Hércules vs Gimnastic Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

May 24, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
Mejor +EV (mercados seguidos)
BTTS No — Valor
vehículo eléctrico 3.0% Modelo 58.2%
El +EV más fuerte entre los mercados seguidos aquí; no se cumplieron reglas de Primaria más estrictas (p. ej. EV mínimo).
1X2 Tendencia
Hércules · Modelo 41.8%
implícita 21.8%
Mercado de consenso principal · vehículo eléctrico: 2.7%
Más / Menos de 2.5 Tendencia
Más de 2.5 40.4% · Menos de 2.5 59.6%
EV terminado -15.16% · EV inferior 1.32%
Lectura de valor: Menos de 2.5
Perspectivas de marcador exacto Fuera / diversión
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 13.2%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Ejecución: sin Primaria / alternativa a tamaño estándar — otros mercados pueden mostrar +EV en las tarjetas de abajo.
Mercado: puede haber una pequeña ineficiencia modelo–precio en líneas marginales o de alta varianza — no es apuesta por defecto; reduzca la apuesta si prueba. (Técnico: al menos una línea seguida supera el umbral +EV a ≥2.0% en las mejores cuotas — no implica apuesta por defecto.)
Fuerza de la decisión: 4.5 / 10
  • Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
  • Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5: EV terminado -15.16% · EV inferior 1.32% (9 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -12.22% · EV No 3.01%
Should you bet on this match? Solo lectura discrecional: el +EV puede aparecer en líneas finas o outsiders; compárelas con sus límites.

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : H\u00e9rcules or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "0%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "50%",
      "winner_name": "H\u00e9rcules"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "H\u00e9rcules",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
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        "edge": 0.2004,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
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        "market_prob": 0.2172,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 15,
        "away_played": 37,
        "away_score_rate": 59.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 13,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 37,
        "home_score_rate": 70.3,
        "no_prob": 58.2,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 58.2,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 41.8
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.2,
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            "away": 1,
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            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.0
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            "away": 0,
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            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 10.0
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            "away": 1,
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            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.9
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      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.3,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 40.4,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 59.6,
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        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.3,
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      "prob_source": null,
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    "closing_line_bundle": {
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
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    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0301,
        "no_prob": 58.2,
        "sort_key": 10027.09,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 41.8
      },
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        "ev": 0.0274,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
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        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "H\u00e9rcules",
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        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
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        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 819.6,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 13.2
      }
    ],
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 714,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/714.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Gimnastic",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1431503,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 4666,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4666.webp",
      "home_team_name": "H\u00e9rcules",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 436,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/436.webp",
      "league_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n RFEF - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-24 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
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            "best_odd": 1.73,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0841,
            "ev": -0.2353,
            "implied_prob": 0.5261,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.442
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2999,
            "best_odd": 3.55,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": 0.0001,
            "ev": -0.0895,
            "implied_prob": 0.2564,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2565
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1399,
            "best_odd": 4.185,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.028,
            "ev": 0.0274,
            "implied_prob": 0.2175,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.2455
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        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.77,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.1,
          "edge_no": 0.0513,
          "edge_yes": -0.0513,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0301,
          "ev_yes": -0.1222,
          "implied_no": 0.5307,
          "implied_yes": 0.4693,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.1,
          "best_under_odd": 1.7,
          "edge_over": -0.0502,
          "edge_under": 0.0502,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1516,
          "ev_under": 0.0132,
          "implied_over": 0.4542,
          "implied_under": 0.5458,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
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        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0301,
      "confidence": 4.5,
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 4.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "under_prob": 0.596,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
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        "ev": 0.0301,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.5307,
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        "model_prob": 0.582,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "edge": 0.028,
          "ev": 0.0274,
          "implied_prob": 0.2175,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "H\u00e9rcules"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0513,
          "ev": 0.0301,
          "implied_prob": 0.5307,
          "model_prob": 0.582,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0502,
          "ev": 0.0132,
          "implied_prob": 0.5458,
          "model_prob": 0.596,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1431503,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0301,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Gimnastic",
        "home": "H\u00e9rcules"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1431503,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T21:35:23.475336+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Predicciones
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Primera División RFEF - Group 2Clasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Eldense 37 19 12 6 69
2 Sabadell 37 17 14 6 65
3 Atlético Madrid II 37 18 10 9 64
4 Villarreal II 37 16 14 7 62
5 Europa Fc 37 15 12 10 57
6 FC Cartagena 37 15 11 11 56
7 Algeciras 37 15 10 12 55
8 Hércules 37 14 11 12 53
9 Antequera 37 15 8 14 53
10 Ibiza 37 13 11 13 50
11 Alcorcon 37 12 14 11 50
12 Real Murcia 37 13 10 14 49
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 49
14 Juventud Torremolinos 37 11 13 13 46
15 Gimnastic 37 13 7 17 46
16 Tarazona 37 11 12 14 45
17 Real Betis II 37 12 8 17 44
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 34
19 Sanluqueño 37 7 9 21 30
20 Sevilla Atletico 37 5 12 20 27
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Atlético Madrid II 37 61 43 +18 64
2 Eldense 37 57 36 +21 69
3 Villarreal II 37 53 31 +22 62
4 Europa Fc 37 52 48 +4 57
5 Sabadell 37 51 27 +24 65
6 Real Betis II 37 46 57 -11 44
7 Antequera 37 44 43 +1 53
8 Juventud Torremolinos 37 44 48 -4 46
9 Alcorcon 37 43 37 +6 50
10 Ibiza 37 42 35 +7 50
11 Hércules 37 42 40 +2 53
12 Real Murcia 37 40 40 0 49
13 Algeciras 37 39 38 +1 55
14 Gimnastic 37 39 48 -9 46
15 Marbella 38 36 55 -19 34
16 FC Cartagena 37 35 36 -1 56
17 Tarazona 37 31 38 -7 45
18 Teruel 38 27 33 -6 49
19 Sanluqueño 37 26 52 -26 30
20 Sevilla Atletico 37 20 43 -23 27