Veredicto final de apuestas
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
- Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
- Valor posible: Menos de 2.5 (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Valor posible: BTTS No (+25%+ EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Steam cambió el precio de este partido: es posible que el dinero atrasado se haya comido la ventaja restante en el lado vaporizado.
Convicción moderada (6.5/10): una línea selectiva, no una apuesta por múltiples mercados.
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
BTTS No
— Valor
Steam vs. valor
📈 Steam · Empate ↑ +12.1% · 13/14 · 70 A
| Steam de mercado | Moderado |
|---|---|
| EV actual | Negativo |
| Presión línea de cierre | Alto |
| Valor restante | Limitado |
Por qué
El modelo tasa Menos de 2,5 goles unos 16.9 puntos porcentuales por encima de la implícita de cierre — la lectura estructural principal frente a la línea.
Más de 2.5 49.4% · Menos de 2.5 50.6%
EV terminado -24.4% · EV inferior +25%+
Lectura de valor:
Menos de 2.5
Slavia Praha II · Modelo 41.8%
implícita 39.7%
Mercado de consenso principal · vehículo eléctrico: -7.4%
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.3%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
- Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado -24.4% ·
EV inferior +25%+
(11 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -25.1% · EV No +25%+
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -25.1% · EV No +25%+
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Estructura de Mercado + Ajuste de Riesgo)
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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{
"key": "12",
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"closing_line_bundle": {
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"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
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"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Slavia Praha II",
"largest_move_kind": null,
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"homepage_pick": null,
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"match": {
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"away_team_id": 3730,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3730.webp",
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"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
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"home_team_name": "Slavia Praha II",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 346,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/346.webp",
"league_name": "FNL",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
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],
"score": 6.5
},
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 2.54,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0133,
"ev": -0.128,
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"p_final": 0.3433
},
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"best_odd": 3.68,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0031,
"ev": -0.0828,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 2.28,
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0089,
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.1643,
"edge_yes": -0.1643,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.503,
"ev_yes": -0.2515,
"implied_no": 0.3367,
"implied_yes": 0.6633,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.53,
"best_under_odd": 2.75,
"edge_over": -0.1541,
"edge_under": 0.1541,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2442,
"ev_under": 0.3915,
"implied_over": 0.6481,
"implied_under": 0.3519,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
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"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
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"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.503,
"confidence": 6.5,
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"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
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"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.499,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.494,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.506,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0089,
"ev": -0.0739,
"implied_prob": 0.3973,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Slavia Praha II"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1643,
"ev": 0.503,
"implied_prob": 0.3367,
"model_prob": 0.501,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1541,
"ev": 0.3915,
"implied_prob": 0.3519,
"model_prob": 0.506,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
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"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.503,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
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"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3915,
"implied_prob": 0.3519,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.506,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3915,
"implied_prob": 0.3519,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.506,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Vla\u0161im",
"home": "Slavia Praha II"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.252003,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.503,
"implied_prob": 0.3367,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.501,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1477420,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T19:11:57.827398+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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FNL — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zbrojovka Brno | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 73 |
| 2 | Táborsko | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 |
| 3 | Artis | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 52 |
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 48 |
| 5 | Příbram | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava II | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Opava | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Viktoria Žižkov | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 41 |
| 9 | Vlašim | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 |
| 10 | Slavia Praha II | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 35 |
| 11 | České Budějovice | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 34 |
| 12 | Chrudim | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 |
| 13 | Hanácká | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 31 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
| 15 | Vysočina Jihlava | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha II | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 25 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zbrojovka Brno | 29 | 58 | 21 | +37 | 73 |
| 2 | Ústí nad Labem | 29 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 48 |
| 3 | Artis | 29 | 49 | 35 | +14 | 52 |
| 4 | Táborsko | 29 | 48 | 31 | +17 | 53 |
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 29 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 44 |
| 6 | Opava | 29 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 43 |
| 7 | Vlašim | 29 | 39 | 31 | +8 | 38 |
| 8 | Slavia Praha II | 29 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Viktoria Žižkov | 29 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 41 |
| 10 | Chrudim | 29 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | České Budějovice | 29 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | Hanácká | 29 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | Prostějov | 29 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Příbram | 29 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 45 |
| 15 | Vysočina Jihlava | 29 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha II | 29 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 25 |