Waterford · Kebarangkalian model 64.0%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 42.9%
EV garisan konsensus: +6.2%
Penilaian Ramalan
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Waterford Kegemaran
- Kebarangkalian model
- 64.0%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 42.9%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran bersandar pada sisi yang sama pada Waterford, tetapi jurang harga memerlukan berhati-hati.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Waterford +21.0 pp
- Keluasan
- 14/14
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford | 63.96% | 42.93% | +21.0 pp |
| Seri | 20.77% | 27.3% | -6.5 pp |
| Sligo Rovers | 15.28% | 29.77% | -14.5 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Pengesahan Model Diperlukan
Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (21.0 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5
— Nilai
Ya 61.0% · Tidak 39.0%
EV Ya +3.7% · EV No -14.2%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Paling berkemungkinan
2-1
Kebarangkalian 9.7%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 7.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +25%+ ·
EV Di Bawah -32.5%
(12 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +3.7% · EV No -14.2%
BTTS: EV Ya +3.7% · EV No -14.2%
Waterford market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Waterford
- Odds move
- 2.10 → 2.10 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 14/14
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.15
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"headline": "Clear favourite",
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"reliability_icon": "!",
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"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
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"paragraphs": [
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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"lifecycle": {
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"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
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},
"market_move_intelligence": {
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},
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"current_odds": 2.1,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
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"steam_score": 30,
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"steam_tier": "C"
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"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"match": {
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"country_code": "IE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ie.svg",
"country_name": "Ireland",
"fixture_id": 1492715,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Ireland",
"home_team_id": 3845,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3845.webp",
"home_team_name": "Waterford",
"league_country": "Ireland",
"league_id": 357,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/357.webp",
"league_name": "Premier Division",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 18:45:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Waterford",
"venue_name": "Regional Sports Centre"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
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"calibration": {
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"edge": -0.0341,
"ev": -0.1827,
"implied_prob": 0.2977,
"model_prob": 0.1525,
"p_final": 0.2636
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2704,
"best_odd": 3.38,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0178,
"ev": -0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.273,
"model_prob": 0.2072,
"p_final": 0.2552
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3076,
"best_odd": 2.15,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0649,
"ev": 0.0624,
"implied_prob": 0.4293,
"model_prob": 0.6403,
"p_final": 0.4942
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.2,
"best_yes_odd": 1.7,
"edge_no": -0.0516,
"edge_yes": 0.0516,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.142,
"ev_yes": 0.037,
"implied_no": 0.4416,
"implied_yes": 0.5584,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.9,
"best_under_odd": 2.01,
"edge_over": 0.1516,
"edge_under": -0.1516,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2616,
"ev_under": -0.3246,
"implied_over": 0.5124,
"implied_under": 0.4876,
"n_bookmakers": 12,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.42,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2616,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.61,
"draw_prob": 0.2072,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6403,
"over_prob": 0.664,
"total_xg": 3.42,
"under_prob": 0.336,
"xg_diff": 1.24
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0649,
"ev": 0.0624,
"implied_prob": 0.4293,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6403,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Waterford"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0516,
"ev": 0.037,
"implied_prob": 0.5584,
"model_prob": 0.61,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1516,
"ev": 0.2616,
"implied_prob": 0.5124,
"model_prob": 0.664,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1492715,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2616,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1525,
"draw": 0.2072,
"home": 0.6403
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Sligo Rovers",
"home": "Waterford"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.173702,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2616,
"implied_prob": 0.5124,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.664,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1492715,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T01:04:56.348916+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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