Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Villa Dalmine kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Pergerakan terbesar hari ini
↔ Gerakan beransur-ansur selama 7j 59m
Betfair memimpin penetapan harga pada San Martín Burzaco (5.2%) — buku tajam bergerak sebelum pasaran lebih luas mengikuti.
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada San Martín Burzaco.
Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada San Martín Burzaco.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín Burzaco | 37.54% | 32.52% | +5.0 pp |
| Seri | 29.61% | 32.29% | -2.7 pp |
| Villa Dalmine | 32.85% | 35.19% | -2.3 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
San Martín Burzaco market context before kickoff
⚡ Gerakan dipimpin sharp on San Martín Burzaco
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
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"title": "Forecast Assessment",
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},
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"tier": "low",
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"market_agreement": "strong",
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"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, Villa Dalmine has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.2%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Drift away from Villa Dalmine \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.2% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
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"However, Villa Dalmine has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.2%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Villa Dalmine \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.2% (weakening support)."
],
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"title": "Market Assessment"
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],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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"status": "pass"
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],
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},
"interpretation": {
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"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers San Mart\u00edn Burzaco (35.4%).",
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"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 San Mart\u00edn Burzaco, Market \u2192 San Mart\u00edn Burzaco, Recent sharp money \u2192 Villa Dalmine.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
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"narrative_paragraphs": [
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"display": "2.90 \u2192 2.30 \u2192 2.88",
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"points": [
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{
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{
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],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 56.0,0.0",
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},
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"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Villa Dalmine \u2191 +15.2% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Villa Dalmine",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Villa Dalmine \u2191 +15.2% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
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"signal_badge_class": "steam",
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"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
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"move_display": "\u2191 +15.2%",
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},
"premium_teaser": {
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"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
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"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
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],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 481,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/481.webp",
"away_team_name": "Villa Dalmine",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1499471,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 8387,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8387.webp",
"home_team_name": "San Mart\u00edn Burzaco",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 131,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/131.webp",
"league_name": "Primera B Metropolitana",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 23:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Buenos Aires",
"venue_name": "Francisco Boga Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4458,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0028,
"ev": -0.0894,
"implied_prob": 0.3224,
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3252
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4311,
"best_odd": 2.79,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.012,
"ev": -0.1308,
"implied_prob": 0.3236,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.3115
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4354,
"best_odd": 2.55,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0094,
"ev": -0.0732,
"implied_prob": 0.354,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"p_final": 0.3634
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.6,
"best_yes_odd": 2.5,
"edge_no": -0.1437,
"edge_yes": 0.1437,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.272,
"ev_yes": 0.3625,
"implied_no": 0.5987,
"implied_yes": 0.4013,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.25,
"best_under_odd": 1.38,
"edge_over": 0.1635,
"edge_under": -0.1635,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.5665,
"ev_under": -0.2852,
"implied_over": 0.3185,
"implied_under": 0.6815,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5665,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0094,
"ev": -0.0732,
"implied_prob": 0.354,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "San Mart\u00edn Burzaco"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1437,
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.4013,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1635,
"ev": 0.5665,
"implied_prob": 0.3185,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1499471,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5665,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3287,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3757
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5665,
"implied_prob": 0.3185,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5665,
"implied_prob": 0.3185,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Villa Dalmine",
"home": "San Mart\u00edn Burzaco"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.197563,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.4013,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1499471,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T07:13:17.810423+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana Ramalan
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