Predicciones / Fútbol / Spain. La Liga / Levante vs Osasuna

Levante vs Osasuna Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

May 08, 2026 - 19:00
3 1.19
2 1.09
xG Accuracy: 47%

Evaluación de pronóstico

Pronóstico confiable

Favorito
Levante Partido equilibrado
Probabilidad del modelo
36.5%
Acuerdo de mercado
Validación
Pendiente

Resumen:

Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Levante Levante ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
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      "away_win_prob": 0.3156,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3192,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.17,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.13,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.74,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.19,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3652,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
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      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Osasuna"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.09,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Levante",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0212,
        "edge_gap": 0.0455,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3862,
        "model_prob": 0.365,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 32.0,
          "home": 36.5
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
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          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
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        "bookmaker_id": 0,
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        "display_market": "Levante Win",
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        "label": "Home",
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        "model_odds": 2.74,
        "overround": 2.8,
        "prob_edge": -3.2,
        "value_pct": -8.0,
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 11,
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        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
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            "away": 0,
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          },
          {
            "away": 1,
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          },
          {
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        ],
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      "double_chance": {
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          {
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        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
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        "pick_prob": 68.4
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 31.9,
        "home_pct": 36.5,
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      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.28,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
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        "pick_prob": 60.1,
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      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.19,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_over": -0.1621,
        "ev_under": 0.19,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "sort_key": 5200.88,
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      },
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
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    ],
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      "away_team_id": 727,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/727.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Osasuna",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
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      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 539,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/539.webp",
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      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 140,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/140.webp",
      "league_name": "La Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
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            "best_odd": 3.01,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0023,
            "ev": -0.0338,
            "implied_prob": 0.3233,
            "model_prob": 0.3155,
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          },
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          "implied_under": 0.5053,
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          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
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      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.19,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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      },
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
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        "side": null
      },
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          "draw_prob": 0.3195,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.365,
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          "under_prob": 0.601,
          "xg_diff": 0.1
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "ev": -0.0501,
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          "side_label": "Levante"
        },
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          "value_side": "no"
        },
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        }
      },
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        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      },
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      ],
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      },
      "secondary_picks": [
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        }
      ],
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      "teams": {
        "away": "Osasuna",
        "home": "Levante"
      },
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        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.601,
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:59:12.810680+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Volver a Predicciones
La Liga La LigaClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 46
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 41
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 29
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Barcelona 38 95 36 +59 94
2 Real Madrid 38 77 35 +42 86
3 Villarreal 38 72 46 +26 72
4 Atletico Madrid 38 62 44 +18 69
5 Real Betis 38 59 48 +11 60
6 Real Sociedad 38 59 61 -2 46
7 Celta Vigo 38 53 48 +5 54
8 Elche 38 49 57 -8 43
9 Mallorca 38 47 57 -10 42
10 Levante 38 47 61 -14 42
11 Valencia 38 46 55 -9 49
12 Sevilla 38 46 60 -14 43
13 Osasuna 38 44 50 -6 42
14 Alaves 38 44 56 -12 43
15 Espanyol 38 43 55 -12 46
16 Athletic Club 38 43 58 -15 45
17 Rayo Vallecano 38 41 44 -3 50
18 Girona 38 39 55 -16 41
19 Getafe 38 32 38 -6 51
20 Oviedo 38 26 60 -34 29
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- Pts
1 Barcelona 38 86.7 45.6 +41.1 94
2 Real Madrid 38 74.8 40.1 +34.7 86
3 Villarreal 38 57.8 45.0 +12.8 72
4 Atletico Madrid 38 58.0 48.5 +9.5 69
5 Real Betis 38 54.7 45.5 +9.2 60
6 Athletic Club 38 49.4 40.5 +8.9 45
7 Valencia 38 49.3 46.3 +3.0 49
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 50.1 48.0 +2.1 50
9 Celta Vigo 38 49.7 49.4 +0.3 54
10 Alaves 38 46.1 47.4 -1.3 43
11 Osasuna 38 45.5 49.1 -3.6 42
12 Espanyol 38 48.4 53.8 -5.4 46
13 Real Sociedad 38 49.0 54.7 -5.7 46
14 Levante 38 51.5 59.3 -7.8 42
15 Girona 38 45.6 55.4 -9.8 41
16 Getafe 38 30.2 40.8 -10.6 51
17 Sevilla 38 38.0 54.0 -16.0 43
18 Mallorca 38 43.1 61.9 -18.8 42
19 Elche 38 40.5 60.1 -19.6 43
20 Oviedo 38 34.3 57.3 -23.0 29