Berhati-hatilah
Ringkasan:
Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (49.2% vs model 35.6%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.
Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.
Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada Kalju Nomme.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | 35.64% | 49.24% | -13.6 pp |
| Seri | 29.65% | 25.59% | +4.1 pp |
| Paide | 34.7% | 25.17% | +9.5 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Kalju Nomme market context before kickoff
— Menjejaki on Kalju Nomme
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2968,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3559,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.02
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0651,
"ev": -0.2095,
"implied_prob": 0.4924,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Kalju Nomme"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0064,
"ev": -0.0081,
"implied_prob": 0.4486,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0463,
"ev": 0.0723,
"implied_prob": 0.4717,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1513567,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0723,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3473,
"draw": 0.2968,
"home": 0.3559
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Paide",
"home": "Kalju Nomme"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.026216,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0723,
"implied_prob": 0.4717,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1513567,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T10:37:27.480771+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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