Huesca · Modelo 37.2%
implícita 20.1%
Mercado de consenso principal · vehículo eléctrico: +4.3%
Veredicto final de apuestas
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
- Valor posible en 1X2: Huesca (+4.3% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Valor posible: Menos de 2.5 (+8.3% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Modelo magro (no es una apuesta predeterminada): {elegir}
Convicción moderada (5.5/10): una línea selectiva, no una apuesta por múltiples mercados.
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5
— Valor
Sí 58.7% · No 41.3%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -2.0% · EV No -10.0%
Lectura de valor: BTTS Sí
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 11.8%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Valor selectivo — Al menos un mercado rastreado puede alcanzar +EV con las mejores probabilidades, pero la convicción es limitada (5.5/10): tamaño reducido.
Fuerza de la decisión: 5.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
- Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado -8.5% ·
EV inferior +8.3%
(11 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -2.0% · EV No -10.0%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -2.0% · EV No -10.0%
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Estructura de Mercado + Ajuste de Riesgo)
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.38,
"away_win_prob": 0.3452,
"btts_no_prob": 0.414,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.587,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2824,
"fair_odds_away": 2.9,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.54,
"fair_odds_home": 2.69,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.44,
"home_win_prob": 0.3723,
"over_25_prob": 0.535,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"under_25_prob": 0.465
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Castell\u00f3n",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Castell\u00f3n"
},
"away_xg": 1.38,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Huesca",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1716,
"edge_gap": 0.0269,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2005,
"model_prob": 0.3721,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 34.5,
"draw": 28.3,
"home": 37.2
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 5.25
},
{
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"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 4.88
},
{
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"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 4.8
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 4.76
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 4.75
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 4.7
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 4.65
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"odd": 4.6
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],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 5.25,
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"display_market": "Huesca Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 4.99,
"market_odds": 4.65,
"model_odds": 2.69,
"overround": 7.2,
"prob_edge": 18.1,
"value_pct": 95.2,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 11,
"away_failed_to_score": 8,
"away_played": 40,
"away_score_rate": 74.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 10,
"home_failed_to_score": 10,
"home_played": 40,
"home_score_rate": 76.3,
"no_prob": 41.3,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 58.7,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 58.7
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.38,
"home_expected": 1.44,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Huesca or Draw",
"prob": 65.4
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Huesca or Castell\u00f3n",
"prob": 71.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Castell\u00f3n",
"prob": 62.7
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Huesca or Castell\u00f3n",
"pick_prob": 71.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.5,
"draw_pct": 28.2,
"home_pct": 37.2,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Huesca"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.82,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.0,
"over_prob": 53.5,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.82,
"under_prob": 46.5
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
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"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"edge": 95.3,
"implied_prob": 19.0,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Huesca Win",
"model_prob": 37.2,
"odds": 5.25
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.8
}
},
"home_xg": 1.44,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0851,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -8.5,
"text": "-8.5%"
},
"ev_under": 0.0835,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.3,
"text": "+8.3%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0835,
"over_prob": 53.5,
"sort_key": 10225.15,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 46.5,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0426,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 4.3,
"text": "+4.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2012,
"max_ev": 0.0426,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 4.3,
"text": "+4.3%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3721,
"side_label": "Huesca",
"sort_key": 10038.34,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0997,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -10.0,
"text": "-10.0%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.0197,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -2.0,
"text": "-2.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0197,
"no_prob": 41.3,
"sort_key": 1795.075,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 58.7
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 815.4,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.8
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 5254,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/5254.webp",
"away_team_name": "Castell\u00f3n",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
"country_name": "Spain",
"fixture_id": 1392205,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 726,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/726.webp",
"home_team_name": "Huesca",
"league_country": "Spain",
"league_id": 141,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/141.webp",
"league_name": "Segunda Divisi\u00f3n",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4027,
"best_odd": 1.64,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0883,
"ev": -0.2191,
"implied_prob": 0.5644,
"model_prob": 0.3452,
"p_final": 0.4761
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2782,
"best_odd": 3.95,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": -0.0211,
"implied_prob": 0.2343,
"model_prob": 0.2828,
"p_final": 0.2478
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1487,
"best_odd": 4.6,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0254,
"ev": 0.0426,
"implied_prob": 0.2012,
"model_prob": 0.3721,
"p_final": 0.2266
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.18,
"best_yes_odd": 1.67,
"edge_no": -0.0232,
"edge_yes": 0.0232,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0997,
"ev_yes": -0.0197,
"implied_no": 0.4362,
"implied_yes": 0.5638,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.71,
"best_under_odd": 2.33,
"edge_over": -0.0372,
"edge_under": 0.0372,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0851,
"ev_under": 0.0835,
"implied_over": 0.5722,
"implied_under": 0.4278,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.82,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0835,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.587,
"draw_prob": 0.2828,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3721,
"over_prob": 0.535,
"total_xg": 2.82,
"under_prob": 0.465,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0254,
"ev": 0.0426,
"implied_prob": 0.2012,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3721,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Huesca"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0232,
"ev": -0.0197,
"implied_prob": 0.5638,
"model_prob": 0.587,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0372,
"ev": 0.0835,
"implied_prob": 0.4278,
"model_prob": 0.465,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1392205,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0835,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3452,
"draw": 0.2828,
"home": 0.3721
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Castell\u00f3n",
"home": "Huesca"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.036886,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0835,
"implied_prob": 0.4278,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.465,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1392205,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T13:12:27.271964+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
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Segunda División — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 78 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 40 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 74 |
| 3 | Almeria | 40 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 71 |
| 4 | Malaga | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 69 |
| 6 | Castellón | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 66 |
| 7 | Burgos | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 66 |
| 8 | Eibar | 40 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 64 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 60 |
| 10 | FC Andorra | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 58 |
| 11 | Albacete | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 56 |
| 12 | Sporting Gijon | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 55 |
| 13 | AD Ceuta FC | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 55 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad II | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 46 |
| 16 | Valladolid | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 46 |
| 17 | Leganes | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 40 |
| 19 | Huesca | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 37 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 37 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 40 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 36 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 40 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 35 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 40 | 85 | 59 | +26 | 78 |
| 2 | Almeria | 40 | 79 | 60 | +19 | 71 |
| 3 | Malaga | 40 | 72 | 51 | +21 | 69 |
| 4 | Castellón | 40 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 66 |
| 5 | Deportivo La Coruna | 40 | 62 | 42 | +20 | 74 |
| 6 | FC Andorra | 40 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 40 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 60 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 40 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 55 |
| 9 | Las Palmas | 40 | 54 | 38 | +16 | 69 |
| 10 | Albacete | 40 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 56 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad II | 40 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 46 |
| 12 | Eibar | 40 | 49 | 38 | +11 | 64 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 40 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 48 |
| 14 | AD Ceuta FC | 40 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 55 |
| 15 | Burgos | 40 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 66 |
| 16 | Valladolid | 40 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
| 17 | Mirandes | 40 | 44 | 67 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Leganes | 40 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 43 |
| 19 | Huesca | 40 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 40 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 36 |
| 21 | Cadiz | 40 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 40 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 35 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 40 | 41.1 | 29.0 | +12.1 | 66 |
| 2 | Valladolid | 40 | 34.2 | 23.6 | +10.6 | 46 |
| 3 | Cordoba | 40 | 39.1 | 32.6 | +6.5 | 60 |
| 4 | Eibar | 40 | 38.5 | 32.4 | +6.1 | 64 |
| 5 | Racing Santander | 40 | 36.6 | 32.0 | +4.6 | 78 |
| 6 | Burgos | 40 | 32.1 | 27.9 | +4.2 | 66 |
| 7 | Malaga | 40 | 36.9 | 33.4 | +3.5 | 69 |
| 8 | Granada CF | 40 | 32.0 | 29.2 | +2.8 | 48 |
| 9 | Las Palmas | 40 | 22.9 | 20.6 | +2.3 | 69 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 40 | 30.2 | 28.3 | +1.9 | 74 |
| 11 | Albacete | 40 | 35.2 | 33.7 | +1.5 | 56 |
| 12 | Sporting Gijon | 40 | 30.8 | 29.4 | +1.4 | 55 |
| 13 | Almeria | 40 | 32.7 | 31.4 | +1.3 | 71 |
| 14 | Zaragoza | 40 | 30.6 | 30.5 | +0.1 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 40 | 34.1 | 35.4 | -1.3 | 43 |
| 16 | FC Andorra | 40 | 31.8 | 33.5 | -1.7 | 58 |
| 17 | Huesca | 40 | 27.3 | 29.6 | -2.3 | 37 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 40 | 30.7 | 38.6 | -7.9 | 46 |
| 19 | AD Ceuta FC | 40 | 35.3 | 44.9 | -9.6 | 55 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 40 | 28.2 | 38.8 | -10.6 | 37 |
| 21 | Cadiz | 40 | 26.9 | 39.4 | -12.5 | 40 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 40 | 29.1 | 42.3 | -13.2 | 36 |
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