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{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "ab8328ed308486d7732e60a81a3bbe1ceebd6f47137080e552b976c177a7c0b6",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Swit or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Swit"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Swit",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0039,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4138,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 87.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 78.1,
"no_prob": 31.6,
"pick": "Yes",
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"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 68.4
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"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.7,
"home_expected": 1.5,
"scores": [
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"home": 1,
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},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.8
},
{
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"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.8
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 6.9
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 6.6
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Swit or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Swit or Wis\u0142a P\u0142ock II",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Wis\u0142a P\u0142ock II",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Swit or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Swit"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.2,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.5,
"over_prob": 62.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 62.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.2,
"under_prob": 38.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1784,
"ev_yes": 0.0465,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0465,
"no_prob": 31.6,
"sort_key": 10041.85,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 68.4
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0142,
"ev_under": -0.0956,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0142,
"over_prob": 62.0,
"sort_key": 1796.45,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 38.0,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.098,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4141,
"max_ev": -0.0977,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Swit",
"sort_key": 1775.575,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 23046,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/23046.webp",
"away_team_name": "Wis\u0142a P\u0142ock II",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1410455,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 12869,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12869.webp",
"home_team_name": "Swit",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 780,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/780.webp",
"league_name": "III Liga - Group 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4452,
"best_odd": 2.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0032,
"ev": -0.11,
"implied_prob": 0.3328,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3296
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2984,
"best_odd": 3.55,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0011,
"ev": -0.0977,
"implied_prob": 0.2531,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2542
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4476,
"best_odd": 2.17,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0016,
"ev": -0.098,
"implied_prob": 0.4141,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4157
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.6,
"best_yes_odd": 1.53,
"edge_no": -0.0602,
"edge_yes": 0.0602,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1784,
"ev_yes": 0.0465,
"implied_no": 0.3762,
"implied_yes": 0.6238,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.59,
"best_under_odd": 2.38,
"edge_over": 0.0235,
"edge_under": -0.0235,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0142,
"ev_under": -0.0956,
"implied_over": 0.5965,
"implied_under": 0.4035,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0465,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.684,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.62,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.38,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0465,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.6238,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.684,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0016,
"ev": -0.098,
"implied_prob": 0.4141,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Swit"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0602,
"ev": 0.0465,
"implied_prob": 0.6238,
"model_prob": 0.684,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0235,
"ev": -0.0142,
"implied_prob": 0.5965,
"model_prob": 0.62,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1410455,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0465,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Wis\u0142a P\u0142ock II",
"home": "Swit"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1410455,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-22T20:44:11.010529+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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III Liga - Group 1 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 32 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 81 |
| 2 | Łomża | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 65 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 65 |
| 4 | Wigry Suwałki | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 57 |
| 6 | Wisła Płock II | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Widzew II | 32 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 45 |
| 10 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 43 |
| 11 | Swit | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Mławianka Mława | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elbląg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37 |
| 14 | Bełchatów | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 | Wikielec | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 33 |
| 16 | Broń Radom | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33 |
| 17 | Wasilków | 32 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 24 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 32 | 79 | 26 | +53 | 81 |
| 2 | Troszyn | 32 | 74 | 43 | +31 | 57 |
| 3 | Łomża | 32 | 73 | 30 | +43 | 65 |
| 4 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 32 | 69 | 60 | +9 | 43 |
| 5 | Widzew II | 32 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 48 |
| 6 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 32 | 63 | 52 | +11 | 46 |
| 7 | Warta Sieradz | 32 | 61 | 33 | +28 | 65 |
| 8 | Wigry Suwałki | 32 | 60 | 39 | +21 | 62 |
| 9 | Mławianka Mława | 32 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 37 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock II | 32 | 49 | 48 | +1 | 50 |
| 11 | Bełchatów | 32 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 34 |
| 12 | Swit | 32 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia II | 32 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Olimpia Elbląg | 32 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 37 |
| 15 | Wasilków | 32 | 38 | 74 | -36 | 24 |
| 16 | Wikielec | 32 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Broń Radom | 32 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 32 | 24 | 98 | -74 | 12 |
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