Shelbourne · Kebarangkalian model 62.5%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 35.0%
EV garisan konsensus: +11.2%
Penilaian Ramalan
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Shelbourne Kegemaran
- Kebarangkalian model
- 62.5%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 35.0%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran bersandar pada sisi yang sama pada Shelbourne, tetapi jurang harga memerlukan berhati-hati.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Shelbourne +27.4 pp
- Keluasan
- 14/14
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne | 62.46% | 35.03% | +27.4 pp |
| Seri | 23.95% | 29.53% | -5.6 pp |
| Shamrock Rovers | 13.59% | 35.44% | -21.9 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Pengesahan Model Diperlukan
Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (27.4 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
1X2
✔ Shelbourne (Nilai)
Lebih 2.5 51.1% · Kurang 2.5 48.9%
EV Selesai +8.8% · EV Di Bawah -14.9%
Condong nilai:
Lebih 2.5
Ya 48.3% · Tidak 51.7%
EV Ya -9.7% · EV No +0.8%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Paling berkemungkinan
1-0
Kebarangkalian 12.6%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 7.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +8.8% ·
EV Di Bawah -14.9%
(12 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -9.7% · EV No +0.8%
BTTS: EV Ya -9.7% · EV No +0.8%
Shelbourne market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Shelbourne
- Odds move
- 2.55 → 2.55 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 14/14
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.63
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"match": {
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"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ie.svg",
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"league_country": "Ireland",
"league_id": 357,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/357.webp",
"league_name": "Premier Division",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 19:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Dublin",
"venue_name": "Tolka Park"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
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"away": {
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},
"draw": {
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"calibration": {
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},
"btts": {
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"edge_no": 0.0342,
"edge_yes": -0.0342,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0082,
"ev_yes": -0.0968,
"implied_no": 0.4828,
"implied_yes": 0.5172,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.13,
"best_under_odd": 1.74,
"edge_over": 0.0595,
"edge_under": -0.0595,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0884,
"ev_under": -0.1491,
"implied_over": 0.4515,
"implied_under": 0.5485,
"n_bookmakers": 12,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.72,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1124,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.483,
"draw_prob": 0.2396,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6246,
"over_prob": 0.511,
"total_xg": 2.72,
"under_prob": 0.489,
"xg_diff": 1.12
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0726,
"ev": 0.1124,
"implied_prob": 0.3503,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6246,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Shelbourne"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0342,
"ev": 0.0082,
"implied_prob": 0.4828,
"model_prob": 0.517,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0595,
"ev": 0.0884,
"implied_prob": 0.4515,
"model_prob": 0.511,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1492713,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1124,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1358,
"draw": 0.2396,
"home": 0.6246
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Shamrock Rovers",
"home": "Shelbourne"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.084246,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1124,
"implied_prob": 0.3503,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.6246,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Shelbourne",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1492713,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T01:06:43.436744+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Shelbourne & Shamrock Rovers!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
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