Ya 49.6% · Tidak 50.4%
EV Ya -18.16% · EV No 15.92%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
Burnley · Model 36.7%
tersirat 38.1%
EV: -7.5%
EV terbaik (1X2) -1.8%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 13.1%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Jumlah matlamat yang dijangkakan (jumlah xG) berada dalam jalur sempadan — varians hasil adalah tinggi.(ΣxG ≈ 2.36)
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.0 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Lukis kebarangkalian melebihi 30% (−0.5)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -23.98% ·
EV Di Bawah 25.86%
(11 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -18.16% · EV No 15.92%
BTTS: EV Ya -18.16% · EV No 15.92%
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko)
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": 0.319,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3131,
"fair_odds_away": 3.13,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.19,
"fair_odds_home": 2.72,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.23,
"home_win_prob": 0.3679,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Burnley or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Burnley"
},
"away_xg": 1.13,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Burnley",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0221,
"edge_gap": 0.0481,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3896,
"model_prob": 0.3674,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 31.3,
"home": 36.7
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
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"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 2.52
},
{
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"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 2.48
},
{
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"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
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},
{
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"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 2.45
},
{
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"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 2.41
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"odd": 2.4
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"odd": 2.38
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 2.38
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.52,
"bookmaker_affi": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"display_market": "Burnley Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.57,
"market_odds": 2.43,
"model_odds": 2.72,
"overround": 5.5,
"prob_edge": -2.9,
"value_pct": -7.4,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 19,
"away_played": 36,
"away_score_rate": 67.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 13,
"home_played": 36,
"home_score_rate": 70.8,
"no_prob": 50.4,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 49.6
},
"correct_score": {
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"home_expected": 1.23,
"scores": [
{
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"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.1
},
{
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"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 11.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.1
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Burnley or Draw",
"prob": 68.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Burnley or Wolves",
"prob": 68.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Wolves",
"prob": 63.2
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Burnley or Wolves",
"pick_prob": 68.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 31.9,
"draw_pct": 31.3,
"home_pct": 36.8,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Burnley"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.36,
"away_avg_scored": 0.7,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.0,
"over_prob": 42.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 58.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.36,
"under_prob": 58.0
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"edge": 12.7,
"implied_prob": 27.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 31.3,
"odds": 3.6
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.1
}
},
"home_xg": 1.23,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2146,
"ev_under": 0.2064,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2064,
"over_prob": 42.0,
"sort_key": 10335.76,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 58.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.134,
"ev_yes": -0.1816,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.134,
"no_prob": 50.4,
"sort_key": 10120.6,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 49.6
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0849,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3892,
"max_ev": -0.0261,
"model_prob": 0.3674,
"side_label": "Burnley",
"sort_key": 1793.475,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 819.3,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.1
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 39,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/39.webp",
"away_team_name": "Wolves",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
"country_name": "England",
"fixture_id": 1379340,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 44,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/44.webp",
"home_team_name": "Burnley",
"league_country": "England",
"league_id": 39,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/39.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4394,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0069,
"ev": -0.0814,
"implied_prob": 0.335,
"model_prob": 0.3193,
"p_final": 0.3281
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2832,
"best_odd": 3.4,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0106,
"ev": -0.0261,
"implied_prob": 0.2759,
"model_prob": 0.3133,
"p_final": 0.2865
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4353,
"best_odd": 2.41,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0095,
"ev": -0.0849,
"implied_prob": 0.3892,
"model_prob": 0.3674,
"p_final": 0.3797
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.25,
"best_yes_odd": 1.65,
"edge_no": 0.0786,
"edge_yes": -0.0786,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.134,
"ev_yes": -0.1816,
"implied_no": 0.4254,
"implied_yes": 0.5746,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.87,
"best_under_odd": 2.08,
"edge_over": -0.1064,
"edge_under": 0.1064,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2146,
"ev_under": 0.2064,
"implied_over": 0.5264,
"implied_under": 0.4736,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.36,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2064,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.496,
"draw_prob": 0.3133,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3674,
"over_prob": 0.42,
"total_xg": 2.36,
"under_prob": 0.58,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0095,
"ev": -0.0849,
"implied_prob": 0.3892,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3674,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Burnley"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0786,
"ev": 0.134,
"implied_prob": 0.4254,
"model_prob": 0.504,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1064,
"ev": 0.2064,
"implied_prob": 0.4736,
"model_prob": 0.58,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1379340,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2064,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3193,
"draw": 0.3133,
"home": 0.3674
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"variance_medium"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.134,
"implied_prob": 0.4254,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.504,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.134,
"implied_prob": 0.4254,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.504,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Wolves",
"home": "Burnley"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.073743,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2064,
"implied_prob": 0.4736,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.58,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1379340,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-18T01:55:44.000442+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Burnley & Wolves!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Premier League — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | MP | M | S | K | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 77 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 68 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 62 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 55 |
| 7 | Brighton | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 53 |
| 8 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 51 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 49 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 49 |
| 12 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 49 |
| 13 | Fulham | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 43 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 38 |
| 18 | West Ham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolves | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 19 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 36 | 75 | 32 | +43 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 68 | 26 | +42 | 79 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 37 | 66 | 50 | +16 | 68 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 37 | 62 | 52 | +10 | 59 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 36 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 55 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 36 | 55 | 49 | +6 | 49 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 62 |
| 8 | Brentford | 37 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 52 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 37 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Brighton | 37 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds | 37 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 47 |
| 12 | Everton | 37 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 37 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 36 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Fulham | 37 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | West Ham | 37 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 36 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 37 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 51 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolves | 37 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 19 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 62.1 | 27.7 | +34.4 | 79 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 36 | 65.8 | 39.0 | +26.8 | 77 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 37 | 62.8 | 47.7 | +15.1 | 68 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 36 | 62.0 | 48.3 | +13.7 | 49 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 57.2 | 45.7 | +11.5 | 59 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 56.5 | 47.8 | +8.7 | 45 |
| 7 | Brighton | 37 | 56.5 | 48.1 | +8.4 | 53 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 37 | 56.9 | 49.8 | +7.1 | 49 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 58.1 | 51.4 | +6.7 | 52 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 59.5 | 53.2 | +6.3 | 55 |
| 11 | Leeds | 37 | 52.8 | 52.4 | +0.4 | 47 |
| 12 | Fulham | 37 | 46.2 | 51.9 | -5.7 | 49 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 37 | 46.0 | 53.0 | -7.0 | 62 |
| 14 | Everton | 37 | 45.5 | 54.9 | -9.4 | 49 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 37 | 44.4 | 55.3 | -10.9 | 43 |
| 16 | West Ham | 37 | 42.5 | 55.2 | -12.7 | 36 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 36 | 38.1 | 51.2 | -13.1 | 38 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 37 | 37.2 | 52.5 | -15.3 | 51 |
| 19 | Wolves | 37 | 33.5 | 57.0 | -23.5 | 19 |
| 20 | Burnley | 36 | 31.2 | 72.9 | -41.7 | 21 |
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