Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock

Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
May 23, 2026 - 16:00
2.42
0.75
73% 18% 9%
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
+EV terbaik (pasaran dijejak)
BTTS Tidak — Nilai
EV 4.3% Model 50.9%
+EV terkuat antara pasaran yang dijejak di sini; peraturan Primary yang lebih ketat (cth. EV minimum) tidak dipenuhi.
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Condong
Lebih 2.5 61.4% · Kurang 2.5 38.6%
EV Selesai -4.83% · EV Di Bawah -0.41%
Condong nilai: Kurang 2.5
1X2 Nilai lemah
Lech Poznan · Model 73.4%
tersirat 67.5%
EV: -3.1%
EV terbaik (1X2) -3.1%
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
2-0
Kebarangkalian 12.3%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Pelaksanaan: tiada Primary/alternatif saiz standard — pasaran lain mungkin +EV pada kad di bawah.
Pasaran: mungkin ada jurang kecil model–harga pada garis marginal/bervarians tinggi — bukan pertaruhan lalai; kurangkan saiz jika mencuba. (Teknikal: sekurang-kurangnya satu baris dijejak melepasi ambang +EV pada ≥2.0% pada odds terbaik — bukan pertaruhan lalai.)
Kekuatan keputusan: 5.0 / 10
  • Kegemaran kuat dalam model 1X2 (+1.5)
  • Sekurang-kurangnya satu baris yang dijejaki di atas ambang +EV (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -4.83% · EV Di Bawah -0.41% (5 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -13.09% · EV No 4.34%
Should you bet on this match? Bacaan budi bicara: +EV mungkin pada garis nipis atau longshot — bandingkan dengan had anda.
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko) Semak Odds di 1xBet

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON 
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      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.1805,
      "fair_odds_away": 11.56,
      "fair_odds_draw": 5.54,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.36,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.42,
      "home_win_prob": 0.733,
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Lech Poznan",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Lech Poznan"
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    "away_xg": 0.75,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Lech Poznan",
      "confidence": 73.4,
      "main_pick_meta": {
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        "edge": 0.0629,
        "edge_gap": 0.5535,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.6707,
        "model_prob": 0.7336,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 18.0,
          "home": 73.4
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Lech Poznan"
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      "market_comparison": [
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          "bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
          "odd": 1.39
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          "bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
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      "stacked_market": null,
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        "market_odds": 1.39,
        "model_odds": 1.36,
        "overround": 7.4,
        "prob_edge": 4.1,
        "value_pct": 5.9,
        "value_rating": "small_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 52.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 91.1,
        "no_prob": 50.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 50.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 49.1
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        "home_expected": 2.42,
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            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-0",
            "prob": 9.9
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.2
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 7.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Lech Poznan or Draw",
            "prob": 91.4
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
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            "prob": 81.9
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            "prob": 26.7
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        "pick_prob": 91.4
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 18.1,
        "home_pct": 73.3,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Lech Poznan"
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        "avg_total": 3.17,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
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        "home_avg_scored": 1.8,
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        "pick": "Over 2.5",
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        "under_prob": 38.6
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        "edge": 5.9,
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
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    "home_xg": 2.42,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0434,
        "ev_yes": -0.1408,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0434,
        "no_prob": 50.9,
        "sort_key": 10039.06,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 49.1
      },
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        "ev_over": -0.0483,
        "ev_under": -0.0311,
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        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 38.6,
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        "ev": -0.0325,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.6682,
        "max_ev": -0.0325,
        "model_prob": 0.7336,
        "side_label": "Lech Poznan",
        "sort_key": 1791.875,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
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        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 816.9,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-0",
        "top_prob": 12.3
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      "away_team_id": 341,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/341.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Wisla Plock",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 347,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/347.webp",
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      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 106,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
      "league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1835,
            "best_odd": 6.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0101,
            "ev": -0.1469,
            "implied_prob": 0.1414,
            "model_prob": 0.0863,
            "p_final": 0.1313
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1969,
            "best_odd": 4.825,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.002,
            "ev": -0.091,
            "implied_prob": 0.1904,
            "model_prob": 0.1801,
            "p_final": 0.1884
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5412,
            "best_odd": 1.375,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0354,
            "ev": -0.0325,
            "implied_prob": 0.6682,
            "model_prob": 0.7336,
            "p_final": 0.7036
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        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.05,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.75,
          "edge_no": 0.0524,
          "edge_yes": -0.0524,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0434,
          "ev_yes": -0.1408,
          "implied_no": 0.4566,
          "implied_yes": 0.5434,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.55,
          "best_under_odd": 2.51,
          "edge_over": -0.002,
          "edge_under": 0.002,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0483,
          "ev_under": -0.0311,
          "implied_over": 0.616,
          "implied_under": 0.384,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.17,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
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      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0434,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [],
        "breakdown_resolved": [],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.491,
          "draw_prob": 0.1801,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.7336,
          "over_prob": 0.614,
          "total_xg": 3.17,
          "under_prob": 0.386,
          "xg_diff": 1.67
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0434,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.4566,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.509,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0354,
          "ev": -0.0325,
          "implied_prob": 0.6682,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.7336,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Lech Poznan"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0524,
          "ev": 0.0434,
          "implied_prob": 0.4566,
          "model_prob": 0.509,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.002,
          "ev": -0.0311,
          "implied_prob": 0.384,
          "model_prob": 0.386,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1380684,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0434,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.0863,
        "draw": 0.1801,
        "home": 0.7336
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Wisla Plock",
        "home": "Lech Poznan"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1380684,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T04:22:02.519191+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Lech Poznan & Wisla Plock!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
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Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN MP M S K PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 16 11 6 59
2 Jagiellonia 33 14 11 8 53
3 Gornik Zabrze 33 15 8 10 53
4 Raków Częstochowa 33 15 7 11 52
5 GKS Katowice 33 14 7 12 49
6 Zaglebie Lubin 33 13 9 11 48
7 Legia Warszawa 33 11 13 9 46
8 Wisla Plock 33 12 9 12 45
9 Radomiak Radom 33 11 11 11 44
10 Pogon Szczecin 33 13 5 15 44
11 Motor Lublin 33 10 13 10 43
12 Korona Kielce 33 11 9 13 42
13 Piast Gliwice 33 11 8 14 41
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 9 14 10 41
15 Widzew Łódź 33 11 6 16 39
16 Lechia Gdansk 33 12 7 14 38
17 Arka Gdynia 32 9 9 14 36
18 Nieciecza 32 7 7 18 28
# PASUKAN MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 60 43 +17 59
2 Lechia Gdansk 33 60 62 -2 38
3 Jagiellonia 33 55 41 +14 53
4 GKS Katowice 33 50 44 +6 49
5 Radomiak Radom 33 50 47 +3 44
6 Raków Częstochowa 33 48 40 +8 52
7 Pogon Szczecin 33 46 48 -2 44
8 Motor Lublin 33 46 49 -3 43
9 Zaglebie Lubin 33 45 37 +8 48
10 Gornik Zabrze 33 44 36 +8 53
11 Piast Gliwice 33 41 44 -3 41
12 Korona Kielce 33 39 39 0 42
13 Widzew Łódź 33 39 40 -1 39
14 Legia Warszawa 33 38 37 +1 46
15 Cracovia Krakow 33 38 41 -3 41
16 Nieciecza 32 37 61 -24 28
17 Wisla Plock 33 32 36 -4 45
18 Arka Gdynia 32 32 55 -23 36
# PASUKAN MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 33 59.8 34.6 +25.2 59
2 Legia Warszawa 33 44.3 34.9 +9.4 46
3 Raków Częstochowa 33 52.1 43.1 +9.0 52
4 Piast Gliwice 33 45.4 40.2 +5.2 41
5 Lechia Gdansk 33 48.3 43.9 +4.4 38
6 Pogon Szczecin 33 52.4 48.2 +4.2 44
7 Gornik Zabrze 33 41.5 39.4 +2.1 53
8 Cracovia Krakow 33 38.1 36.2 +1.9 41
9 Widzew Łódź 33 38.2 37.2 +1.0 39
10 Korona Kielce 33 49.6 49.8 -0.2 42
11 Radomiak Radom 33 42.0 43.8 -1.8 44
12 Wisla Plock 33 41.6 44.2 -2.6 45
13 GKS Katowice 33 41.1 45.5 -4.4 49
14 Jagiellonia 33 42.4 48.3 -5.9 53
15 Zaglebie Lubin 33 33.5 42.8 -9.3 48
16 Nieciecza 32 41.1 53.0 -11.9 28
17 Motor Lublin 33 39.5 52.2 -12.7 43
18 Arka Gdynia 32 34.1 47.9 -13.8 36
Ekstraklasa Poland. Ekstraklasa Ramalan
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