Evaluación de pronóstico
Pronóstico confiable
- Favorito
- NK Osijek Ligeramente favorito
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 54.1%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- —
- Validación
- Pendiente
Resumen:
El modelo se inclina hacia el {equipo}, con una modesta separación de otros resultados. Monitoree el movimiento del mercado antes del inicio.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 NK Osijek Istra 1961 ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-0, 2-0, 1-1, 0-0, 2-1 0-1 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "c0fabe3cfca0846c2f97b014fa8e102d5d5b521db1a80c28e30737559251511e",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.75,
"away_win_prob": 0.1689,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2898,
"fair_odds_away": 5.92,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.45,
"fair_odds_home": 1.85,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.52,
"home_win_prob": 0.5412,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Istra 1961 and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : NK Osijek",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Istra 1961"
},
"away_xg": 0.75,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "NK Osijek",
"confidence": 54.1,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "Winner : NK Osijek",
"edge": 0.0356,
"edge_gap": 0.2509,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5053,
"model_prob": 0.5409,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 16.9,
"draw": 29.0,
"home": 54.1
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "NK Osijek"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.85
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.85,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "NK Osijek Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.98,
"market_odds": 1.85,
"model_odds": 1.85,
"overround": 7.0,
"prob_edge": 0.0,
"value_pct": 0.0,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 11,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 52.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 14,
"home_failed_to_score": 15,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 78.1,
"no_prob": 57.2,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 57.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 42.8
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.75,
"home_expected": 1.52,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 15.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 11.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 10.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "NK Osijek or Draw",
"prob": 83.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "NK Osijek or Istra 1961",
"prob": 71.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Istra 1961",
"prob": 45.9
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "NK Osijek or Draw",
"pick_prob": 83.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 16.9,
"draw_pct": 29.0,
"home_pct": 54.1,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "NK Osijek"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.27,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.8,
"over_prob": 39.6,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 60.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.27,
"under_prob": 60.4
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 2.9,
"implied_prob": 28.2,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 29.0,
"odds": 3.55
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 15.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.52,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2238,
"ev_under": 0.1657,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1657,
"over_prob": 39.6,
"sort_key": 10299.13,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 60.4,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1554,
"ev_yes": -0.2296,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1554,
"no_prob": 57.2,
"sort_key": 10139.86,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 42.8
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0278,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5053,
"max_ev": -0.0278,
"model_prob": 0.5409,
"side_label": "NK Osijek",
"sort_key": 1793.05,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 827.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 15.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1016,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1016.webp",
"away_team_name": "Istra 1961",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/hr.svg",
"country_name": "Croatia",
"fixture_id": 1384085,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 616,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/616.webp",
"home_team_name": "NK Osijek",
"league_country": "Croatia",
"league_id": 210,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/210.webp",
"league_name": "HNL",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1813,
"best_odd": 4.04,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0113,
"ev": -0.1109,
"implied_prob": 0.2314,
"model_prob": 0.169,
"p_final": 0.2201
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.288,
"best_odd": 3.55,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0077,
"ev": -0.0379,
"implied_prob": 0.2633,
"model_prob": 0.2901,
"p_final": 0.271
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5679,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0202,
"ev": -0.0278,
"implied_prob": 0.5053,
"model_prob": 0.5409,
"p_final": 0.5255
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.02,
"best_yes_odd": 1.8,
"edge_no": 0.0957,
"edge_yes": -0.0957,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1554,
"ev_yes": -0.2296,
"implied_no": 0.4763,
"implied_yes": 0.5237,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.96,
"best_under_odd": 1.93,
"edge_over": -0.0949,
"edge_under": 0.0949,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2238,
"ev_under": 0.1657,
"implied_over": 0.4909,
"implied_under": 0.5091,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.27,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1657,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.428,
"draw_prob": 0.2901,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5409,
"over_prob": 0.396,
"total_xg": 2.27,
"under_prob": 0.604,
"xg_diff": 0.77
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0202,
"ev": -0.0278,
"implied_prob": 0.5053,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.5409,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "NK Osijek"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0957,
"ev": 0.1554,
"implied_prob": 0.4763,
"model_prob": 0.572,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0949,
"ev": 0.1657,
"implied_prob": 0.5091,
"model_prob": 0.604,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1384085,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1657,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.169,
"draw": 0.2901,
"home": 0.5409
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1554,
"implied_prob": 0.4763,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.572,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1554,
"implied_prob": 0.4763,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.572,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Istra 1961",
"home": "NK Osijek"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.100083,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1657,
"implied_prob": 0.5091,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.604,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1384085,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T14:56:05.953596+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para NK Osijek & Istra 1961!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
HNL — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 86 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 68 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 54 |
| 4 | HNK Rijeka | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 43 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41 |
| 8 | HNK Gorica | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 41 |
| 9 | NK Osijek | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 35 |
| 10 | Vukovar | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 28 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 36 | 93 | 28 | +65 | 86 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 36 | 61 | 36 | +25 | 68 |
| 3 | HNK Rijeka | 36 | 49 | 36 | +13 | 53 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 36 | 47 | 46 | +1 | 54 |
| 5 | NK Slaven Belupo | 36 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 41 |
| 6 | HNK Gorica | 36 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 41 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 36 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 44 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 36 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 43 |
| 9 | Vukovar | 36 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 28 |
| 10 | NK Osijek | 36 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 35 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | xG | xGC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 36 | 69.3 | 25.5 | +43.8 | 86 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 36 | 66.5 | 36.7 | +29.8 | 68 |
| 3 | HNK Rijeka | 36 | 50.7 | 32.0 | +18.7 | 53 |
| 4 | HNK Gorica | 36 | 38.3 | 43.4 | -5.1 | 41 |
| 5 | NK Osijek | 36 | 38.2 | 43.3 | -5.1 | 35 |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 36 | 41.0 | 46.5 | -5.5 | 44 |
| 7 | NK Varazdin | 36 | 36.8 | 42.5 | -5.7 | 54 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 36 | 35.6 | 51.7 | -16.1 | 41 |
| 9 | Vukovar | 36 | 29.1 | 54.0 | -24.9 | 28 |
| 10 | Istra 1961 | 36 | 31.4 | 61.4 | -30.0 | 43 |