Pronóstico confiable
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
La estimación justa y el precio de mercado difieren modestamente. Monitorear antes del inicio.
La estimación justa muestra una modesta ventaja sobre el precio actual de mercado en JäPS.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| JäPS | 35.5% | 29.22% | +6.3 pp |
| Empate | 29.0% | 29.6% | -0.6 pp |
| PK-35 | 35.5% | 41.18% | -5.7 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
JäPS market context before kickoff
⚠️ Mercado volátil on JäPS
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.565,
"draw_prob": 0.2901,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3549,
"over_prob": 0.506,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.0
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0154,
"ev": -0.0568,
"implied_prob": 0.299,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3549,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "J\u00e4PS"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0524,
"ev": 0.0565,
"implied_prob": 0.5126,
"model_prob": 0.565,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0518,
"ev": 0.0626,
"implied_prob": 0.4542,
"model_prob": 0.506,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1504242,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0626,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3549,
"draw": 0.2901,
"home": 0.3549
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "PK-35",
"home": "J\u00e4PS"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.031922,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0565,
"implied_prob": 0.5126,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.565,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1504242,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T00:42:00.786033+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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