The model missed the final outcome (Gomora United FC win 0–1).
The model had projected The Bees at 40.9%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Grado de predicción
F
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 The Bees Gomora United FC ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-1 ✔ Correcto
Modelo vs Mercado de Cierre
| Resultado | Modelo | Mercado de cierre | Diferencia | Señal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bees | 40.9% | 37.4% | +3.5 pp | Aligned |
| Draw | 29.4% | 32.7% | -3.3 pp | Aligned |
| Gomora United FC | 29.7% | 30.0% | -0.3 pp | Aligned |
The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE5.
Después del tiempo completo, el resultado fue Gomora United FC win 0–1.
Market Assessment
The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.
- Current pricing remains close to the model baseline.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)
Market lesson
The full-time result was Gomora United FC win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Cronología de predicción
Cómo esta predicción pasó del pronóstico a la revisión a tiempo completo.
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 13:01 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · The Bees 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Gomora United FC 29.6%
- xG · The Bees 1.42 — Gomora United FC 1.18
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 12:35 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · The Bees 2.42 · Draw 2.77 · Gomora United FC 3.02
- Implied 1X2 · The Bees 37.4% · Draw 32.7% · Gomora United FC 30.0%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 13:01 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE5
- 1X2 odds · The Bees 2.42 · Draw 2.77 · Gomora United FC 3.02
- Implied 1X2 · The Bees 37.4% · Draw 32.7% · Gomora United FC 30.0%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Gomora United FC win · 0–1
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Instantánea histórica
Congelado en el inicio: el resultado del modelo tal como estaba antes de que comenzara el partido.
Veredicto histórico:
Observe
Decisión histórica
No Primary Bet
Resultado
Missed
Métricas previas al partido (contexto histórico)
Fiabilidad de predicción
77/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Evidencia
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Market Compatibility
82/100
Betting Confidence
80/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.42
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Gomora United FC win · The Bees 0–1 Gomora United FC
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Revisar preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Qué tan precisa fue la predicción?
- Esta página clasifica los mercados direccionales (1X2, Más/Menos de 2,5, BTTS) con respecto al resultado final. El grado de predicción refleja cuántos de esos mercados rastreados coincidieron con la realidad.
- ¿Qué mide la precisión xG?
- xG Accuracy compara el perfil de goles esperados previo al partido del modelo con el marcador real, no si todos los mercados acertaron. Una revisión direccional sólida puede coexistir con una puntuación de precisión xG moderada.
- ¿Por qué no se predijo la puntuación exacta?
- Los resultados de puntuación correcta son colas de baja probabilidad incluso cuando el modelo lee bien el perfil de coincidencia. Destacamos los contenedores de puntuación más altos para el contexto; faltar la línea exacta no invalida una revisión direccional.
- ¿Esto mejora el registro de IA?
- Cada partido finalizado se registra en nuestro proceso de validación. Las tasas de aciertos agregadas y los estudios CLV se publican por separado; esta página es el registro de auditoría por partido.
Las predicciones son sólo para fines informativos. Juega siempre de forma responsable y dentro de tus límites. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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],
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"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
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"final_verdict_audit": {
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"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
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"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates The Bees at 41.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 37.4%.",
"why": [
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"tone": "ok"
},
{
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"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
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"headline": "Primary Bet",
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"model_lean": "The Bees",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
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"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +25.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.9/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
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"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
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{
"key": "xg_calibration",
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"ok": true,
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},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "85 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "89 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+25.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (The Bees).",
"Decision strength: 7.9/10"
],
"reliability_score": 85,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0585,
"consensus_ev_display": "-5.9%",
"consensus_odds": 2.42,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3738,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4096,
"raw_edge_display": "+3.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 3.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4132231404958678,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0088,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-0.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.2,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.24
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "6/6",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 75,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 23.2,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 5.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 85,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 3.53,
"market_agreement": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 3.53,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.18,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.42,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.42,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.42 \u00b7 Away xG 1.18 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +5%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
"steam_conflicts": null,
"steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
"steam_team": "The Bees",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 89,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 82,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 40,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 82,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (The Bees).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 3.6,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 3.6,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (The Bees)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 3.6,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 3.6,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (The Bees)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.258,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.258,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.9,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.9,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 89,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates The Bees at 41.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 37.4%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies The Bees as the value side (41.0%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 3.6,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "The Bees",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +25.8% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.9/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +25.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.9/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "85 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "89 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+25.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (The Bees).",
"Decision strength: 7.9/10"
],
"reliability_score": 85,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0585,
"consensus_ev_display": "-5.9%",
"consensus_odds": 2.42,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3738,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4096,
"raw_edge_display": "+3.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 3.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4132231404958678,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0088,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-0.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.2,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.24
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: The Bees 1.42 xG vs Gomora United FC 1.18 \u2192 The Bees 40.9%",
"Market: The Bees ~37.4% implied",
"Market Steam: The Bees +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean The Bees with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 3.53,
"fair_prob": 40.91,
"label": "The Bees",
"market_prob": 37.38,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.26,
"fair_prob": 29.4,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 32.66,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.27,
"fair_prob": 29.69,
"label": "Gomora United FC",
"market_prob": 29.96,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.81,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 37.39,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.81,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 62.61,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 9.63,
"fair_prob": 54.1,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 44.47,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.63,
"fair_prob": 45.9,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 55.53,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": 3.53,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.91,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "The Bees",
"market_prob_pct": 37.38,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "The Bees"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE5.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 3.53,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE5.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "The Bees",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 37.4,
"model_prob_gap_display": "+3.5 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": 3.5,
"model_prob_pct": 40.9,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "+3.5 percentage points",
"gap_pp": 3.5,
"label": "High",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 85,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "The Bees \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 89,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 82,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 40,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 82,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: The Bees 1.42 xG vs Gomora United FC 1.18 \u2192 The Bees 40.9%",
"Market: The Bees ~37.4% implied",
"Market Steam: The Bees +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean The Bees with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 3.53,
"hero_label": "The Bees",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on The Bees.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on The Bees."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"Recent line movement on The Bees (+0.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (6/6) supports the current market view on The Bees."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 3.53,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 11.2 pp (at 40.9%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 11.2,
"max_prob_pct": 40.9,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "aligned",
"largest_gap_label": "The Bees",
"largest_gap_pp": 3.5,
"lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
"level": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 3.5,
"title": "Broadly Aligned"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 3.53,
"edge_pp": 3.53,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.91,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "The Bees",
"market_prob_pct": 37.38,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -3.26,
"edge_pp": -3.26,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.4,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 32.66,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -0.27,
"edge_pp": -0.27,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.69,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Gomora United FC",
"market_prob_pct": 29.96,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on The Bees.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers The Bees (37.4%).",
"The Bees \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 41.32,
"closing_odds": 2.42,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 41.32,
"entry_odds": 2.42,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE5",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "6/6",
"current_odds": 2.2,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.2,
"pick_team": "The Bees",
"steam_score": 32,
"steam_team_name": "The Bees",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 3.5,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Gomora United FC",
"away_team_id": 26396,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/26396.webp",
"away_team_name": "Gomora United FC",
"away_team_public_id": "0loCJ1EMyCD1cB",
"away_team_slug": "gomora-united-fc",
"country_code": "ZA",
"country_display_name": "South-Africa",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/za.svg",
"country_id": 143,
"country_name": "South-Africa",
"fixture_id": 1627711,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "South-Africa",
"home_team_display_name": "The Bees",
"home_team_id": 25529,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/25529.webp",
"home_team_name": "The Bees",
"home_team_public_id": "1uhtBSSkI9uR59",
"home_team_slug": "the-bees",
"league_country": "South-Africa",
"league_country_display": "South-Africa",
"league_display_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n de Sud\u00e1frica",
"league_id": 289,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/289.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n de Sud\u00e1frica",
"league_public_id": "0mhkYeVzyMafIi",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-06 13:00:00",
"public_id": "1QgKI75RxW7Wn1",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2986,
"best_odd": 3.02,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0009,
"ev": -0.0981,
"implied_prob": 0.2996,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.2996,
"draw": 0.3266,
"home": 0.3738
},
"model_prob": 0.2965,
"p_final": 0.2987
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4279,
"best_odd": 2.77,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.014,
"ev": -0.1341,
"implied_prob": 0.3266,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.2996,
"draw": 0.3266,
"home": 0.3738
},
"model_prob": 0.2939,
"p_final": 0.3126
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4259,
"best_odd": 2.42,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0152,
"ev": -0.0585,
"implied_prob": 0.3738,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.2996,
"draw": 0.3266,
"home": 0.3738
},
"model_prob": 0.4096,
"p_final": 0.389
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 3.02,
"edge": -0.0346,
"ev": -0.1045,
"implied_prob": 0.3311,
"model_prob": 0.2965
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 2.77,
"edge": -0.0671,
"ev": -0.1859,
"implied_prob": 0.361,
"model_prob": 0.2939
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.42,
"edge": -0.0037,
"ev": -0.0089,
"implied_prob": 0.4132,
"model_prob": 0.4096
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.2127,
"alpha_yes": 0.1933,
"best_no_odd": 1.66,
"best_yes_odd": 2.1,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": -0.0963,
"edge_yes": 0.0963,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2381,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.1207,
"ev_yes": 0.1361,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.0508,
"implied_no": 0.5553,
"implied_yes": 0.4447,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2127,
"best_odd": 1.65,
"edge": -0.02,
"ev": -0.1207,
"implied_prob": 0.5528,
"model_prob": 0.459,
"p_final": 0.5329
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1933,
"best_odd": 2.04,
"edge": 0.0181,
"ev": -0.0508,
"implied_prob": 0.4472,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"p_final": 0.4653
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"p_final_no": 0.5329,
"p_final_yes": 0.4653,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.1506,
"alpha_under": 0.2071,
"best_over_odd": 2.61,
"best_under_odd": 1.53,
"consensus_over_odd": 2.42,
"consensus_under_odd": 1.44,
"edge_over": 0.1081,
"edge_under": -0.1081,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.258,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.0575,
"ev_under": -0.2075,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.1297,
"implied_over": 0.3739,
"implied_over_mf": 0.3731,
"implied_under": 0.6261,
"implied_under_mf": 0.6269,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1506,
"best_odd": 2.42,
"edge": 0.0164,
"ev": -0.0575,
"implied_prob": 0.3731,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.3895
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2071,
"best_odd": 1.44,
"edge": -0.0226,
"ev": -0.1297,
"implied_prob": 0.6269,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.6044
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.3895,
"p_final_under": 0.6044,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.258,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.258,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.258,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 7.9,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.9,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 7.9,
"score_pre_penalty": 7.9
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 3.6,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 3.6,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (The Bees)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.258,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.258,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.9,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.9,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 89,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates The Bees at 41.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 37.4%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies The Bees as the value side (41.0%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 3.6,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "The Bees",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +25.8% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.9/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +25.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.9/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "85 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "89 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+25.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (The Bees).",
"Decision strength: 7.9/10"
],
"reliability_score": 85,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0585,
"consensus_ev_display": "-5.9%",
"consensus_odds": 2.42,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3738,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4096,
"raw_edge_display": "+3.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 3.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4132231404958678,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0088,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-0.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.2,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.24
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.541,
"draw_prob": 0.2939,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4096,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.24
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 2.42,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0152,
"ev": -0.0585,
"implied_prob": 0.3738,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4096,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "The Bees"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1933,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.04,
"edge": 0.0181,
"market_prob": 0.4472,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.541,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2127,
"best_odd": 1.65,
"edge": -0.02,
"ev": -0.1207,
"implied_prob": 0.5528,
"model_prob": 0.459,
"p_final": 0.5329
},
"p_final": 0.4653,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0508,
"value_side": "yes",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1933,
"best_odd": 2.04,
"edge": 0.0181,
"ev": -0.0508,
"implied_prob": 0.4472,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"p_final": 0.4653
}
},
"edge": 0.0963,
"ev": 0.1361,
"implied_prob": 0.4447,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1506,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.42,
"edge": 0.0164,
"market_prob": 0.3731,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1506,
"best_odd": 2.42,
"edge": 0.0164,
"ev": -0.0575,
"implied_prob": 0.3731,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.3895
},
"p_final": 0.3895,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0575,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2071,
"best_odd": 1.44,
"edge": -0.0226,
"ev": -0.1297,
"implied_prob": 0.6269,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.6044
},
"value_side": "over"
},
"edge": 0.1081,
"ev": 0.258,
"implied_prob": 0.3739,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1627711,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.258,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2965,
"draw": 0.2939,
"home": 0.4096
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1361,
"implied_prob": 0.4447,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.541,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1361,
"implied_prob": 0.4447,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.541,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Gomora United FC",
"home": "The Bees"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.087049,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.258,
"implied_prob": 0.3739,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0585,
"consensus_ev_display": "-5.9%",
"consensus_odds": 2.42,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3738,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4096,
"raw_edge_display": "+3.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 3.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4132231404958678,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0088,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-0.9%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1627711,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-06T13:01:09.579666+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Primera División de Sudáfrica — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magesi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 | Casric Stars | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Leicesterfield | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Highbury FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Hope FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Cape Town City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Upington City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Gomora United FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Lerumo Lions | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Hungry Lions | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Universidad de Pretoria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Midlands Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | NWU FC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | The Bees | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Orbit College FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Venda FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Upington City | 5 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 2 | Leicesterfield | 5 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 | Magesi | 5 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Casric Stars | 5 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Cape Town City | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 6 | Hungry Lions | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 | Gomora United FC | 5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Universidad de Pretoria | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Highbury FC | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Hope FC | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Midlands Wanderers | 5 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Venda FC | 5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 | NWU FC | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | The Bees | 5 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Orbit College FC | 5 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
