Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin

Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
May 23, 2026 - 16:00
1.63
0.89
53% 28% 19%
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5 — Nilai
EV 26.7% Model 53.9%
Menengah (nilai seimbang): BTTS Tidak (EV 12.4%) — 51.1% Model
EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Ya 48.9% · Tidak 51.1%
EV Ya -18.34% · EV No 12.42%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
1X2 Nilai lemah
Legia Warszawa · Model 53.3%
tersirat 60.5%
EV: -13.4%
EV terbaik (1X2) -2.9%
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-0
Kebarangkalian 13.1%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Jumlah matlamat yang dijangkakan (jumlah xG) berada dalam jalur sempadan — varians hasil adalah tinggi.(ΣxG ≈ 2.52)
Kekuatan keputusan: 7.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -26.24% · EV Di Bawah 26.67% (7 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -18.34% · EV No 12.42%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko) Semak Odds di 1xBet

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON 
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      "away_win_prob": 0.1897,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2773,
      "fair_odds_away": 5.27,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.61,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.88,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.63,
      "home_win_prob": 0.533,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Legia Warszawa"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.89,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Legia Warszawa",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.0566,
        "edge_gap": 0.2552,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5892,
        "model_prob": 0.5326,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 19.0,
          "draw": 27.7,
          "home": 53.3
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
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      "market_comparison": [
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        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
          "odd": 1.57
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        {
          "affi_link": null,
          "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
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        "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
        "display_market": "Legia Warszawa Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.7,
        "market_odds": 1.59,
        "model_odds": 1.88,
        "overround": 7.0,
        "prob_edge": -8.5,
        "value_pct": -13.8,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 58.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 80.4,
        "no_prob": 51.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 48.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.89,
        "home_expected": 1.63,
        "scores": [
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 13.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 10.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Legia Warszawa or Draw",
            "prob": 81.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Legia Warszawa or Motor Lublin",
            "prob": 72.3
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Motor Lublin",
            "prob": 46.7
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Legia Warszawa or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 81.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 19.0,
        "draw_pct": 27.7,
        "home_pct": 53.3,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Legia Warszawa"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.52,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 46.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.52,
        "under_prob": 53.9
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 1,
        "bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
        "edge": 16.3,
        "implied_prob": 23.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 27.7,
        "odds": 4.2
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 13.1
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.63,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2393,
        "ev_under": 0.2667,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2667,
        "over_prob": 46.1,
        "sort_key": 10390.03,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 53.9,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1242,
        "ev_yes": -0.1834,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1242,
        "no_prob": 51.1,
        "sort_key": 10111.78,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 48.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1237,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5893,
        "max_ev": -0.0357,
        "model_prob": 0.5326,
        "side_label": "Legia Warszawa",
        "sort_key": 1791.075,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
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        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 819.3,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 13.1
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 14562,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/14562.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Motor Lublin",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 339,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/339.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Legia Warszawa",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 106,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
      "league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1985,
            "best_odd": 5.0,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.001,
            "ev": -0.0699,
            "implied_prob": 0.185,
            "model_prob": 0.19,
            "p_final": 0.186
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1845,
            "best_odd": 4.1,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0095,
            "ev": -0.0357,
            "implied_prob": 0.2257,
            "model_prob": 0.2774,
            "p_final": 0.2352
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.549,
            "best_odd": 1.57,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0311,
            "ev": -0.1237,
            "implied_prob": 0.5893,
            "model_prob": 0.5326,
            "p_final": 0.5582
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.2,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.67,
          "edge_no": 0.075,
          "edge_yes": -0.075,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1242,
          "ev_yes": -0.1834,
          "implied_no": 0.436,
          "implied_yes": 0.564,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.65,
          "best_under_odd": 2.35,
          "edge_over": -0.1242,
          "edge_under": 0.1242,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2393,
          "ev_under": 0.2667,
          "implied_over": 0.5852,
          "implied_under": 0.4148,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.52,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2667,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.489,
          "draw_prob": 0.2774,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5326,
          "over_prob": 0.461,
          "total_xg": 2.52,
          "under_prob": 0.539,
          "xg_diff": 0.74
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0311,
          "ev": -0.1237,
          "implied_prob": 0.5893,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.5326,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Legia Warszawa"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.075,
          "ev": 0.1242,
          "implied_prob": 0.436,
          "model_prob": 0.511,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1242,
          "ev": 0.2667,
          "implied_prob": 0.4148,
          "model_prob": 0.539,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1380685,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2667,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.19,
        "draw": 0.2774,
        "home": 0.5326
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1242,
        "implied_prob": 0.436,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.511,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1242,
          "implied_prob": 0.436,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.511,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Motor Lublin",
        "home": "Legia Warszawa"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.126501,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2667,
        "implied_prob": 0.4148,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.539,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1380685,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T04:22:10.358857+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Legia Warszawa & Motor Lublin!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
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Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN MP M S K PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 16 11 6 59
2 Jagiellonia 33 14 11 8 53
3 Gornik Zabrze 33 15 8 10 53
4 Raków Częstochowa 33 15 7 11 52
5 GKS Katowice 33 14 7 12 49
6 Zaglebie Lubin 33 13 9 11 48
7 Legia Warszawa 33 11 13 9 46
8 Wisla Plock 33 12 9 12 45
9 Radomiak Radom 33 11 11 11 44
10 Pogon Szczecin 33 13 5 15 44
11 Motor Lublin 33 10 13 10 43
12 Korona Kielce 33 11 9 13 42
13 Piast Gliwice 33 11 8 14 41
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 9 14 10 41
15 Widzew Łódź 33 11 6 16 39
16 Lechia Gdansk 33 12 7 14 38
17 Arka Gdynia 32 9 9 14 36
18 Nieciecza 32 7 7 18 28
# PASUKAN MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 60 43 +17 59
2 Lechia Gdansk 33 60 62 -2 38
3 Jagiellonia 33 55 41 +14 53
4 GKS Katowice 33 50 44 +6 49
5 Radomiak Radom 33 50 47 +3 44
6 Raków Częstochowa 33 48 40 +8 52
7 Pogon Szczecin 33 46 48 -2 44
8 Motor Lublin 33 46 49 -3 43
9 Zaglebie Lubin 33 45 37 +8 48
10 Gornik Zabrze 33 44 36 +8 53
11 Piast Gliwice 33 41 44 -3 41
12 Korona Kielce 33 39 39 0 42
13 Widzew Łódź 33 39 40 -1 39
14 Legia Warszawa 33 38 37 +1 46
15 Cracovia Krakow 33 38 41 -3 41
16 Nieciecza 32 37 61 -24 28
17 Wisla Plock 33 32 36 -4 45
18 Arka Gdynia 32 32 55 -23 36
# PASUKAN MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 59.8 34.6 +25.2 59
2 Legia Warszawa 33 44.3 34.9 +9.4 46
3 Raków Częstochowa 33 52.1 43.1 +9.0 52
4 Piast Gliwice 33 45.4 40.2 +5.2 41
5 Lechia Gdansk 33 48.3 43.9 +4.4 38
6 Pogon Szczecin 33 52.4 48.2 +4.2 44
7 Gornik Zabrze 33 41.5 39.4 +2.1 53
8 Cracovia Krakow 33 38.1 36.2 +1.9 41
9 Widzew Łódź 33 38.2 37.2 +1.0 39
10 Korona Kielce 33 49.6 49.8 -0.2 42
11 Radomiak Radom 33 42.0 43.8 -1.8 44
12 Wisla Plock 33 41.6 44.2 -2.6 45
13 GKS Katowice 33 41.1 45.5 -4.4 49
14 Jagiellonia 33 42.4 48.3 -5.9 53
15 Zaglebie Lubin 33 33.5 42.8 -9.3 48
16 Nieciecza 32 41.1 53.0 -11.9 28
17 Motor Lublin 33 39.5 52.2 -12.7 43
18 Arka Gdynia 32 34.1 47.9 -13.8 36
Ekstraklasa Poland. Ekstraklasa Ramalan
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