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{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "4f9860f6ec54cc7156573373180959471d1dec292a16ef989eca76a778356e28",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
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"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
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"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Bro\u0144 Radom",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Bro\u0144 Radom"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
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"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
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"edge": 0.147,
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"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 12,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 62.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 12,
"home_played": 32,
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"pick": "No",
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"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 39.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.7,
"home_expected": 1.45,
"scores": [
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"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
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},
{
"away": 2,
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"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 6.5
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Wasilk\u00f3w or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Wasilk\u00f3w or Bro\u0144 Radom",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Bro\u0144 Radom",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Bro\u0144 Radom",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.15,
"away_avg_scored": 1.1,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 61.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.15,
"under_prob": 39.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Bro\u0144 Radom",
"closing_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Wasilk\u00f3w",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.06,
"gap_pp": 14.7,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.14,
"gap_pp": 1.53,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.8,
"gap_pp": -16.24,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.95,
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"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 61.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 40.05,
"gap_pp": -1.05,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 39.0
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],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.3,
"early": 3.3,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.06,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "1x2_h"
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{
"closing": 3.7,
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"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.83,
"early": 1.83,
"implied_closing_pct": 48.8,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 48.8,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.57,
"early": 1.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 59.95,
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"implied_early_pct": 59.95,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.35,
"early": 2.35,
"implied_closing_pct": 40.05,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 40.05,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 14.7,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.4007,
"ev_yes": -0.39,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.4007,
"no_prob": 60.9,
"sort_key": 10510.63,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 39.1
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0187,
"ev_under": -0.0835,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0187,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"sort_key": 5214.96,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 39.0,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0065,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2706,
"max_ev": 0.0065,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Wasilk\u00f3w",
"sort_key": 5205.2,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 16233,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16233.webp",
"away_team_name": "Bro\u0144 Radom",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1410454,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 16242,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16242.webp",
"home_team_name": "Wasilk\u00f3w",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 780,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/780.webp",
"league_name": "III Liga - Group 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4539,
"best_odd": 1.83,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0737,
"ev": -0.2418,
"implied_prob": 0.488,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4143
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2931,
"best_odd": 3.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0045,
"ev": -0.0903,
"implied_prob": 0.2414,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2459
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2338,
"best_odd": 3.3,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0344,
"ev": 0.0065,
"implied_prob": 0.2706,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.305
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.3,
"best_yes_odd": 1.56,
"edge_no": 0.2001,
"edge_yes": -0.2001,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.4007,
"ev_yes": -0.39,
"implied_no": 0.4089,
"implied_yes": 0.5911,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.67,
"best_under_odd": 2.35,
"edge_over": 0.0391,
"edge_under": -0.0391,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0187,
"ev_under": -0.0835,
"implied_over": 0.5709,
"implied_under": 0.4291,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4007,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.391,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.61,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.39,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0344,
"ev": 0.0065,
"implied_prob": 0.2706,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Wasilk\u00f3w"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2001,
"ev": 0.4007,
"implied_prob": 0.4089,
"model_prob": 0.609,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0391,
"ev": 0.0187,
"implied_prob": 0.5709,
"model_prob": 0.61,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1410454,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4007,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Bro\u0144 Radom",
"home": "Wasilk\u00f3w"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.244026,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4007,
"implied_prob": 0.4089,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.609,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1410454,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:31:56.740999+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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III Liga - Group 1 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 81 |
| 2 | Warta Sieradz | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 68 |
| 3 | Łomża | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 65 |
| 4 | Wigry Suwałki | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 62 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 57 |
| 6 | Widzew II | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Wisła Płock II | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 46 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 45 |
| 10 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 43 |
| 11 | Swit | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Mławianka Mława | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elbląg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37 |
| 14 | Bełchatów | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 | Wikielec | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 33 |
| 16 | Broń Radom | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33 |
| 17 | Wasilków | 32 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 24 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 33 | 79 | 29 | +50 | 81 |
| 2 | Troszyn | 32 | 74 | 43 | +31 | 57 |
| 3 | Łomża | 32 | 73 | 30 | +43 | 65 |
| 4 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 32 | 69 | 60 | +9 | 43 |
| 5 | Widzew II | 33 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 51 |
| 6 | Warta Sieradz | 33 | 63 | 34 | +29 | 68 |
| 7 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 32 | 63 | 52 | +11 | 46 |
| 8 | Wigry Suwałki | 33 | 61 | 41 | +20 | 62 |
| 9 | Mławianka Mława | 32 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 37 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock II | 32 | 49 | 48 | +1 | 50 |
| 11 | Bełchatów | 32 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 34 |
| 12 | Swit | 32 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia II | 32 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Olimpia Elbląg | 32 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 37 |
| 15 | Wasilków | 32 | 38 | 74 | -36 | 24 |
| 16 | Wikielec | 32 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Broń Radom | 32 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 32 | 24 | 98 | -74 | 12 |
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