Evaluación de pronóstico
Pronóstico confiable
- Favorito
- Basake Holy Stars Partido equilibrado
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 41.8%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- —
- Validación
- Pendiente
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Basake Holy Stars Medeama ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 0-2, 1-0 0-1 ✔ Correct
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "26faf0695f1a24d77b6fe8b3bf1b2a0e1ee82cab93f984021aa14ebec0c4d69c",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
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"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Medeama and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Medeama"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Basake Holy Stars",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.2632,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.1544,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 31,
"away_score_rate": 80.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 15,
"home_failed_to_score": 14,
"home_played": 31,
"home_score_rate": 54.8,
"no_prob": 55.8,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 55.8,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 44.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.25,
"home_expected": 0.75,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
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},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 13.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.2
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Basake Holy Stars or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Basake Holy Stars or Medeama",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Medeama",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Medeama",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.0,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 0.8,
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
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},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "0-1",
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}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0768,
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"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
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"max_ev": 0.0768,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Basake Holy Stars",
"sort_key": 10219.12,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
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"ev_over": -0.2216,
"ev_under": 0.0358,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
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"sort_key": 10032.22,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 67.7,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
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"ev_no": -0.096,
"ev_yes": 0.0122,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0122,
"no_prob": 55.8,
"sort_key": 5209.76,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 44.2
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 830.7,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-1",
"top_prob": 16.9
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 12255,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12255.webp",
"away_team_name": "Medeama",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gh.svg",
"country_name": "Ghana",
"fixture_id": 1468758,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 22763,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/22763.webp",
"home_team_name": "Basake Holy Stars",
"league_country": "Ghana",
"league_id": 570,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/570.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3748,
"best_odd": 1.55,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0938,
"ev": -0.2527,
"implied_prob": 0.5759,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4821
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2942,
"best_odd": 3.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0038,
"ev": -0.12,
"implied_prob": 0.2697,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2659
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.121,
"best_odd": 5.78,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0319,
"ev": 0.0768,
"implied_prob": 0.1544,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.1863
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.62,
"best_yes_odd": 2.29,
"edge_no": -0.0222,
"edge_yes": 0.0222,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.096,
"ev_yes": 0.0122,
"implied_no": 0.5802,
"implied_yes": 0.4198,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 1.53,
"edge_over": -0.0672,
"edge_under": 0.0672,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2216,
"ev_under": 0.0358,
"implied_over": 0.3902,
"implied_under": 0.6098,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0768,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.442,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.323,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.677,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0319,
"ev": 0.0768,
"implied_prob": 0.1544,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Basake Holy Stars"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0222,
"ev": 0.0122,
"implied_prob": 0.4198,
"model_prob": 0.442,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0672,
"ev": 0.0358,
"implied_prob": 0.6098,
"model_prob": 0.677,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1468758,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0768,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2567,
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},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Medeama",
"home": "Basake Holy Stars"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.032079,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0768,
"implied_prob": 0.1544,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Basake Holy Stars",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1468758,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T14:59:19.064886+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Premier League — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 62 |
| 2 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 60 |
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 54 |
| 4 | Dreams | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52 |
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Berekum Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49 |
| 10 | Bechem United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 11 | Vision | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 |
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 46 |
| 13 | Young Apostles | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 | Swedru All Blacks | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 |
| 16 | Nations | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 17 | Hohoe United | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 |
| 18 | Eleven Wonders | 34 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 13 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 52 | 28 | +24 | 62 |
| 2 | Dreams | 34 | 49 | 32 | +17 | 52 |
| 3 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 34 | 46 | 40 | +6 | 60 |
| 4 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 41 | 29 | +12 | 49 |
| 5 | Vision | 34 | 38 | 34 | +4 | 47 |
| 6 | Bechem United | 34 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Young Apostles | 34 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 45 |
| 9 | Berekum Chelsea | 34 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 50 |
| 10 | Swedru All Blacks | 34 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 45 |
| 11 | Karela | 34 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 49 |
| 12 | Nations | 34 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 50 |
| 15 | Samartex | 34 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 50 |
| 16 | Eleven Wonders | 34 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 13 |
| 17 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 54 |
| 18 | Hohoe United | 34 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 30 |
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