Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Latvia. Virsliga / Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja

Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 16, 2026 - 16:00
1.25
1.35
33% 30% 38%

Penilaian Ramalan

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
FK Liepaja Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
37.5%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
50.9%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (50.9% vs model 37.5%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
FK Liepaja -13.3 pp
Keluasan
2/2
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.

Penilaian Pasaran

Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.

Tingkah laku pasaran semasa mencadangkan persetujuan umum bahawa {pasukan} adalah pihak yang dominan.

  • Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
  • Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Grobiņa 32.85% 23.17% +9.7 pp
Seri 29.61% 25.95% +3.7 pp
FK Liepaja 37.54% 50.88% -13.3 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Tiada pertaruhan lalai pada ambang standard — gunakan lean untuk konteks sahaja.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (FK Liepaja lwn. odds semasa)
  • Tepi nipis: Kurang 2.5 (+2.6% — di bawah bar saiz lalai)
  • Model kurus (bukan pertaruhan lalai): BTTS Tidak
Sabitan rendah (4/10) — lebih suka taruhan yang lebih kecil atau langkau.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
+EV terbaik (pasaran dijejak)
Kurang 2.5 — Nilai
EV +2.6% Model 51.8%
+EV terkuat antara pasaran yang dijejak di sini; peraturan Primary yang lebih ketat (cth. EV minimum) tidak dipenuhi.
1X2 Condong
FK Liepaja · Kebarangkalian model 37.6%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 50.9%
EV garisan konsensus: -20.6%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: +0.6% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai lemah
Ya 54.5% · Tidak 45.5%
EV Ya -12.8% · EV No -5.8%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Pelaksanaan: tiada Primary/alternatif saiz standard — pasaran lain mungkin +EV pada kad di bawah.
Pasaran: mungkin ada jurang kecil model–harga pada garis marginal/bervarians tinggi — bukan pertaruhan lalai; kurangkan saiz jika mencuba. (Teknikal: sekurang-kurangnya satu baris dijejak melepasi ambang +EV pada ≥2.0% pada odds terbaik — bukan pertaruhan lalai.)
Kekuatan keputusan: 4.0 / 10
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -19.0% · EV Di Bawah +2.6% (1 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -12.8% · EV No -5.8%
Should you bet on this match? Bacaan budi bicara: +EV mungkin pada garis nipis atau longshot — bandingkan dengan had anda.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Ramalan Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
1.78
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "8157851d17b0252a68f2f835e9bcc51b134b19902f8119d6100e42556dac5fb7",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.35,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3754,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.455,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2961,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.66,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.04,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3285,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or FK Liepaja",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "FK Liepaja"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.35,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "FK Liepaja",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1332,
        "edge_gap": 0.047,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5088,
        "model_prob": 0.3757,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 37.6,
          "draw": 29.6,
          "home": 32.9
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": null,
          "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
          "odd": 1.79
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 1.78
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.79,
        "bookmaker_id": 16,
        "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
        "display_market": "FK Liepaja Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.97,
        "market_odds": 1.79,
        "model_odds": 2.66,
        "overround": 10.1,
        "prob_edge": -18.3,
        "value_pct": -32.7,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 2,
        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 16,
        "away_score_rate": 74.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 16,
        "home_score_rate": 71.3,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 54.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.35,
        "home_expected": 1.25,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Grobi\u0146a or Draw",
            "prob": 62.5
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Grobi\u0146a or FK Liepaja",
            "prob": 70.4
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or FK Liepaja",
            "prob": 67.1
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Grobi\u0146a or FK Liepaja",
        "pick_prob": 70.4
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 37.5,
        "draw_pct": 29.6,
        "home_pct": 32.9,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "FK Liepaja"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.6,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 11,
        "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
        "edge": 32.9,
        "implied_prob": 24.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Grobi\u0146a Win",
        "model_prob": 32.9,
        "odds": 4.04
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.25,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1902,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -19.0,
          "text": "-19.0%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.0256,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 2.6,
          "text": "+2.6%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0256,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 5220.48,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.2059,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -20.6,
          "text": "-20.6%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5088,
        "max_ev": 0.0057,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 0.6,
          "text": "+0.6%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.3757,
        "side_label": "FK Liepaja",
        "sort_key": 5204.56,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.0582,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -5.8,
          "text": "-5.8%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.128,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -12.8,
          "text": "-12.8%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.0582,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "sort_key": 1785.45,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "",
        "alert_breadth_note": "",
        "alert_move": "",
        "alert_team": "",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 13.4,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": -13.34,
        "hero_label": "FK Liepaja",
        "market_prob_pct": 50.9,
        "market_team": "FK Liepaja",
        "model_prob_pct": 37.5,
        "model_team": "FK Liepaja",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": null,
        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 9.68,
          "fair_prob": 32.85,
          "label": "Grobi\u0146a",
          "market_prob": 23.17,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 3.66,
          "fair_prob": 29.61,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 25.95,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -13.34,
          "fair_prob": 37.54,
          "label": "FK Liepaja",
          "market_prob": 50.88,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -5.9,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 54.1,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 5.9,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 45.9,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -1.9,
          "fair_prob": 54.5,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 56.4,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 1.9,
          "fair_prob": 45.5,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 43.6,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -13.34,
        "fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "FK Liepaja",
        "market_prob_pct": 50.88,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Grobi\u0146a"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 13.34,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "FK Liepaja",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 50.9,
          "model_prob_pct": 37.5,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "Both lean FK Liepaja, but the market prices them higher (50.9% vs model 37.5%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -13.34,
        "hero_label": "FK Liepaja",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
          "follow_up": "Current market behavior suggests broad agreement that FK Liepaja is the dominant side.",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about FK Liepaja than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "The market is materially more optimistic about FK Liepaja than the current fair estimate.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market is materially more optimistic about FK Liepaja than the current fair estimate.",
            "Current market behavior suggests broad agreement that FK Liepaja is the dominant side."
          ],
          "quiet_market": true,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market favors FK Liepaja more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
            "No meaningful directional movement has emerged, and pricing remains stable across tracked sportsbooks.",
            "The market materially disagrees with the model on FK Liepaja (pricing gap 13.3 pp). The market may be pricing squad quality, tournament context, or lineup strength beyond the Elo framework."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 13.34,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.5%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
          "max_prob_pct": 37.5,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 9.68,
            "fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Grobi\u0146a",
            "market_prob_pct": 23.17,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 3.66,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 25.95,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -13.34,
            "fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "FK Liepaja",
            "market_prob_pct": 50.88,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "The market is materially more optimistic about FK Liepaja than the current fair estimate.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers FK Liepaja (50.9%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 FK Liepaja, Market \u2192 FK Liepaja, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
        "entry_implied_pct": 56.02,
        "entry_odds": 1.78,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "2/2",
        "current_odds": 4.04,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 4.04,
        "pick_team": "Grobi\u0146a",
        "steam_score": 24,
        "steam_team_name": "Grobi\u0146a",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 13.3,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 661,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/661.webp",
      "away_team_name": "FK Liepaja",
      "country_code": "LV",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/lv.svg",
      "country_name": "Latvia",
      "fixture_id": 1515860,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Latvia",
      "home_team_id": 4138,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4138.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Grobi\u0146a",
      "league_country": "Latvia",
      "league_id": 365,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/365.webp",
      "league_name": "Virsliga",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-16 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4802,
            "best_odd": 1.785,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0639,
            "ev": -0.2059,
            "implied_prob": 0.5088,
            "model_prob": 0.3757,
            "p_final": 0.4449
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2837,
            "best_odd": 3.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0103,
            "ev": -0.0559,
            "implied_prob": 0.2595,
            "model_prob": 0.2956,
            "p_final": 0.2697
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2563,
            "best_odd": 3.92,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0249,
            "ev": 0.0057,
            "implied_prob": 0.2317,
            "model_prob": 0.3287,
            "p_final": 0.2566
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.07,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.6,
          "edge_no": 0.019,
          "edge_yes": -0.019,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.0582,
          "ev_yes": -0.128,
          "implied_no": 0.436,
          "implied_yes": 0.564,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.68,
          "best_under_odd": 1.98,
          "edge_over": -0.059,
          "edge_under": 0.059,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1902,
          "ev_under": 0.0256,
          "implied_over": 0.541,
          "implied_under": 0.459,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0256,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.2956,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.1
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0256,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.459,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0639,
          "ev": -0.2059,
          "implied_prob": 0.5088,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.3757,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "FK Liepaja"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.019,
          "ev": -0.0582,
          "implied_prob": 0.436,
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.059,
          "ev": 0.0256,
          "implied_prob": 0.459,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1515860,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0256,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3757,
        "draw": 0.2956,
        "home": 0.3287
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "FK Liepaja",
        "home": "Grobi\u0146a"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1515860,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T06:44:01.298840+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Grobiņa & FK Liepaja!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Ramalan