Sí 54.4% · No 45.6%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -18.9% · EV No +16.7%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
Evaluación de pronóstico
Pronóstico confiable
- Favorito
- Blacktown Spartans Partido equilibrado
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 40.4%
- Probabilidad de mercado
- 43.5%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Fuerte
- Validación
- Aprobar
Resumen:
Ambos se inclinan por Blacktown Spartans, pero el mercado les pone un precio más alto (43.5% vs modelo 40.4%). La ventaja sigue siendo modesta y el partido permanece relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
Inteligencia de movimientos de mercado
- movimiento actual
- Bankstown City Lions ↑ +3.2% 3.1 → 3.2
- Tipo de movimiento
- ⚠️ Mercado volátil
- Puntuación de vapor
- 17C
Limited conviction - Amplitud del mercado
- 3/11
- Fase
- Volátil
- Libro de referencia
- Bet365
Movimiento liderado por sharp: Pinnacle - validación CLV
- +0.00 pp
Movimiento con mayor consenso
Camino de probabilidades — Bankstown City Lions
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 12h
Abierto
3.75
Bajo/Alto
2.60
Actual
3.20
Narrativa de mercado
Precios volátiles bidireccionales en Bankstown City Lions (oscilación 3.75 → 2.60 → 3.20) — neto 3.2% pero alta volatilidad intradía.
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Auditoría de Mercado
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Fuerte
- Validación
- Aprobar
- Mayor brecha
- Empate +3.2 pp
- Amplitud
- 3/11
- Actividad actual del mercado
- Las probabilidades de {equipo} se alargaron ↑ +3.2%.
Evaluación de mercado
El mercado y el modelo están ampliamente alineados. Cualquier pequeña brecha de precios probablemente refleja un redondeo o un margen de las casas de apuestas, no un desacuerdo estructural.
Sin embargo, Bankstown City Lions ha visto una desviación: las probabilidades aumentaron con 3.2%, lo que sugiere un debilitamiento del soporte. La confirmación sigue siendo limitada (3/11 libros), lo que sugiere un interés temprano en lugar de un movimiento amplio del mercado.
- Los precios actuales se mantienen cerca de la base del modelo.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blacktown Spartans | 40.43% | 43.53% | -3.1 pp |
| Empate | 28.29% | 25.09% | +3.2 pp |
| Bankstown City Lions | 31.28% | 31.38% | -0.1 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Veredicto final de apuestas
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
- Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
- Valor posible: Menos de 2.5 (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Valor posible: BTTS No (+16.7% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
Convicción moderada (6.5/10): una línea selectiva, no una apuesta por múltiples mercados.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5
— Valor
Blacktown Spartans · Probabilidad del modelo 40.5%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 43.5%
EV línea de consenso: -13.9%
Mejor línea disponible (casa de apuestas): -7.9% vehículo eléctrico
Algunas cuotas outlier de casas de apuestas pueden seguir mostrando un pequeño valor teórico frente a la línea de consenso anterior.
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.5%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
- Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado -26.2% ·
EV inferior +25%+
(8 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -18.9% · EV No +16.7%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -18.9% · EV No +16.7%
Ciclo de vida de decisión
Etapa actual: Esperando el inicio
- Pronóstico generado
- Mercado comparado
- Validación aprobada
- Cierre grabado
- CLV evaluado
- Entrada
- 3.54
- Cierre
- 3.54
- CLV
- +0.0 pp
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0
Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "b3d23036ff6eff5c95ea806f23b80bd6303083958d45972a0695e82ac58caadd",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.3128,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.2829,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.4043,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.22,
"away_win_prob": 0.3128,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.3128,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.456,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2829,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.2829,
"fair_odds_away": 3.2,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 3.2,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.53,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.53,
"fair_odds_home": 2.47,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.47,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.38,
"home_win_prob": 0.4043,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.4043,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Blacktown Spartans or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"away_xg": 1.22,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0307,
"edge_gap": 0.0923,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4353,
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 31.2,
"draw": 28.3,
"home": 40.5
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.04
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.04,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Blacktown Spartans Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.3,
"market_odds": 2.04,
"model_odds": 2.47,
"overround": 12.6,
"prob_edge": -8.5,
"value_pct": -17.4,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 2,
"away_played": 18,
"away_score_rate": 70.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 1,
"home_played": 18,
"home_score_rate": 74.8,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.22,
"home_expected": 1.38,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Blacktown Spartans or Draw",
"prob": 68.7
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Blacktown Spartans or Bankstown City Lions",
"prob": 71.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Bankstown City Lions",
"prob": 59.6
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Blacktown Spartans or Bankstown City Lions",
"pick_prob": 71.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 31.3,
"draw_pct": 28.3,
"home_pct": 40.4,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 2.3,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 0.2,
"implied_prob": 28.2,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 28.3,
"odds": 3.54
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Blacktown Spartans",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.53,
"gap_pp": -3.07,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 40.46
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.09,
"gap_pp": 3.22,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 28.31
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.38,
"gap_pp": -0.15,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 31.23
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.47,
"gap_pp": -12.27,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.53,
"gap_pp": 12.27,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.04,
"early": 2.04,
"implied_closing_pct": 43.53,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 43.53,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.54,
"early": 3.54,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.09,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.09,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.83,
"early": 2.83,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.38,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.38,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.51,
"early": 1.51,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.47,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.47,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.31,
"early": 2.31,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.53,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.53,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 12.3,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.38,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2625,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -26.2,
"text": "-26.2%"
},
"ev_under": 0.2639,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 26.4,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2639,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10387.51,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1674,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 16.7,
"text": "+16.7%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.1894,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -18.9,
"text": "-18.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1674,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 10150.66,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1388,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -13.9,
"text": "-13.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4353,
"max_ev": -0.0794,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -7.9,
"text": "-7.9%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"side_label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"sort_key": 1780.15,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "3/11",
"alert_breadth_note": "3/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +3.2%",
"alert_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 3.2,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 3.2,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 43.5,
"market_team": "Blacktown Spartans",
"model_prob_pct": 40.4,
"model_team": "Blacktown Spartans",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.1,
"fair_prob": 40.43,
"label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"market_prob": 43.53,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.2,
"fair_prob": 28.29,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.09,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.1,
"fair_prob": 31.28,
"label": "Bankstown City Lions",
"market_prob": 31.38,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -12.75,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 60.95,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.75,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 39.05,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.5,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 62.9,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.5,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 37.1,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": 3.2,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.29,
"hero_side": "draw",
"hero_team_name": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.09,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Bankstown City Lions"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 3.2,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 43.5,
"model_prob_pct": 40.4,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean Blacktown Spartans, but the market prices them higher (43.5% vs model 40.4%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 3.2,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"hero_side": "draw",
"market_activity": "Bankstown City Lions odds lengthened \u2191 +3.2%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, Bankstown City Lions has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.2%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (3/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, Bankstown City Lions has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.2%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (3/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, Bankstown City Lions has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.2%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (3/11), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 3.2,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 9.1 pp (at 40.4%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 9.1,
"max_prob_pct": 40.4,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.1,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.43,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Blacktown Spartans",
"market_prob_pct": 43.53,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.2,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.29,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.09,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.1,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.28,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Bankstown City Lions",
"market_prob_pct": 31.38,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Blacktown Spartans (43.5%).",
"Bankstown City Lions has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2191 +3.2%, 3/11).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Blacktown Spartans, Market \u2192 Blacktown Spartans, Recent sharp money \u2192 Bankstown City Lions.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 28.25,
"closing_odds": 3.54,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 28.25,
"entry_odds": 3.54,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 3,
"books_total": 11,
"breadth_display": "3/11",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.2,
"move_context": "Highest consensus move",
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.2%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.2,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Bankstown City Lions (swing 3.75 \u2192 2.60 \u2192 3.20) \u2014 net 3.2% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "3.75 \u2192 2.60 \u2192 3.20",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"pick_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.75"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.60"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.20"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,4.9 28.0,18.0 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing"
},
"open_odds": 3.1,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "3/11",
"current_odds": 3.2,
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.2%",
"open_odds": 3.1,
"pick_team": "Bankstown City Lions",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_team_name": "Bankstown City Lions",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 3.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 20790,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/20790.webp",
"away_team_name": "Bankstown City Lions",
"country_code": "AU",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
"country_name": "Australia",
"fixture_id": 1517785,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Australia",
"home_team_id": 16771,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16771.webp",
"home_team_name": "Blacktown Spartans",
"league_country": "Australia",
"league_id": 835,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/835.webp",
"league_name": "New South Wales NPL 2",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 10:15:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.449,
"best_odd": 2.83,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0007,
"ev": -0.1138,
"implied_prob": 0.3138,
"model_prob": 0.3123,
"p_final": 0.3131
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2855,
"best_odd": 3.54,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0092,
"ev": -0.0794,
"implied_prob": 0.2509,
"model_prob": 0.2831,
"p_final": 0.2601
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4293,
"best_odd": 2.04,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0132,
"ev": -0.1388,
"implied_prob": 0.4353,
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"p_final": 0.4221
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.56,
"best_yes_odd": 1.49,
"edge_no": 0.085,
"edge_yes": -0.085,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1674,
"ev_yes": -0.1894,
"implied_no": 0.371,
"implied_yes": 0.629,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.53,
"best_under_odd": 2.44,
"edge_over": -0.1275,
"edge_under": 0.1275,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2625,
"ev_under": 0.2639,
"implied_over": 0.6095,
"implied_under": 0.3905,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2639,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2831,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4046,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.16
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0132,
"ev": -0.1388,
"implied_prob": 0.4353,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4046,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.085,
"ev": 0.1674,
"implied_prob": 0.371,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1275,
"ev": 0.2639,
"implied_prob": 0.3905,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1517785,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2639,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3123,
"draw": 0.2831,
"home": 0.4046
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1674,
"implied_prob": 0.371,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1674,
"implied_prob": 0.371,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Bankstown City Lions",
"home": "Blacktown Spartans"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.09569,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2639,
"implied_prob": 0.3905,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1517785,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T12:27:18.734691+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Blacktown Spartans & Bankstown City Lions!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Australia. New South Wales NPL 2 Predicciones
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
Bundesliga
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
