AI correctly predicted the Caerau (Ely) win.
The match finished 1–3, validating the model's directional assessment.
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Grado de predicción
F
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrecto
Modelo vs Mercado de Cierre
| Resultado | Modelo | Mercado de cierre | Diferencia | Señal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians | 31.0% | 28.3% | +2.7 pp | Aligned |
| Draw | 29.5% | 22.8% | +6.7 pp | Model Higher |
| Caerau (Ely) | 39.5% | 48.9% | -9.4 pp | Market Higher |
The closing market estimates Caerau (Ely)'s win probability at 48.9%, compared with the model's estimate of 39.5%, a difference of 9.4 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Después del tiempo completo, la inclinación direccional del modelo coincidió con el resultado (Caerau (Ely) win 1–3).
Market Assessment
The market and model broadly agree on Caerau (Ely). The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.
- Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 4 goals materialised
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Caerau (Ely) higher (48.9% vs model 39.5%, 9.4 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Caerau (Ely) win 1–3).
Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Cronología de predicción
Cómo esta predicción pasó del pronóstico a la revisión a tiempo completo.
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 13:32 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Cardiff Draconians 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Caerau (Ely) 39.5%
- xG · Cardiff Draconians 1.21 — Caerau (Ely) 1.39
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 13:08 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Cardiff Draconians 3.19 · Draw 3.96 · Caerau (Ely) 1.85
- Implied 1X2 · Cardiff Draconians 28.3% · Draw 22.8% · Caerau (Ely) 48.9%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 13:32 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Cardiff Draconians 3.19 · Draw 3.96 · Caerau (Ely) 1.85
- Implied 1X2 · Cardiff Draconians 28.3% · Draw 22.8% · Caerau (Ely) 48.9%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Caerau (Ely) win · 1–3
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Instantánea histórica
Congelado en el inicio: el resultado del modelo tal como estaba antes de que comenzara el partido.
Veredicto histórico:
Observe
Decisión histórica
No Primary Bet
Resultado
Validated
Métricas previas al partido (contexto histórico)
Fiabilidad de predicción
74/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Evidencia
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Pricing proximity (inverse gap)
53/100
Betting Confidence
77/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.85
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Caerau (Ely) win · Cardiff Draconians 1–3 Caerau (Ely)
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Revisar preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Qué tan precisa fue la predicción?
- Esta página clasifica los mercados direccionales (1X2, Más/Menos de 2,5, BTTS) con respecto al resultado final. El grado de predicción refleja cuántos de esos mercados rastreados coincidieron con la realidad.
- ¿Qué mide la precisión xG?
- xG Accuracy compara el perfil de goles esperados previo al partido del modelo con el marcador real, no si todos los mercados acertaron. Una revisión direccional sólida puede coexistir con una puntuación de precisión xG moderada.
- ¿Por qué no se predijo la puntuación exacta?
- Los resultados de puntuación correcta son colas de baja probabilidad incluso cuando el modelo lee bien el perfil de coincidencia. Destacamos los contenedores de puntuación más altos para el contexto; faltar la línea exacta no invalida una revisión direccional.
- ¿Esto mejora el registro de IA?
- Cada partido finalizado se registra en nuestro proceso de validación. Las tasas de aciertos agregadas y los estudios CLV se publican por separado; esta página es el registro de auditoría por partido.
Las predicciones son sólo para fines informativos. Juega siempre de forma responsable y dentro de tus límites. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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{
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},
{
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{
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],
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"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +44.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 (display only)",
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"ok": true,
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{
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"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "82 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "86 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+44.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Caerau (Ely)).",
"Decision strength: 6.8/10"
],
"reliability_score": 82,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1856,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.85,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4885,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5405405405405405,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2694,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.18"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.18
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "7/7",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 75,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 20.3,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 5.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 82,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 9.39,
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 9.39,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.39,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.21,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.39,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.21 \u00b7 Away xG 1.39 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +3%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
"steam_conflicts": null,
"steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
"steam_team": "Cardiff Draconians",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 86,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 39,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Caerau (Ely)).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 9.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Caerau (Ely))."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 9.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Caerau (Ely))."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.4452,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.4452,
"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 6.8,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.8,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 86,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Caerau (Ely) at 39.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.9%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Caerau (Ely) as the value side (39.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Caerau (Ely)",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +44.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 6.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +44.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "82 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "86 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+44.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Caerau (Ely)).",
"Decision strength: 6.8/10"
],
"reliability_score": 82,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1856,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.85,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4885,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5405405405405405,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2694,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.18"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.18
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Cardiff Draconians 1.21 xG vs Caerau (Ely) 1.39 \u2192 Caerau (Ely) 39.5%",
"Market: Caerau (Ely) ~48.9% implied",
"Market Steam: Cardiff Draconians +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Caerau (Ely) with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 2.7,
"fair_prob": 31.03,
"label": "Cardiff Draconians",
"market_prob": 28.33,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.69,
"fair_prob": 29.51,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 22.82,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.39,
"fair_prob": 39.46,
"label": "Caerau (Ely)",
"market_prob": 48.85,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -17.92,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 66.12,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 17.92,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 33.88,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -12.93,
"fair_prob": 54.3,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 67.23,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.93,
"fair_prob": 45.7,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 32.77,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -9.39,
"fair_prob_pct": 39.46,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Caerau (Ely)",
"market_prob_pct": 48.85,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Cardiff Draconians"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Caerau (Ely)\u0027s win probability at 48.9%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 39.5%, a difference of 9.4 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 9.39,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Caerau (Ely)",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 48.9,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -9.4,
"model_prob_pct": 39.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -9.4,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 82,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "Caerau (Ely) \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 86,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 39,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Cardiff Draconians 1.21 xG vs Caerau (Ely) 1.39 \u2192 Caerau (Ely) 39.5%",
"Market: Caerau (Ely) ~48.9% implied",
"Market Steam: Cardiff Draconians +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Caerau (Ely) with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -9.39,
"hero_label": "Caerau (Ely)",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Cardiff Draconians has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Caerau (Ely). The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Cardiff Draconians.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on Caerau (Ely). The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"However, Cardiff Draconians has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Cardiff Draconians."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices Caerau (Ely) above the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Cardiff Draconians has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (7/7) supports the current market view on Cardiff Draconians."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 9.39,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 8.4 pp (at 39.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 8.4,
"max_prob_pct": 39.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "moderate",
"largest_gap_label": "Caerau (Ely)",
"largest_gap_pp": -9.4,
"lead": "The closing market prices Caerau (Ely) higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 9.4,
"title": "Moderate Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 2.7,
"edge_pp": 2.7,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.03,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Cardiff Draconians",
"market_prob_pct": 28.33,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 6.69,
"edge_pp": 6.69,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.51,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 22.82,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": -9.39,
"edge_pp": -9.39,
"fair_prob_pct": 39.46,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Caerau (Ely)",
"market_prob_pct": 48.85,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Cardiff Draconians.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Caerau (Ely) (48.9%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Caerau (Ely), Market \u2192 Caerau (Ely), Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 54.05,
"closing_odds": 1.85,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 54.05,
"entry_odds": 1.85,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/7",
"current_odds": 3.2,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 3.2,
"pick_team": "Cardiff Draconians",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Cardiff Draconians",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 9.4,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "caerau-ely",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Caerau (Ely)",
"away_team_id": 5610,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/5610.webp",
"away_team_name": "Caerau (Ely)",
"away_team_public_id": "0czNBjfiUS3LMJ",
"away_team_slug": "caerau-ely",
"country_code": "GB-WLS",
"country_display_name": "Wales",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-wls.svg",
"country_id": 167,
"country_name": "Wales",
"fixture_id": 1580755,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Wales",
"home_team_display_name": "Cardiff Draconians",
"home_team_id": 7586,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7586.webp",
"home_team_name": "Cardiff Draconians",
"home_team_public_id": "37OXX25do9cDlH",
"home_team_slug": "cardiff-draconians",
"ht.home_team_slug": "cardiff-draconians",
"league_country": "Wales",
"league_country_display": "Wales",
"league_display_name": "Campeonato FAW",
"league_id": 111,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/111.webp",
"league_name": "Campeonato FAW",
"league_public_id": "1vRup4lQvPxvya",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-26 13:30:00",
"public_id": "3if0JFHoRShSt1",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.5158,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0483,
"ev": -0.1856,
"implied_prob": 0.4885,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4885,
"draw": 0.2282,
"home": 0.2833
},
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"p_final": 0.4402
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2701,
"best_odd": 3.96,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.018,
"ev": -0.0251,
"implied_prob": 0.2282,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4885,
"draw": 0.2282,
"home": 0.2833
},
"model_prob": 0.2947,
"p_final": 0.2462
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2878,
"best_odd": 3.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0078,
"ev": -0.0715,
"implied_prob": 0.2833,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4885,
"draw": 0.2282,
"home": 0.2833
},
"model_prob": 0.3103,
"p_final": 0.2911
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 1.85,
"edge": -0.1456,
"ev": -0.2694,
"implied_prob": 0.5405,
"model_prob": 0.3949
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.96,
"edge": 0.0422,
"ev": 0.1672,
"implied_prob": 0.2525,
"model_prob": 0.2947
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 3.19,
"edge": -0.0032,
"ev": -0.0101,
"implied_prob": 0.3135,
"model_prob": 0.3103
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.1449,
"alpha_yes": 0.1992,
"best_no_odd": 2.82,
"best_yes_odd": 1.36,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.1293,
"edge_yes": -0.1293,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2887,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0318,
"ev_yes": -0.2615,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1199,
"implied_no": 0.3277,
"implied_yes": 0.6723,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1449,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"edge": 0.0188,
"ev": -0.0318,
"implied_prob": 0.3269,
"model_prob": 0.457,
"p_final": 0.3458
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1992,
"best_odd": 1.36,
"edge": -0.0259,
"ev": -0.1199,
"implied_prob": 0.6731,
"model_prob": 0.543,
"p_final": 0.6472
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"p_final_no": 0.3458,
"p_final_yes": 0.6472,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.1771,
"alpha_under": 0.1288,
"best_over_odd": 1.5,
"best_under_odd": 2.79,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.36,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.78,
"edge_over": -0.1792,
"edge_under": 0.1792,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.277,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1324,
"ev_under": 0.4452,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0189,
"implied_over": 0.6612,
"implied_over_mf": 0.6715,
"implied_under": 0.3388,
"implied_under_mf": 0.3285,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1771,
"best_odd": 1.36,
"edge": -0.0336,
"ev": -0.1324,
"implied_prob": 0.6715,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.6379
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1288,
"best_odd": 2.78,
"edge": 0.0244,
"ev": -0.0189,
"implied_prob": 0.3285,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.3529
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.6379,
"p_final_under": 0.3529,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.4452,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.4452,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4452,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 6.8,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.8,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 6.8,
"score_pre_penalty": 7.8
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 9.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Caerau (Ely))."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.4452,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.4452,
"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 6.8,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.8,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 86,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Caerau (Ely) at 39.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.9%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Caerau (Ely) as the value side (39.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Caerau (Ely)",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +44.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 6.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +44.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "82 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "86 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+44.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Caerau (Ely)).",
"Decision strength: 6.8/10"
],
"reliability_score": 82,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1856,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.85,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4885,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5405405405405405,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2694,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.18"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.18
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.543,
"draw_prob": 0.2947,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3949,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.18
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.85,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0483,
"ev": -0.1856,
"implied_prob": 0.4885,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Caerau (Ely)"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1449,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.8,
"edge": 0.0188,
"market_prob": 0.3269,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.457,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1449,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"edge": 0.0188,
"ev": -0.0318,
"implied_prob": 0.3269,
"model_prob": 0.457,
"p_final": 0.3458
},
"p_final": 0.3458,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0318,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1992,
"best_odd": 1.36,
"edge": -0.0259,
"ev": -0.1199,
"implied_prob": 0.6731,
"model_prob": 0.543,
"p_final": 0.6472
}
},
"edge": 0.1293,
"ev": 0.2887,
"implied_prob": 0.3277,
"model_prob": 0.457,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1288,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.78,
"edge": 0.0244,
"market_prob": 0.3285,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1771,
"best_odd": 1.36,
"edge": -0.0336,
"ev": -0.1324,
"implied_prob": 0.6715,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.6379
},
"p_final": 0.3529,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0189,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1288,
"best_odd": 2.78,
"edge": 0.0244,
"ev": -0.0189,
"implied_prob": 0.3285,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.3529
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.1792,
"ev": 0.4452,
"implied_prob": 0.3388,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1580755,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4452,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3949,
"draw": 0.2947,
"home": 0.3103
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2887,
"implied_prob": 0.3277,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.457,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2887,
"implied_prob": 0.3277,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.457,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Caerau (Ely)",
"home": "Cardiff Draconians"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.16143,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4452,
"implied_prob": 0.3388,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1856,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.85,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4885,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5405405405405405,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2694,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.9%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1580755,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-26T13:32:10.251497+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Campeonato FAW — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Pontardawe Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanelli AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 6 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 11 |
| 4 | Treowen Stars | 7 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 13 |
| 5 | Pontypridd Town | 6 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 8 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Newport City | 5 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 |
| 14 | Llanelli AFC | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 2 |
| 15 | Pontardawe Town | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 |
