AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

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      "away_win_prob": 0.5878,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2063,
      "fair_odds_away": 1.7,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.85,
      "fair_odds_home": 4.85,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.44,
      "home_win_prob": 0.206,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Malaga",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "AD Ceuta FC"
    },
    "away_xg": 2.45,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Malaga",
      "confidence": 58.8,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "medium",
        "display_text": "Winner : Malaga",
        "edge": 0.0518,
        "edge_gap": 0.3818,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.536,
        "model_prob": 0.5879,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 58.8,
          "draw": 20.6,
          "home": 20.6
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "away",
        "selection_name": "Malaga"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
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          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.8
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      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
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        "bookmaker_id": 0,
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        "display_market": "Malaga Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.87,
        "market_odds": 1.8,
        "model_odds": 1.7,
        "overround": 3.6,
        "prob_edge": 3.3,
        "value_pct": 5.9,
        "value_rating": "small_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 6,
        "away_played": 39,
        "away_score_rate": 91.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 39,
        "home_score_rate": 76.3,
        "no_prob": 29.3,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 70.7,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
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        "home_expected": 1.44,
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            "away": 2,
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          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 7.2
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            "away": 1,
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            "away": 2,
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            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 6.1
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "AD Ceuta FC or Draw",
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          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "AD Ceuta FC or Malaga",
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            "key": "X2",
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        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "AD Ceuta FC or Malaga",
        "pick_prob": 79.4
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        "away_pct": 58.8,
        "draw_pct": 20.6,
        "home_pct": 20.6,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Malaga"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 3.89,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 74.5,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 74.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.89,
        "under_prob": 25.5
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "edge": 5.9,
        "implied_prob": 55.6,
        "is_value": true,
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        "market": "Malaga Win",
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        "odds": 1.8
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
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      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 23.53,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 53.6,
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 60.3,
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          "model_pct": 74.5
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.7,
          "gap_pp": -14.2,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 25.5
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      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 4.22,
          "early": 4.22,
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          "closing": 1.6,
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        {
          "closing": 2.43,
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          "implied_early_pct": 39.7,
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        "gap_pp": 14.2,
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    },
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    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "tier": "lean"
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-2",
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      "away_team_id": 535,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/535.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Malaga",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
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      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 10139,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10139.webp",
      "home_team_name": "AD Ceuta FC",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 141,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/141.webp",
      "league_name": "Segunda Divisi\u00f3n",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 16:00:00",
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      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
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        "score": 8.0
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "implied_under": 0.4056,
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "total_xg": 3.89,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.707,
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          "total_xg": 3.89,
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          "xg_diff": 1.01
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        "btts": {
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      },
      "match_id": 1392199,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
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        "away": 0.5879,
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      "reason_codes": [
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
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        "away": "Malaga",
        "home": "AD Ceuta FC"
      },
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        "composite_score": 0.176341,
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T16:00:19.995730+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}