Different markets price efficiency differently — 1X2 can be a pass while goals markets still show edge.
| Steam de mercado | Moderado |
|---|---|
| EV actual | Negativo |
| Presión línea de cierre | Alto |
| Valor restante | Limitado |
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "ba23908d1987d4d57e4ae4b9318d78949a284ebcbb5a44868fe1e33b04ec979d",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or T\u00e1borsko",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "T\u00e1borsko"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Prost\u011bjov",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0179,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3997,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 10,
"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 89.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 9,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 69.0,
"no_prob": 38.2,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 61.8,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 61.8
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.6,
"home_expected": 1.05,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 9.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 7.4
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Prost\u011bjov or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Prost\u011bjov or T\u00e1borsko",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or T\u00e1borsko",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or T\u00e1borsko",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.65,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.0,
"over_prob": 49.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.6,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.65,
"under_prob": 50.6
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "T\u00e1borsko",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Prost\u011bjov",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.97,
"gap_pp": 1.79,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.05,
"gap_pp": 1.62,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 35.98,
"gap_pp": -3.41,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 50.53,
"gap_pp": -1.13,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 49.4
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 49.47,
"gap_pp": 1.13,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 50.6
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.25,
"early": 2.25,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.97,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.97,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.74,
"early": 3.74,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.05,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.05,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.5,
"early": 2.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 35.98,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 35.98,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.85,
"early": 1.85,
"implied_closing_pct": 50.53,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 50.53,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.89,
"early": 1.89,
"implied_closing_pct": 49.47,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 49.47,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 1.8,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.9
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1787,
"ev_yes": 0.0753,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0753,
"no_prob": 38.2,
"sort_key": 10217.77,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 61.8
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0614,
"ev_under": -0.0133,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0133,
"over_prob": 49.4,
"sort_key": 1796.675,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 50.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0829,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3997,
"max_ev": -0.0828,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Prost\u011bjov",
"sort_key": 1779.3,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 815.7,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.9
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3726,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3726.webp",
"away_team_name": "T\u00e1borsko",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
"fixture_id": 1477419,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 3725,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3725.webp",
"home_team_name": "Prost\u011bjov",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 346,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/346.webp",
"league_name": "FNL",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.427,
"best_odd": 2.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0146,
"ev": -0.137,
"implied_prob": 0.3598,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3452
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2927,
"best_odd": 3.74,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0047,
"ev": -0.0828,
"implied_prob": 0.2405,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2452
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4379,
"best_odd": 2.25,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0078,
"ev": -0.0829,
"implied_prob": 0.3997,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4076
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.15,
"best_yes_odd": 1.74,
"edge_no": -0.0699,
"edge_yes": 0.0699,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1787,
"ev_yes": 0.0753,
"implied_no": 0.4519,
"implied_yes": 0.5481,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.9,
"best_under_odd": 1.95,
"edge_over": -0.0084,
"edge_under": 0.0084,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0614,
"ev_under": -0.0133,
"implied_over": 0.5024,
"implied_under": 0.4976,
"n_bookmakers": 12,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0753,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.618,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.494,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.506,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0078,
"ev": -0.0829,
"implied_prob": 0.3997,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Prost\u011bjov"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0699,
"ev": 0.0753,
"implied_prob": 0.5481,
"model_prob": 0.618,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0084,
"ev": -0.0133,
"implied_prob": 0.4976,
"model_prob": 0.506,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1477419,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0753,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "T\u00e1borsko",
"home": "Prost\u011bjov"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.046535,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0753,
"implied_prob": 0.5481,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.618,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1477419,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T19:11:17.016824+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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FNL — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zbrojovka Brno | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 73 |
| 2 | Táborsko | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 |
| 3 | Artis | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 52 |
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 48 |
| 5 | Příbram | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava II | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Opava | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Viktoria Žižkov | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 41 |
| 9 | Vlašim | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 |
| 10 | Slavia Praha II | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 35 |
| 11 | České Budějovice | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 34 |
| 12 | Chrudim | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 |
| 13 | Hanácká | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 31 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
| 15 | Vysočina Jihlava | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha II | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 25 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zbrojovka Brno | 29 | 58 | 21 | +37 | 73 |
| 2 | Ústí nad Labem | 29 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 48 |
| 3 | Artis | 29 | 49 | 35 | +14 | 52 |
| 4 | Táborsko | 29 | 48 | 31 | +17 | 53 |
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 29 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 44 |
| 6 | Opava | 29 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 43 |
| 7 | Vlašim | 29 | 39 | 31 | +8 | 38 |
| 8 | Slavia Praha II | 29 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Viktoria Žižkov | 29 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 41 |
| 10 | Chrudim | 29 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | České Budějovice | 29 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | Hanácká | 29 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | Prostějov | 29 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Příbram | 29 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 45 |
| 15 | Vysočina Jihlava | 29 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha II | 29 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 25 |
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