AI correctly predicted the Jiskra Domažlice win.
The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Jiskra Domažlice Jiskra Domažlice ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-3 2-0 ✖ Incorrecto
Post Match Insights
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Jiskra Domažlice win 2–0).
Cronología de predicción
Cómo esta predicción pasó del pronóstico a la revisión a tiempo completo.
-
May 16, 2026 · 14:58 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Jiskra Domažlice 1.45 — Kladno 1.25
-
May 16, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Jiskra Domažlice win · 2–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Instantánea histórica
Congelado en el inicio: el resultado del modelo tal como estaba antes de que comenzara el partido.
Métricas previas al partido (contexto histórico)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Revisar preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Qué tan precisa fue la predicción?
- Esta página clasifica los mercados direccionales (1X2, Más/Menos de 2,5, BTTS) con respecto al resultado final. El grado de predicción refleja cuántos de esos mercados rastreados coincidieron con la realidad.
- ¿Qué mide la precisión xG?
- xG Accuracy compara el perfil de goles esperados previo al partido del modelo con el marcador real, no si todos los mercados acertaron. Una revisión direccional sólida puede coexistir con una puntuación de precisión xG moderada.
- ¿Por qué no se predijo la puntuación exacta?
- Los resultados de puntuación correcta son colas de baja probabilidad incluso cuando el modelo lee bien el perfil de coincidencia. Destacamos los contenedores de puntuación más altos para el contexto; faltar la línea exacta no invalida una revisión direccional.
- ¿Esto mejora el registro de IA?
- Cada partido finalizado se registra en nuestro proceso de validación. Las tasas de aciertos agregadas y los estudios CLV se publican por separado; esta página es el registro de auditoría por partido.
Las predicciones son sólo para fines informativos. Juega siempre de forma responsable y dentro de tus límites. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "453a05e320637b1b0f612753ecf80ab0320a3e5137efbeea84e4c4dad4e79d74",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Kladno and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Kladno"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0664,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3513,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 14,
"away_failed_to_score": 2,
"away_played": 27,
"away_score_rate": 92.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 4,
"home_played": 27,
"home_score_rate": 85.2,
"no_prob": 21.1,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 78.9,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 78.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 2.15,
"home_expected": 1.65,
"scores": [
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 7.9
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 7.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 6.5
},
{
"away": 3,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-3",
"prob": 6.1
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice or Kladno",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Kladno",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Kladno",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 3.8,
"away_avg_scored": 2.9,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 2.4,
"over_prob": 73.1,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 73.1,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.8,
"under_prob": 26.9
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Kladno",
"closing_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"early_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 35.13,
"gap_pp": 6.64,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.45,
"gap_pp": -0.78,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 38.43,
"gap_pp": -5.86,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 56.15,
"gap_pp": 16.95,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 73.1
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.85,
"gap_pp": -16.95,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 26.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.89,
"gap_pp": 19.01,
"kind": "btts_y",
"model_pct": 78.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 40.11,
"gap_pp": -19.01,
"kind": "btts_n",
"model_pct": 21.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.56,
"early": 2.56,
"implied_closing_pct": 35.13,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 35.13,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.4,
"early": 3.4,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.45,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.45,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.34,
"early": 2.34,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.43,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.43,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.64,
"early": 1.64,
"implied_closing_pct": 56.15,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 56.15,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.1,
"early": 2.1,
"implied_closing_pct": 43.85,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 43.85,
"kind": "ou_u"
},
{
"closing": 1.52,
"early": 1.52,
"implied_closing_pct": 59.89,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 59.89,
"kind": "btts_y"
},
{
"closing": 2.27,
"early": 2.27,
"implied_closing_pct": 40.11,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 40.11,
"kind": "btts_n"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 19.0,
"kind": "btts_y"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.5252,
"ev_yes": 0.1598,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1598,
"no_prob": 21.1,
"sort_key": 10293.82,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 78.9
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1696,
"ev_under": -0.4432,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1696,
"over_prob": 73.1,
"sort_key": 10152.64,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 26.9,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0319,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3513,
"max_ev": -0.0319,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice",
"sort_key": 1792.025,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 805.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-2",
"top_prob": 8.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 7307,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/7307.webp",
"away_team_name": "Kladno",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
"fixture_id": 1489703,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 7304,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7304.webp",
"home_team_name": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 348,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/348.webp",
"league_name": "Tercera Liga - CFL A de Rep\u00fablica Checa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4104,
"best_odd": 2.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0241,
"ev": -0.1571,
"implied_prob": 0.3843,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3602
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2965,
"best_odd": 3.4,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0023,
"ev": -0.1086,
"implied_prob": 0.2645,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2622
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4052,
"best_odd": 2.56,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0269,
"ev": -0.0319,
"implied_prob": 0.3513,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3782
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.25,
"best_yes_odd": 1.47,
"edge_no": -0.1842,
"edge_yes": 0.1842,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.5252,
"ev_yes": 0.1598,
"implied_no": 0.3952,
"implied_yes": 0.6048,
"n_bookmakers": 1,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.6,
"best_under_odd": 2.07,
"edge_over": 0.167,
"edge_under": -0.167,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1696,
"ev_under": -0.4432,
"implied_over": 0.564,
"implied_under": 0.436,
"n_bookmakers": 1,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1696,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.789,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.731,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.269,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0269,
"ev": -0.0319,
"implied_prob": 0.3513,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1842,
"ev": 0.1598,
"implied_prob": 0.6048,
"model_prob": 0.789,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.167,
"ev": 0.1696,
"implied_prob": 0.564,
"model_prob": 0.731,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1489703,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1696,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1696,
"implied_prob": 0.564,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.731,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1696,
"implied_prob": 0.564,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.731,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Kladno",
"home": "Jiskra Doma\u017elice"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.095822,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1598,
"implied_prob": 0.6048,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.789,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1489703,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:58:21.508569+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Jiskra Domažlice & Kladno!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Tercera Liga - CFL A de República Checa — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kladno | 32 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 72 |
| 2 | Jiskra Domažlice | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 69 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 61 |
| 4 | Písek | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Králův Dvůr | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Admira Praga | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Slavia III | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | České Budějovice II | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 45 |
| 9 | Aritma Praha | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | Loko Vltavín | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 40 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 B | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Dukla Praha II | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 38 |
| 14 | Motorlet Praga | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sokol Hostouň | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 16 | Petřín Plzeň | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 28 |
| 17 | Táborsko II | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kladno | 32 | 84 | 26 | +58 | 72 |
| 2 | Jiskra Domažlice | 32 | 80 | 42 | +38 | 69 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 32 | 75 | 53 | +22 | 61 |
| 4 | České Budějovice II | 32 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Králův Dvůr | 32 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 49 |
| 6 | Bohemians 1905 B | 32 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia III | 32 | 54 | 47 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Písek | 32 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 52 |
| 9 | Dukla Praha II | 32 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | Admira Praga | 32 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 48 |
| 11 | Aritma Praha | 32 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 12 | Příbram II | 32 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Petřín Plzeň | 32 | 38 | 73 | -35 | 28 |
| 14 | Loko Vltavín | 32 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 44 |
| 15 | Motorlet Praga | 32 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Sokol Hostouň | 32 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Táborsko II | 32 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 16 |