Predicciones / Fútbol / Indonesia. Liga 1 / Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya

Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

Apr 28, 2026 - 08:30
1.45
1.25
10% 45% 45%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ draw (Value)
Match: 45.0% draw; implied 28.6%; EV 57.5%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 57.5% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Persebaya Surabaya (EV 57.5%) — 45.0% model
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS Sí (EV 17.6%) — 71.3% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Más / Menos de 2.5
Más de 2.5 49.4%
Menos de 2.5 50.6%
Selección de IA: Menos de 2.5
Ambos Equipos Marcarán
71.3%
No 28.7%
Selección de IA: BTTS Sí
Principales Predicciones de Marcador Correcto
1-1 12.4%
0-1 9.5%
1-0 9.2%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confianza: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -11.57% · EV Under 3.73% (6 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes 17.64% · EV No -39.16%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Liga 1 Liga 1 — Standings
# EQUIPO PJ W D L PTS
1 Pusamania Borneo 29 21 3 5 66
2 Persib Bandung 29 20 6 3 66
3 Persija 29 18 5 6 59
4 Bhayangkara FC 29 14 5 10 47
5 Malut United 29 13 7 9 46
6 Persebaya Surabaya 29 12 9 8 45
7 Dewa United 29 13 5 11 44
8 Bali United 29 11 9 9 42
9 Persita 29 12 5 12 41
10 Arema FC 29 10 9 10 39
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 29 9 12 8 39
12 Persik Kediri 29 9 6 14 33
13 PSM Makassar 29 7 10 12 31
14 Persijap 29 8 7 14 31
15 Persis Solo 29 6 9 14 27
16 Persepam Madura Utd 29 6 8 15 26
17 Semen Padang 29 5 5 19 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 29 4 6 19 18
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Pusamania Borneo 29 61 28 +33 66
2 Malut United 29 54 41 +13 46
3 Persija 29 52 26 +26 59
4 Persib Bandung 29 50 18 +32 66
5 Bali United 29 48 42 +6 42
6 Persebaya Surabaya 29 41 35 +6 45
7 Arema FC 29 40 37 +3 39
8 Bhayangkara FC 29 39 34 +5 47
9 PSIM Yogyakarta 29 38 38 0 39
10 Dewa United 29 37 35 +2 44
11 PSM Makassar 29 36 39 -3 31
12 Persita 29 35 28 +7 41
13 Persik Kediri 29 35 50 -15 33
14 Persis Solo 29 33 49 -16 27
15 Persepam Madura Utd 29 30 49 -19 26
16 PSBS Biak Numfor 29 29 67 -38 18
17 Persijap 29 28 42 -14 31
18 Semen Padang 29 22 50 -28 20