Bournemouth · Model 43.9%
tersirat 22.7%
EV: 7.2%
EV terbaik (1X2) 7.2%
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Ya
— Nilai
Mengapa
Model menilai Bournemouth (1X2) kira-kira 21.2 mata peratus melebihi implied penutupan — bacaan struktur utama vs garisan.
Lebih 2.5 70.2% · Kurang 2.5 29.8%
EV Selesai 3.19% · EV Di Bawah -16.56%
Condong nilai:
Lebih 2.5
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 8.7%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 5.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai 3.19% ·
EV Di Bawah -16.56%
(9 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya 6.35% · EV No -23.47%
BTTS: EV Ya 6.35% · EV No -23.47%
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko)
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "950d5e76d2fe127564655dd5d101a155a0576e9d406bb7eb121f1107a685ebdf",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.67,
"away_win_prob": 0.3223,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2388,
"fair_odds_away": 3.1,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.19,
"fair_odds_home": 2.28,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.96,
"home_win_prob": 0.4389,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Manchester City",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Manchester City"
},
"away_xg": 1.67,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Bournemouth",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.2118,
"edge_gap": 0.116,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2269,
"model_prob": 0.4387,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.3,
"draw": 23.9,
"home": 43.9
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 4.19
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 4.19,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Bournemouth Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 4.41,
"market_odds": 4.19,
"model_odds": 2.28,
"overround": 5.2,
"prob_edge": 20.0,
"value_pct": 83.8,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 16,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 36,
"away_score_rate": 81.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 11,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 36,
"home_score_rate": 85.9,
"no_prob": 29.1,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 70.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 70.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.67,
"home_expected": 1.96,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 7.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 5.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Bournemouth or Draw",
"prob": 67.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Bournemouth or Manchester City",
"prob": 76.1
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Manchester City",
"prob": 56.1
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Bournemouth or Manchester City",
"pick_prob": 76.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 32.2,
"draw_pct": 23.9,
"home_pct": 43.9,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Bournemouth"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.63,
"away_avg_scored": 2.1,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.6,
"over_prob": 70.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 70.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.63,
"under_prob": 29.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 83.9,
"implied_prob": 23.9,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Bournemouth Win",
"model_prob": 43.9,
"odds": 4.19
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Manchester City",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Bournemouth",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 22.69,
"gap_pp": 21.18,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 43.87
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 22.69,
"gap_pp": 1.18,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 23.87
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.63,
"gap_pp": -22.37,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.26
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 64.66,
"gap_pp": 5.54,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 70.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 35.34,
"gap_pp": -5.54,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 29.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 4.19,
"early": 4.19,
"implied_closing_pct": 22.69,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 22.69,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 4.19,
"early": 4.19,
"implied_closing_pct": 22.69,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 22.69,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.74,
"early": 1.74,
"implied_closing_pct": 54.63,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 54.63,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.47,
"early": 1.47,
"implied_closing_pct": 64.66,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 64.66,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.69,
"early": 2.69,
"implied_closing_pct": 35.34,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 35.34,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 21.2,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 8.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.96,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2143,
"ev_yes": 0.0635,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0635,
"no_prob": 29.1,
"sort_key": 10207.15,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 70.9
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0716,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2269,
"max_ev": 0.0716,
"model_prob": 0.4387,
"side_label": "Bournemouth",
"sort_key": 10064.44,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.053,
"ev_under": -0.1656,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.053,
"over_prob": 70.2,
"sort_key": 10047.7,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 29.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 806.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 8.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 50,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/50.webp",
"away_team_name": "Manchester City",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
"country_name": "England",
"fixture_id": 1379331,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 35,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/35.webp",
"home_team_name": "Bournemouth",
"league_country": "England",
"league_id": 39,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/39.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 14:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3987,
"best_odd": 1.74,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0892,
"ev": -0.2046,
"implied_prob": 0.5463,
"model_prob": 0.3226,
"p_final": 0.4571
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1964,
"best_odd": 4.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0023,
"ev": -0.0397,
"implied_prob": 0.2269,
"model_prob": 0.2387,
"p_final": 0.2292
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1365,
"best_odd": 4.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0289,
"ev": 0.0716,
"implied_prob": 0.2269,
"model_prob": 0.4387,
"p_final": 0.2558
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.7,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": -0.0716,
"edge_yes": 0.0716,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2143,
"ev_yes": 0.0635,
"implied_no": 0.3626,
"implied_yes": 0.6374,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.5,
"best_under_odd": 2.8,
"edge_over": 0.0546,
"edge_under": -0.0546,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.053,
"ev_under": -0.1656,
"implied_over": 0.6474,
"implied_under": 0.3526,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.63,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0716,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.709,
"draw_prob": 0.2387,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4387,
"over_prob": 0.702,
"total_xg": 3.63,
"under_prob": 0.298,
"xg_diff": 0.29
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0289,
"ev": 0.0716,
"implied_prob": 0.2269,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4387,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Bournemouth"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0716,
"ev": 0.0635,
"implied_prob": 0.6374,
"model_prob": 0.709,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0546,
"ev": 0.053,
"implied_prob": 0.6474,
"model_prob": 0.702,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1379331,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0716,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3226,
"draw": 0.2387,
"home": 0.4387
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Manchester City",
"home": "Bournemouth"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.051775,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0635,
"implied_prob": 0.6374,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.709,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1379331,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:59:07.848060+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Bournemouth & Manchester City!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Premier League — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | MP | M | S | K | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 77 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 68 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 62 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 55 |
| 7 | Brighton | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 53 |
| 8 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 51 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 49 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 49 |
| 12 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 49 |
| 13 | Fulham | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 43 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 38 |
| 18 | West Ham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolves | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 19 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 36 | 75 | 32 | +43 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 68 | 26 | +42 | 79 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 37 | 66 | 50 | +16 | 68 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 37 | 62 | 52 | +10 | 59 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 36 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 55 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 36 | 55 | 49 | +6 | 49 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 62 |
| 8 | Brentford | 37 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 52 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 37 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Brighton | 37 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds | 37 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 47 |
| 12 | Everton | 37 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 37 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 36 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Fulham | 37 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | West Ham | 37 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 36 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 37 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 51 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolves | 37 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 19 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 62.1 | 27.7 | +34.4 | 79 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 36 | 65.8 | 39.0 | +26.8 | 77 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 37 | 62.8 | 47.7 | +15.1 | 68 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 36 | 62.0 | 48.3 | +13.7 | 49 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 57.2 | 45.7 | +11.5 | 59 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 56.5 | 47.8 | +8.7 | 45 |
| 7 | Brighton | 37 | 56.5 | 48.1 | +8.4 | 53 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 37 | 56.9 | 49.8 | +7.1 | 49 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 58.1 | 51.4 | +6.7 | 52 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 59.5 | 53.2 | +6.3 | 55 |
| 11 | Leeds | 37 | 52.8 | 52.4 | +0.4 | 47 |
| 12 | Fulham | 37 | 46.2 | 51.9 | -5.7 | 49 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 37 | 46.0 | 53.0 | -7.0 | 62 |
| 14 | Everton | 37 | 45.5 | 54.9 | -9.4 | 49 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 37 | 44.4 | 55.3 | -10.9 | 43 |
| 16 | West Ham | 37 | 42.5 | 55.2 | -12.7 | 36 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 36 | 38.1 | 51.2 | -13.1 | 38 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 37 | 37.2 | 52.5 | -15.3 | 51 |
| 19 | Wolves | 37 | 33.5 | 57.0 | -23.5 | 19 |
| 20 | Burnley | 36 | 31.2 | 72.9 | -41.7 | 21 |
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