Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Estonia. Meistriliiga / Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn

Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 13, 2026 - 16:00
1.35
1.25
38% 30% 33%

Penilaian Ramalan

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
Flora Tallinn Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
37.5%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
26.2%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan FC Levadia Tallinn kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
FC Levadia Tallinn -15.2 pp
Keluasan
10/10
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.

Penilaian Pasaran

Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.

Walau bagaimanapun, Flora Tallinn telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.

Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Flora Tallinn.

  • Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
  • Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Flora Tallinn 37.54% 26.18% +11.4 pp
Seri 29.61% 25.73% +3.9 pp
FC Levadia Tallinn 32.85% 48.09% -15.2 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Nilai yang mungkin pada 1X2: Flora Tallinn (+1.5% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+16.6% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+4.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5 — Nilai
EV +16.6% Model 51.8%
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Ya 54.5% · Tidak 45.5%
EV Ya -14.4% · EV No +4.7%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
1X2 Condong
Flora Tallinn · Kebarangkalian model 37.6%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 26.2%
EV garisan konsensus: +1.5%
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -21.9% · EV Di Bawah +16.6% (8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -14.4% · EV No +4.7%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Flora Tallinn market context before kickoff

⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Flora Tallinn

Odds move
3.25 → 3.25 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
10/10
Steam score
30 (C)
Current status
Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.

Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Ramalan Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
1.91
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "e2adf40e1f366c327d85285a2039870254e833662ef6e3f11afd5e0d04d090ab",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3285,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.455,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2961,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.04,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.66,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.35,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3754,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Flora Tallinn or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Flora Tallinn"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Flora Tallinn",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1131,
        "edge_gap": 0.047,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2626,
        "model_prob": 0.3757,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.9,
          "draw": 29.6,
          "home": 37.6
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 3.64
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
          "odd": 3.58
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 3.58
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
          "odd": 3.5
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
          "odd": 3.5
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
          "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
          "odd": 3.5
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
          "odd": 3.5
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
          "odd": 3.4
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 3.64,
        "bookmaker_affi": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
        "bookmaker_id": 11,
        "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
        "display_market": "Flora Tallinn Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.81,
        "market_odds": 3.47,
        "model_odds": 2.66,
        "overround": 9.8,
        "prob_edge": 10.1,
        "value_pct": 36.8,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 0,
        "away_played": 14,
        "away_score_rate": 71.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 3,
        "home_played": 13,
        "home_score_rate": 74.1,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.25,
        "home_expected": 1.35,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Flora Tallinn or Draw",
            "prob": 67.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Flora Tallinn or FC Levadia Tallinn",
            "prob": 70.4
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or FC Levadia Tallinn",
            "prob": 62.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Flora Tallinn or FC Levadia Tallinn",
        "pick_prob": 70.4
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 32.9,
        "draw_pct": 29.6,
        "home_pct": 37.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Flora Tallinn"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.8,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.2,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 11,
        "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
        "edge": 36.8,
        "implied_prob": 27.5,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Flora Tallinn Win",
        "model_prob": 37.6,
        "odds": 3.64
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.35,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2192,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -21.9,
          "text": "-21.9%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.1655,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 16.6,
          "text": "+16.6%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1655,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 10298.95,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0465,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 4.7,
          "text": "+4.7%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.1443,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -14.4,
          "text": "-14.4%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0465,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "sort_key": 10041.85,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0153,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 1.5,
          "text": "+1.5%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2618,
        "max_ev": 0.0153,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 1.5,
          "text": "+1.5%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.3757,
        "side_label": "Flora Tallinn",
        "sort_key": 5212.24,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "",
        "alert_breadth_note": "",
        "alert_move": "",
        "alert_team": "",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 15.2,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": -15.24,
        "hero_label": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
        "market_prob_pct": 26.2,
        "market_team": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
        "model_prob_pct": 37.5,
        "model_team": "Flora Tallinn",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": null,
        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 11.36,
          "fair_prob": 37.54,
          "label": "Flora Tallinn",
          "market_prob": 26.18,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 3.88,
          "fair_prob": 29.61,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 25.73,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -15.24,
          "fair_prob": 32.85,
          "label": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
          "market_prob": 48.09,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -9.22,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 57.42,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 9.22,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 42.58,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -4.84,
          "fair_prob": 54.5,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 59.34,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 4.84,
          "fair_prob": 45.5,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 40.66,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -15.24,
        "fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
        "market_prob_pct": 48.09,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Flora Tallinn"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 15.24,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Flora Tallinn",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 26.2,
          "model_prob_pct": 37.5,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "The model and market both lean Flora Tallinn, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and FC Levadia Tallinn remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -15.24,
        "hero_label": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, Flora Tallinn has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about FC Levadia Tallinn than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Flora Tallinn.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market is materially more optimistic about FC Levadia Tallinn than the current fair estimate.",
            "However, Flora Tallinn has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Market activity is currently concentrated on Flora Tallinn."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market favors FC Levadia Tallinn more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
            "At the same time, Flora Tallinn has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (10/10) supports the current market view on Flora Tallinn."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 15.24,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.5%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
          "max_prob_pct": 37.5,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 11.36,
            "fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Flora Tallinn",
            "market_prob_pct": 26.18,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 3.88,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 25.73,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -15.24,
            "fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
            "market_prob_pct": 48.09,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Flora Tallinn.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers FC Levadia Tallinn (26.2%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Flora Tallinn, Market \u2192 FC Levadia Tallinn, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
        "entry_implied_pct": 52.49,
        "entry_odds": 1.91,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "10/10",
        "current_odds": 3.25,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 3.25,
        "pick_team": "Flora Tallinn",
        "steam_score": 30,
        "steam_team_name": "Flora Tallinn",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 15.2,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2273,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2273.webp",
      "away_team_name": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
      "country_code": "EE",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ee.svg",
      "country_name": "Estonia",
      "fixture_id": 1513565,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Estonia",
      "home_team_id": 687,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/687.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Flora Tallinn",
      "league_country": "Estonia",
      "league_id": 329,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/329.webp",
      "league_name": "Meistriliiga",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-13 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Tallinn",
      "venue_name": "A. Le Coq Arena"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.463,
            "best_odd": 1.905,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0705,
            "ev": -0.2181,
            "implied_prob": 0.4809,
            "model_prob": 0.3287,
            "p_final": 0.4104
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2828,
            "best_odd": 3.56,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0108,
            "ev": -0.0453,
            "implied_prob": 0.2573,
            "model_prob": 0.2956,
            "p_final": 0.2682
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2487,
            "best_odd": 3.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0283,
            "ev": 0.0153,
            "implied_prob": 0.2618,
            "model_prob": 0.3757,
            "p_final": 0.2901
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.3,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": 0.0484,
          "edge_yes": -0.0484,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0465,
          "ev_yes": -0.1443,
          "implied_no": 0.4066,
          "implied_yes": 0.5934,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.62,
          "best_under_odd": 2.25,
          "edge_over": -0.0922,
          "edge_under": 0.0922,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2192,
          "ev_under": 0.1655,
          "implied_over": 0.5742,
          "implied_under": 0.4258,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1655,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.2956,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.1
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0283,
          "ev": 0.0153,
          "implied_prob": 0.2618,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.3757,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Flora Tallinn"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0484,
          "ev": 0.0465,
          "implied_prob": 0.4066,
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0922,
          "ev": 0.1655,
          "implied_prob": 0.4258,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1513565,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1655,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3287,
        "draw": 0.2956,
        "home": 0.3757
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "FC Levadia Tallinn",
        "home": "Flora Tallinn"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.06001,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1655,
        "implied_prob": 0.4258,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1513565,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T09:23:23.998888+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Flora Tallinn & FC Levadia Tallinn!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Ramalan