Kitzbühel vs Hohenems Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

May 23, 2026 - 15:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
BTTS No — Valor
vehículo eléctrico 49.2% Modelo 60.9%
Secundaria (valor equilibrado): Menos de 2.5 (vehículo eléctrico 26.4%) — 55.7% Modelo
EV más bajo que el primario, pero con mayor probabilidad de modelo (más “estable” cuando se muestra).
Más / Menos de 2.5 Mejor valor (+EV)
Más de 2.5 44.3% · Menos de 2.5 55.7%
EV terminado -31.34% · EV inferior 26.44%
Lectura de valor: Menos de 2.5
1X2 Poco valor
Kitzbühel · Modelo 41.8%
implícita 42.5%
Mercado de consenso principal · vehículo eléctrico: -10.6%
Mejor línea disponible (casa de apuestas): +-9.2% vehículo eléctrico
Algunas cuotas outlier de casas de apuestas pueden seguir mostrando un pequeño valor teórico frente a la línea de consenso anterior.
Perspectivas de marcador exacto Fuera / diversión
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.9%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 6.5 / 10
  • Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
  • EV principal por encima del 10 % (+1,0)
  • Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
  • Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5: EV terminado -31.34% · EV inferior 26.44% (7 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -41.74% · EV No 49.21%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Kitzb\u00fchel or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0049,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4225,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 27,
        "away_score_rate": 70.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 55.6,
        "no_prob": 60.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 60.9,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 39.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.15,
        "scores": [
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            "home": 1,
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.4
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Kitzb\u00fchel or Draw",
            "prob": 70.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Kitzb\u00fchel or Hohenems",
            "prob": 65.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Hohenems",
            "prob": 65.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 30.0,
        "draw_pct": 35.0,
        "home_pct": 35.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.45,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 44.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 55.7,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.45,
        "under_prob": 55.7
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.4921,
        "ev_yes": -0.4174,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.4921,
        "no_prob": 60.9,
        "sort_key": 10592.89,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 39.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.3134,
        "ev_under": 0.2644,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2644,
        "over_prob": 44.3,
        "sort_key": 10237.96,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 55.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1065,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4245,
        "max_ev": -0.0919,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel",
        "sort_key": 1777.025,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 818.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 4945,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4945.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Hohenems",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/at.svg",
      "country_name": "Austria",
      "fixture_id": 1398929,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 4947,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4947.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Kitzb\u00fchel",
      "league_country": "Austria",
      "league_id": 223,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/223.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga - West",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4456,
            "best_odd": 2.82,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0029,
            "ev": -0.0919,
            "implied_prob": 0.3191,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.322
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2999,
            "best_odd": 3.51,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0001,
            "ev": -0.0998,
            "implied_prob": 0.2564,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2565
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4454,
            "best_odd": 2.12,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.003,
            "ev": -0.1065,
            "implied_prob": 0.4245,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4214
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.45,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.49,
          "edge_no": 0.2297,
          "edge_yes": -0.2297,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.4921,
          "ev_yes": -0.4174,
          "implied_no": 0.3793,
          "implied_yes": 0.6207,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.55,
          "best_under_odd": 2.27,
          "edge_over": -0.1498,
          "edge_under": 0.1498,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3134,
          "ev_under": 0.2644,
          "implied_over": 0.5928,
          "implied_under": 0.4072,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.4921,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.391,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.443,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.557,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.003,
          "ev": -0.1065,
          "implied_prob": 0.4245,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2297,
          "ev": 0.4921,
          "implied_prob": 0.3793,
          "model_prob": 0.609,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1498,
          "ev": 0.2644,
          "implied_prob": 0.4072,
          "model_prob": 0.557,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1398929,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.4921,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2644,
        "implied_prob": 0.4072,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.557,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2644,
          "implied_prob": 0.4072,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.557,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Hohenems",
        "home": "Kitzb\u00fchel"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.299689,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4921,
        "implied_prob": 0.3793,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.609,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1398929,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-22T19:23:38.693661+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

Obtén predicciones premium para Kitzbühel & Hohenems!

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Volver a Predicciones
Regionalliga - West Regionalliga - WestClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Wacker Innsbruck 28 24 2 2 74
2 Kuchl 28 18 2 8 56
3 Imst 29 16 7 6 55
4 Seekirchen 28 17 3 8 54
5 Dornbirn 28 15 4 9 49
6 Bischofshofen 28 15 3 10 48
7 Hohenems 28 10 10 8 40
8 Schwaz 28 12 4 12 40
9 Kitzbühel 28 12 3 13 39
10 SVG Reichenau 29 12 3 14 39
11 Wals-Grünau 28 10 8 10 38
12 Lustenau 27 8 5 14 29
13 TSV St. Johann 27 7 4 16 25
14 Pinzgau Saalfelden 27 6 5 16 23
15 Rheindorf Altach II 27 5 6 16 21
16 Lauterach 28 5 5 18 20
17 Kufstein 28 3 10 15 19
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wacker Innsbruck 28 76 16 +60 74
2 Seekirchen 28 73 41 +32 54
3 Imst 29 64 37 +27 55
4 Dornbirn 28 55 38 +17 49
5 Bischofshofen 28 54 35 +19 48
6 Kuchl 28 53 39 +14 56
7 Wals-Grünau 28 49 52 -3 38
8 Schwaz 28 48 48 0 40
9 Hohenems 28 46 42 +4 40
10 Lustenau 27 40 66 -26 29
11 Lauterach 28 39 68 -29 20
12 SVG Reichenau 29 37 51 -14 39
13 Kitzbühel 28 36 38 -2 39
14 TSV St. Johann 27 33 51 -18 25
15 Rheindorf Altach II 27 29 62 -33 21
16 Kufstein 28 24 46 -22 19
17 Pinzgau Saalfelden 27 22 48 -26 23