Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Villa Dalmine kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Pergerakan terbesar hari ini
📈 Penetapan semula aktif selama 3j 59m
10/12 buku diselaraskan pada Villa Dalmine (15.2% steam, skor 82) — penetapan harga semula multi-buku keyakinan tinggi mengatasi pergerakan terpencil.
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Pasaran dan model adalah sejajar secara meluas. Sebarang jurang harga yang kecil mungkin menggambarkan margin penggenapan atau pembuat taruhan, bukan percanggahan struktur.
Walau bagaimanapun, Villa Dalmine telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 15.2%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Hanyut dari Villa Dalmine — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 15.2% (mengurangkan sokongan).
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín Burzaco | 37.54% | 35.4% | +2.1 pp |
| Seri | 29.61% | 32.36% | -2.8 pp |
| Villa Dalmine | 32.85% | 32.24% | +0.6 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Villa Dalmine market context before kickoff
🔥 Steam kuat on Villa Dalmine
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"title": "Market Assessment"
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"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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],
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},
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"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"show": true
},
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 481,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/481.webp",
"away_team_name": "Villa Dalmine",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
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"goals_home": null,
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"home_team_id": 8387,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8387.webp",
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"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 131,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/131.webp",
"league_name": "Primera B Metropolitana",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 23:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
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"venue_city": "Buenos Aires",
"venue_name": "Francisco Boga Stadium"
},
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],
"score": 6.0
},
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"draw": {
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},
"btts": {
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"ou25": {
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}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5665,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0199,
"ev": -0.037,
"implied_prob": 0.3011,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "San Mart\u00edn Burzaco"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1472,
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3978,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1648,
"ev": 0.5665,
"implied_prob": 0.3172,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1499471,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5665,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3287,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3757
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5665,
"implied_prob": 0.3172,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5665,
"implied_prob": 0.3172,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Villa Dalmine",
"home": "San Mart\u00edn Burzaco"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.197563,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3978,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1499471,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T01:10:48.392428+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana Ramalan
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