Predicciones / Fútbol / Saudi-Arabia. Pro League / Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Apr 28, 2026 - 17:00
1.49
0.95
48% 29% 22%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 48.1% Al-Nassr; implied 50.0%; EV -3.8%
Primary: BTTS No — Value · EV 40.0% · Model 50.9%
Secondary (balanced value): Menos de 2.5 (EV 48.1%) — 55.9% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
Longshot — High risk value Empate (EV 17.1%) ; Model 29.4%
High variance — not for standard staking plan sizing.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Más / Menos de 2.5
Más de 2.5 44.1%
Menos de 2.5 55.9%
Selección de IA: Menos de 2.5
Ambos Equipos Marcarán
49.1%
No 50.9%
Selección de IA: BTTS No
Principales Predicciones de Marcador Correcto
1-0 13.0%
1-1 12.3%
2-0 9.7%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Total expected goals (xG sum) is in a borderline band — outcome variance is high. (ΣxG ≈ 2.44)
Confianza: 6.5 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -29.44% · EV Under 48.13% (8 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -23.89% · EV No 39.98%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Pro League Pro League — Standings
# EQUIPO PJ W D L PTS
1 Al-Nassr 29 25 1 3 76
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 28 20 8 0 68
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 28 20 6 2 66
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 29 18 8 3 62
5 Al Taawon 28 13 7 8 46
6 Al-Ittihad FC 28 13 6 9 45
7 Al-Ettifaq 29 12 6 11 42
8 NEOM 29 11 6 12 39
9 Al-Fayha 29 9 7 13 34
10 Al-Hazm 28 9 7 12 34
11 Al Khaleej Saihat 27 8 7 12 31
12 Al Shabab 28 7 10 11 31
13 Al Kholood 29 9 2 18 29
14 Al-Fateh 27 7 7 13 28
15 Damac 28 4 11 13 23
16 Al Riyadh 28 5 8 15 23
17 Al Okhdood 28 4 4 20 16
18 Al Najma 28 2 5 21 11
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al-Nassr 29 79 21 +58 76
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 28 75 25 +50 68
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC 29 67 31 +36 62
4 Al-Ahli Jeddah 28 55 20 +35 66
5 Al Taawon 28 50 37 +13 46
6 Al Khaleej Saihat 27 46 46 0 31
7 Al-Ittihad FC 28 45 38 +7 45
8 Al-Ettifaq 29 41 50 -9 42
9 Al Kholood 29 38 57 -19 29
10 NEOM 29 37 41 -4 39
11 Al Shabab 28 36 42 -6 31
12 Al-Fayha 29 35 45 -10 34
13 Al-Fateh 27 34 48 -14 28
14 Al-Hazm 28 31 48 -17 34
15 Al Riyadh 28 29 52 -23 23
16 Al Najma 28 27 67 -40 11
17 Damac 28 25 46 -21 23
18 Al Okhdood 28 23 59 -36 16
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al-Nassr 29 60.0 20.4 +39.6 76
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 28 58.1 21.8 +36.3 68
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 28 50.6 21.9 +28.7 66
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 29 48.2 30.1 +18.1 62
5 Al-Ittihad FC 28 40.8 32.0 +8.8 45
6 NEOM 29 37.4 31.8 +5.6 39
7 Al Shabab 28 36.8 34.2 +2.6 31
8 Al Khaleej Saihat 27 35.9 36.6 -0.7 31
9 Al Taawon 28 34.9 37.4 -2.5 46
10 Al-Fateh 27 34.4 37.5 -3.1 28
11 Al Riyadh 28 34.3 41.1 -6.8 23
12 Al-Fayha 29 28.5 36.8 -8.3 34
13 Al-Hazm 28 27.5 37.6 -10.1 34
14 Damac 28 20.6 32.8 -12.2 23
15 Al Kholood 29 28.6 44.2 -15.6 29
16 Al-Ettifaq 29 30.1 46.9 -16.8 42
17 Al Najma 28 23.3 53.0 -29.7 11
18 Al Okhdood 28 21.0 54.9 -33.9 16