Auditoría de predicción: Wisła Płock II vs Bełchatów Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Wisła Płock II

May 30, 2026 - 15:00

4 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 46%

Bełchatów

AI correctly predicted the Wisła Płock II win.

The match finished 4–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo

Grado de predicción A

Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.

Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (5 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
1X2 Wisła Płock II Wisła Płock II ✔ Correcto
Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 4-1 ✖ Incorrecto

Post Match Insights

What worked

Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 5 goals materialised
Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Wisła Płock II win 4–1).

Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse

Cronología de predicción

Cómo esta predicción pasó del pronóstico a la revisión a tiempo completo.

May 30, 2026 · 19:49 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Wisła Płock II 1.45 — Bełchatów 1.25
May 30, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Wisła Płock II win · 4–1
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Instantánea histórica

Congelado en el inicio: el resultado del modelo tal como estaba antes de que comenzara el partido.

Veredicto histórico: Observe

Decisión histórica No Primary Bet

Resultado Validated

Métricas previas al partido (contexto histórico)

Fiabilidad de predicción 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Evidencia ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 17:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3196772

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Wisła Płock II win · Wisła Płock II 4–1 Bełchatów

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Revisar preguntas frecuentes

¿Qué tan precisa fue la predicción?: Esta página clasifica los mercados direccionales (1X2, Más/Menos de 2,5, BTTS) con respecto al resultado final. El grado de predicción refleja cuántos de esos mercados rastreados coincidieron con la realidad.
¿Qué mide la precisión xG?: xG Accuracy compara el perfil de goles esperados previo al partido del modelo con el marcador real, no si todos los mercados acertaron. Una revisión direccional sólida puede coexistir con una puntuación de precisión xG moderada.
¿Por qué no se predijo la puntuación exacta?: Los resultados de puntuación correcta son colas de baja probabilidad incluso cuando el modelo lee bien el perfil de coincidencia. Destacamos los contenedores de puntuación más altos para el contexto; faltar la línea exacta no invalida una revisión direccional.
¿Esto mejora el registro de IA?: Cada partido finalizado se registra en nuestro proceso de validación. Las tasas de aciertos agregadas y los estudios CLV se publican por separado; esta página es el registro de auditoría por partido.

Las predicciones son sólo para fines informativos. Juega siempre de forma responsable y dentro de tus límites. El rendimiento pasado no garantiza resultados futuros.

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON

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      },
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          },
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        },
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          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      },
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      },
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        },
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        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
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        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Wis\u0142a P\u0142ock II"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "edge": 0.008,
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          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0309,
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          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
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      },
      "match_id": 1410464,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0362,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w",
        "home": "Wis\u0142a P\u0142ock II"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410464,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:49:08.189891+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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III Liga - Grupo 1 — Clasificación

#	EQUIPO	PJ	G	E	P	Pts
1	Legia Varsovia II	34	27	3	4	84
2	Łomża	34	22	5	7	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	71
4	Wigry Suwałki	34	20	5	9	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	57
6	Wisła Płock II	34	16	8	10	56
7	Widzew Łódź II	34	17	3	14	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	49
9	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	47
10	Ząbkovia Ząbki	34	13	5	16	44
11	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	41
12	Mławianka Mława	34	11	7	16	40
13	Olimpia Elbląg	34	10	8	16	38
14	Wikielec	34	10	7	17	37
15	Broń Radom	34	9	9	16	36
16	Bełchatów	34	9	7	18	34
17	Wasilków	34	7	4	23	25
18	Znicz Biała Piska	34	4	3	27	15

#	EQUIPO	PJ	GF	GC	+/-	Pts
1	Legia Varsovia II	34	82	29	+53	84
2	Łomża	34	77	31	+46	71
3	Troszyn	34	75	47	+28	57
4	Ząbkovia Ząbki	34	72	64	+8	44
5	Widzew Łódź II	34	70	64	+6	54
6	Warta Sieradz	34	64	34	+30	71
7	Wigry Suwałki	34	64	43	+21	65
8	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	34	64	55	+9	47
9	Wisła Płock II	34	56	51	+5	56
10	Mławianka Mława	34	55	59	-4	40
11	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	34	51	66	-15	41
12	Bełchatów	34	50	76	-26	34
13	Jagiellonia II	34	46	45	+1	49
14	Olimpia Elbląg	34	45	61	-16	38
15	Wikielec	34	40	54	-14	37
16	Broń Radom	34	40	57	-17	36
17	Wasilków	34	40	79	-39	25
18	Znicz Biała Piska	34	27	103	-76	15