Predicciones / Fútbol / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie E / Nové Sady vs Sokol Lanžhot

Nové Sady vs Sokol Lanžhot Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Nové Sady Nové Sady
May 16, 2026 - 15:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
Sokol Lanžhot Sokol Lanžhot

Evaluación de pronóstico

Tenga cuidado

Favorito
Nové Sady Partido equilibrado
Probabilidad del modelo
41.8%
Probabilidad de mercado
21.5%
Acuerdo de mercado
Débil
Validación
Advertencia

Resumen:

Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.

Auditoría de Mercado

Acuerdo de mercado
Débil
Validación
Advertencia
Mayor brecha
Sokol Lanžhot -21.5 pp
Amplitud
8/8
Actividad actual del mercado
Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.

La estimación justa difiere sustancialmente de los precios actuales del mercado. Pueden ocurrir grandes divergencias cuando los datos de calificación son incompletos, las estimaciones de la fuerza del equipo son inciertas o el mercado incorpora información que no está presente en el modelo. Interprete con precaución.

Resultado Justo Mercado Borde
Nové Sady 41.77% 21.53% +20.2 pp
Empate 25.67% 24.37% +1.3 pp
Sokol Lanžhot 32.57% 54.09% -21.5 pp

Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.

Se requiere validación del modelo

El modelo y el mercado difieren materialmente (21.5 puntos porcentuales). Se recomienda una validación adicional antes de interpretar esta comparación.

  • Detectada divergencia extrema entre modelos y mercados.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5 — Valor
vehículo eléctrico +6.2% Modelo 49.4%
No es un resultado dominante (la probabilidad del modelo es inferior al 50% en este tramo).
1X2 Tendencia
Nové Sady · Probabilidad del modelo 41.8%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 21.5%
EV línea de consenso: +0.3%
Ambos Equipos Marcarán Poco valor
Sí 56.2% · No 43.8%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -10.1% · EV No -5.8%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
Perspectivas de marcador exacto Fuera / diversión
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.2%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Valor selectivo — Al menos un mercado rastreado puede alcanzar +EV con las mejores probabilidades, pero la convicción es limitada (5.0/10): tamaño reducido.
Fuerza de la decisión: 5.0 / 10
  • Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
  • Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
Fuera/U 2.5: EV terminado -18.0% · EV inferior +6.2% (6 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -10.1% · EV No -5.8%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Nové Sady market context before kickoff

⚠️ Mercado volátil on Nové Sady

Odds move
4.12 → 4.12 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
8/8
Steam score
30 (C)
Current status
Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.

Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Ciclo de vida de decisión

Etapa actual: Esperando el inicio

  1. Pronóstico generado
  2. Mercado comparado
  3. Validación aprobada
  4. Cierre grabado
  5. CLV evaluado
Entrada
1.64
Cierre
1.64
CLV
+0.0 pp
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0 Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON 
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Sokol Lan\u017ehot",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "50%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "0%",
      "winner_name": "Sokol Lan\u017ehot"
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Nov\u00e9 Sady",
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      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.2023,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2153,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 23,
        "away_score_rate": 82.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 23,
        "home_score_rate": 60.9,
        "no_prob": 49.7,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 50.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 50.3
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.8,
        "home_expected": 0.95,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
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            "away": 1,
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
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            "prob": 10.4
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 6.4
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Nov\u00e9 Sady or Draw",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Nov\u00e9 Sady or Sokol Lan\u017ehot",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Sokol Lan\u017ehot",
            "prob": 100.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Sokol Lan\u017ehot",
        "pick_prob": 100.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 50.0,
        "draw_pct": 50.0,
        "home_pct": 0.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.75,
        "under_prob": 48.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Sokol Lan\u017ehot",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Nov\u00e9 Sady",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 21.53,
          "gap_pp": 20.23,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 24.37,
          "gap_pp": 1.3,
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          "model_pct": 25.67
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 54.09,
          "gap_pp": -21.53,
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          "model_pct": 32.57
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 57.18,
          "gap_pp": -5.28,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 42.82,
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      "movement": [
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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          "kind": "1x2_h"
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          "closing": 3.64,
          "early": 3.64,
          "implied_closing_pct": 24.37,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 24.37,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.64,
          "early": 1.64,
          "implied_closing_pct": 54.09,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 54.09,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.61,
          "early": 1.61,
          "implied_closing_pct": 57.18,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 57.18,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.15,
          "early": 2.15,
          "implied_closing_pct": 42.82,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.82,
          "kind": "ou_u"
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      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "ev_yes": -0.1952,
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        "id": "btts",
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        "no_prob": 49.7,
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        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 50.3
      },
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      },
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        "sort_key": 814.5,
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      }
    ],
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 7351,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/7351.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Sokol Lan\u017ehot",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 7322,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7322.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Nov\u00e9 Sady",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 354,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/354.webp",
      "league_name": "4. liga - Divizie E",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
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        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": -0.2563,
            "implied_prob": 0.5409,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.4535
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2942,
            "best_odd": 3.64,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0038,
            "ev": -0.099,
            "implied_prob": 0.2437,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2475
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1393,
            "best_odd": 4.12,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0282,
            "ev": 0.0033,
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.6,
          "edge_no": 0.0678,
          "edge_yes": -0.0678,
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          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
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          "best_over_odd": 1.62,
          "best_under_odd": 2.15,
          "edge_over": -0.0465,
          "edge_under": 0.0465,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1592,
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          "implied_over": 0.5655,
          "implied_under": 0.4345,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0686,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.503,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.519,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.481,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0282,
          "ev": 0.0033,
          "implied_prob": 0.2153,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Nov\u00e9 Sady"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0678,
          "ev": 0.0686,
          "implied_prob": 0.4292,
          "model_prob": 0.497,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0465,
          "ev": 0.0342,
          "implied_prob": 0.4345,
          "model_prob": 0.481,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1487692,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0686,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Sokol Lan\u017ehot",
        "home": "Nov\u00e9 Sady"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.034094,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0686,
        "implied_prob": 0.4292,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.497,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1487692,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T14:59:39.354805+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Predicciones
4. liga - Divizie E 4. liga - Divizie E — Clasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Uherský Brod 27 21 6 0 69
2 Kozlovice 28 16 8 4 56
3 Tatran Všechovice 28 17 5 7 53
4 Strání 27 16 3 8 51
5 Sokol Lanžhot 26 13 6 7 45
6 Slavičín 27 13 6 9 45
7 Brumov 27 13 4 10 43
8 Bzenec 27 13 2 12 41
9 Baťov 27 9 7 11 34
10 Břeclav 28 10 3 15 33
11 Kroměříž II 28 8 3 17 27
12 Holešov 27 6 6 15 24
13 Šternberk 28 5 7 16 22
14 Nové Sady 26 3 8 15 17
15 Skaštice 27 3 4 20 13
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Tatran Všechovice 28 67 38 +29 53
2 Kozlovice 28 59 30 +29 56
3 Bzenec 27 59 52 +7 41
4 Uherský Brod 27 55 14 +41 69
5 Strání 27 54 32 +22 51
6 Sokol Lanžhot 26 45 25 +20 45
7 Brumov 27 42 34 +8 43
8 Slavičín 27 40 38 +2 45
9 Holešov 27 39 53 -14 24
10 Břeclav 28 36 50 -14 33
11 Šternberk 28 35 54 -19 22
12 Baťov 27 31 41 -10 34
13 Kroměříž II 28 30 55 -25 27
14 Nové Sady 26 27 53 -26 17
15 Skaštice 27 24 78 -54 13
4. liga - Divizie E Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie E Predicciones
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