Predictions / Football / Toluca

Toluca Match Predictions, Stats & AI Betting Insights

Mexico Founded: 1917 TOL

Explore Toluca's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Toluca have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals per game. Their defensive record is solid, conceding just 0.6 goals per match. Recent form shows a W-W-W-W-W pattern, with a 5-game winning streak building momentum. At home they are considerably stronger with a 80% win rate compared to just 60% away. Their matches show a balanced goal output with 50% finishing Over 2.5 goals.

Current Form
W W W W W
Win Rate
80%
Record (Last 10)
8W 2D 0L
Prediction Accuracy
90%

Upcoming Toluca Matches (7)

Date
League
Match
Advice
Mar 15
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Atlas Atlas
50% 50% 0% PREDICTION
Double chance : Toluca or draw
Advice: Double chance : Toluca or draw
Mar 21
23:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Pachuca Pachuca
Toluca Toluca
Apr 06
00:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
Toluca Toluca
Apr 13
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
Apr 19
03:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Club America Club America
Toluca Toluca
Apr 23
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Mazatlán Mazatlán
Toluca Toluca
Apr 26
01:00
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Leon Leon

Recent Results & Statistics for Toluca (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome
Mar 08
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
FC Juarez FC Juarez
3-1
✔ Covered
Mar 04
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca Toluca
2-3
✔ Covered
Feb 28
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
2-0
✔ Covered
Feb 22
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Necaxa Necaxa
Toluca Toluca
0-3
✔ Covered
Feb 14
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
1-0
✔ Covered
Feb 07
D
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1-1
✔ Covered
Jan 18
D
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
Toluca Toluca
0-0
✔ Covered
Jan 15
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
3-1
✔ Covered
Jan 11
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Monterrey Monterrey
Toluca Toluca
0-1
✔ Covered
Dec 15
W
Liga MX Liga MX
Liga MX
Toluca Toluca
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
2-1
✖ Not Covered

Toluca Stats & Trends

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 19
Goals Conceded 6
Avg. Goals Scored 1.9
Avg. Goals Conceded 0.6

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 8
Draws 2
Losses 0
Win Rate 80%
Prediction Accuracy 90% (9/10)

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 9 out of 10 recent Toluca matches, achieving a 90% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (100%) than home matches (83%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 90%
Home Accuracy 83%
Away Accuracy 100%

Attacking Trends

Toluca average 1.9 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 17.8 shots per game with 6.1 on target (34.3% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.90 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. With 57% average possession, Toluca employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 1.9
Avg. Shots 17.8
Shot Accuracy 34.3%
Avg. xG 1.90
Possession 57%

Home vs Away Performance

Toluca display a moderate home advantage with a 80% home win rate (4W in 5 games) vs 60% on the road (3W in 5 games). At home, they score 2.0 goals/game and concede 0.6, while away they score 1.4 and concede 0.4. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 80%
Away Win Rate 60%
Home Goals/Game 2.0
Away Goals/Game 1.4

Goal Distribution

Toluca's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 27% coming before half-time and 73% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 45% of goals. Notably, 45% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

9%
0-15'
9%
16-30'
9%
31-45'
9%
46-60'
18%
61-75'
45%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 27%
2nd Half Goals 73%
Peak Period 76-90 min (45%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Toluca's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 1.9 + conceded 0.6). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%
Under 2.5 50%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5
BTTS Rate 50%

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