.webp",
"home_team_name": "Blacktown Spartans",
"league_country": "Australia",
"league_id": 835,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/835.webp",
"league_name": "New South Wales NPL 2",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 10:15:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.449,
"best_odd": 2.83,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0007,
"ev": -0.1138,
"implied_prob": 0.3138,
"model_prob": 0.3123,
"p_final": 0.3131
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2855,
"best_odd": 3.54,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0092,
"ev": -0.0794,
"implied_prob": 0.2509,
"model_prob": 0.2831,
"p_final": 0.2601
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4293,
"best_odd": 2.04,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0132,
"ev": -0.1388,
"implied_prob": 0.4353,
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"p_final": 0.4221
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.56,
"best_yes_odd": 1.49,
"edge_no": 0.085,
"edge_yes": -0.085,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1674,
"ev_yes": -0.1894,
"implied_no": 0.371,
"implied_yes": 0.629,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.53,
"best_under_odd": 2.44,
"edge_over": -0.1275,
"edge_under": 0.1275,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2625,
"ev_under": 0.2639,
"implied_over": 0.6095,
"implied_under": 0.3905,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2639,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2831,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4046,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.16
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0132,
"ev": -0.1388,
"implied_prob": 0.4353,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.085,
"ev": 0.1674,
"implied_prob": 0.371,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1275,
"ev": 0.2639,
"implied_prob": 0.3905,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1517785,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2639,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3123,
"draw": 0.2831,
"home": 0.4046
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1674,
"implied_prob": 0.371,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1674,
"implied_prob": 0.371,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Bankstown City Lions",
"home": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.09569,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2639,
"implied_prob": 0.3905,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1517785,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T12:27:18.734691+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Blacktown Spartans & Bankstown City Lions!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Australia. New South Wales NPL 2 Ramalan
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
Bundesliga
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
