Hércules · Modelo 41.8%
implícita 21.8%
Mercado de consenso principal · vehículo eléctrico: 2.7%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "26858e9ae77bd93a2cc554389af4102bb986766ea8182a24e33dbbac9eaef13a",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : H\u00e9rcules or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "0%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "50%",
"winner_name": "H\u00e9rcules"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "H\u00e9rcules",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.2004,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2172,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 15,
"away_played": 37,
"away_score_rate": 59.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 13,
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"away": 0,
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{
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}
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"double_chance": {
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"key": "1X",
"label": "H\u00e9rcules or Draw",
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},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "H\u00e9rcules or Gimnastic",
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},
{
"key": "X2",
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}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "H\u00e9rcules or Draw",
"pick_prob": 100.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 0.0,
"draw_pct": 50.0,
"home_pct": 50.0,
"lean_key": "home",
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},
"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 2.3,
"away_avg_scored": 1.1,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
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"total_expected": 2.3,
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},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
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"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
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}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0301,
"ev_yes": -0.1222,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0301,
"no_prob": 58.2,
"sort_key": 10027.09,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 41.8
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0274,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2175,
"max_ev": 0.0274,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "H\u00e9rcules",
"sort_key": 5221.92,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1516,
"ev_under": 0.0132,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0132,
"over_prob": 40.4,
"sort_key": 5210.56,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 59.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 819.6,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.2
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 714,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/714.webp",
"away_team_name": "Gimnastic",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
"country_name": "Spain",
"fixture_id": 1431503,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 4666,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4666.webp",
"home_team_name": "H\u00e9rcules",
"league_country": "Spain",
"league_id": 436,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/436.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n RFEF - Group 2",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4196,
"best_odd": 1.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0841,
"ev": -0.2353,
"implied_prob": 0.5261,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.442
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2999,
"best_odd": 3.55,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0001,
"ev": -0.0895,
"implied_prob": 0.2564,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2565
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1399,
"best_odd": 4.185,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.028,
"ev": 0.0274,
"implied_prob": 0.2175,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.2455
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.77,
"best_yes_odd": 2.1,
"edge_no": 0.0513,
"edge_yes": -0.0513,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0301,
"ev_yes": -0.1222,
"implied_no": 0.5307,
"implied_yes": 0.4693,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 1.7,
"edge_over": -0.0502,
"edge_under": 0.0502,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1516,
"ev_under": 0.0132,
"implied_over": 0.4542,
"implied_under": 0.5458,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0301,
"confidence": 4.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 4.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.418,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.404,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.596,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0301,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.5307,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.582,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "no",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.028,
"ev": 0.0274,
"implied_prob": 0.2175,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "H\u00e9rcules"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0513,
"ev": 0.0301,
"implied_prob": 0.5307,
"model_prob": 0.582,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0502,
"ev": 0.0132,
"implied_prob": 0.5458,
"model_prob": 0.596,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1431503,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0301,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Gimnastic",
"home": "H\u00e9rcules"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1431503,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T21:35:23.475336+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldense | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 69 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 65 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid II | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 64 |
| 4 | Villarreal II | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Europa Fc | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena | 37 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Algeciras | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | Hércules | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 53 |
| 9 | Antequera | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 53 |
| 10 | Ibiza | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 50 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 37 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 50 |
| 12 | Real Murcia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 49 |
| 13 | Teruel | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 49 |
| 14 | Juventud Torremolinos | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 46 |
| 15 | Gimnastic | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 46 |
| 16 | Tarazona | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 45 |
| 17 | Real Betis II | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 |
| 18 | Marbella | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 34 |
| 19 | Sanluqueño | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 30 |
| 20 | Sevilla Atletico | 37 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 27 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid II | 37 | 61 | 43 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 | Eldense | 37 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 69 |
| 3 | Villarreal II | 37 | 53 | 31 | +22 | 62 |
| 4 | Europa Fc | 37 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 57 |
| 5 | Sabadell | 37 | 51 | 27 | +24 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Betis II | 37 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Antequera | 37 | 44 | 43 | +1 | 53 |
| 8 | Juventud Torremolinos | 37 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 9 | Alcorcon | 37 | 43 | 37 | +6 | 50 |
| 10 | Ibiza | 37 | 42 | 35 | +7 | 50 |
| 11 | Hércules | 37 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 53 |
| 12 | Real Murcia | 37 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Algeciras | 37 | 39 | 38 | +1 | 55 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 37 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 46 |
| 15 | Marbella | 38 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 34 |
| 16 | FC Cartagena | 37 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 56 |
| 17 | Tarazona | 37 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 45 |
| 18 | Teruel | 38 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 49 |
| 19 | Sanluqueño | 37 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 30 |
| 20 | Sevilla Atletico | 37 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 27 |
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