| Steam de mercado | Fuerte |
|---|---|
| EV actual | Negativo |
| Presión línea de cierre | Alto |
| Valor restante | Limitado |
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
{
"bundle_version": 1,
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"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
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"fair_odds_draw": null,
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"home_win_prob": null,
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},
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
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"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 16,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 50.0,
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"home_played": 32,
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"home_expected": 1.35,
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
"away": 0,
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"label": "2-0",
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],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Mil-Mu\u011fan or Draw",
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},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Mil-Mu\u011fan or Karvan",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Karvan",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Mil-Mu\u011fan or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Mil-Mu\u011fan"
},
"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 2.3,
"away_avg_scored": 0.7,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.7,
"over_prob": 40.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 59.6,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.3,
"under_prob": 59.6
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Karvan",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Mil-Mu\u011fan",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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{
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{
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"kind": "1x2_a",
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{
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"kind": "ou_o",
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.94,
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"kind": "ou_u",
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"movement": [
{
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{
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{
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},
{
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{
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],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
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},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
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"ev_available": true,
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"id": "btts",
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"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
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{
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"id": "ou_2_5",
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{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1716,
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"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5109,
"max_ev": -0.0157,
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"side_label": "Mil-Mu\u011fan",
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"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 820.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 13.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 11239,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/11239.webp",
"away_team_name": "Karvan",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/az.svg",
"country_name": "Azerbaijan",
"fixture_id": 1446693,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 5570,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/5570.webp",
"home_team_name": "Mil-Mu\u011fan",
"league_country": "Azerbaijan",
"league_id": 419,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/419.webp",
"league_name": "Premyer Liqa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 13:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1697,
"best_odd": 4.07,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0171,
"ev": -0.0157,
"implied_prob": 0.2247,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2418
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2966,
"best_odd": 3.46,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0023,
"ev": -0.0932,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.516,
"best_odd": 1.79,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0481,
"ev": -0.1716,
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"model_prob": 0.4177,
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}
},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.83,
"edge_no": 0.2962,
"edge_yes": -0.2962,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.5229,
"ev_yes": -0.5992,
"implied_no": 0.4848,
"implied_yes": 0.5152,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 1.95,
"edge_over": -0.0803,
"edge_under": 0.0803,
"ev_available": true,
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"ev_under": 0.1622,
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"implied_under": 0.5157,
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"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5229,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.219,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.404,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.596,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0481,
"ev": -0.1716,
"implied_prob": 0.5109,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Mil-Mu\u011fan"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2962,
"ev": 0.5229,
"implied_prob": 0.4848,
"model_prob": 0.781,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0803,
"ev": 0.1622,
"implied_prob": 0.5157,
"model_prob": 0.596,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1446693,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5229,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1622,
"implied_prob": 0.5157,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.596,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1622,
"implied_prob": 0.5157,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.596,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Karvan",
"home": "Mil-Mu\u011fan"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.408385,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5229,
"implied_prob": 0.4848,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.781,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1446693,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T18:32:05.863226+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Premyer Liqa — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 69 |
| 3 | Turan | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftchi Baku | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 56 |
| 5 | Zira | 32 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Araz | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Sumqayıt | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 41 |
| 8 | Şamaxı FK | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 38 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 10 | Qabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 27 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 32 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 33 | 75 | 25 | +50 | 78 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 33 | 71 | 27 | +44 | 69 |
| 3 | Neftchi Baku | 32 | 56 | 32 | +24 | 56 |
| 4 | Sumqayıt | 33 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 41 |
| 5 | Turan | 33 | 44 | 27 | +17 | 59 |
| 6 | Zira | 32 | 41 | 33 | +8 | 53 |
| 7 | Araz | 32 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 43 |
| 8 | Qabala | 33 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 27 |
| 9 | Şamaxı FK | 33 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 32 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 11 | Imisli FK | 32 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 33 |
| 12 | Karvan | 32 | 22 | 65 | -43 | 14 |
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