Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (39.9% vs model 36.6%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada UAI Urquiza.
Walau bagaimanapun, Villa San Carlos telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Villa San Carlos.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | 36.59% | 39.9% | -3.3 pp |
| Seri | 29.64% | 31.74% | -2.1 pp |
| UAI Urquiza | 33.77% | 28.36% | +5.4 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Villa San Carlos market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Villa San Carlos
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"headline": "Balanced match",
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"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
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"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
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"hero_side": "away",
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"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Villa San Carlos has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
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"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Villa San Carlos.",
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on UAI Urquiza.",
"However, Villa San Carlos has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Villa San Carlos."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
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],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
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],
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"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
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],
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},
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"paragraphs": [
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],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
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"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
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"move_display": "+0.0%",
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"steam_team_name": "Villa San Carlos",
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"premium_teaser": {
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"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"show": true
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"match": {
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"away_team_id": 1956,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1956.webp",
"away_team_name": "UAI Urquiza",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1499473,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
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"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 8380,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8380.webp",
"home_team_name": "Villa San Carlos",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 131,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/131.webp",
"league_name": "Primera B Metropolitana",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 17:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Buenos Aires",
"venue_name": "Genacio Salice Stadium"
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"match_decision": {
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"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
"alpha": 0.2757,
"best_odd": 3.2,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0149,
"ev": -0.0448,
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"p_final": 0.2985
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4359,
"best_odd": 2.86,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.0091,
"ev": -0.1184,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 2.275,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.0141,
"ev": -0.1244,
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 2.25,
"edge_no": -0.1205,
"edge_yes": 0.1205,
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"ev_no": -0.2583,
"ev_yes": 0.2263,
"implied_no": 0.5755,
"implied_yes": 0.4245,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"edge_over": 0.1293,
"edge_under": -0.1293,
"ev_available": true,
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"implied_over": 0.3527,
"implied_under": 0.6473,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
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"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
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"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
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"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.366,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0141,
"ev": -0.1244,
"implied_prob": 0.399,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.366,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Villa San Carlos"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1205,
"ev": 0.2263,
"implied_prob": 0.4245,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1293,
"ev": 0.3014,
"implied_prob": 0.3527,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1499473,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3014,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3375,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.366
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3014,
"implied_prob": 0.3527,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3014,
"implied_prob": 0.3527,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "UAI Urquiza",
"home": "Villa San Carlos"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.123334,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2263,
"implied_prob": 0.4245,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1499473,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T09:31:25.680451+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana Ramalan
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