Predicciones / Fútbol / Croatia. HNL / Vukovar vs NK Osijek

Vukovar vs NK Osijek Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

May 02, 2026 - 15:00
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10% 45% 45%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ draw (Value)
Match: 45.0% draw; implied 30.0%; EV 49.9%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 49.9% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS No (EV 20.4%) — 59.6% model
Secondary (balanced value): NK Osijek (EV 5.8%) — 45.0% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Más / Menos de 2.5
Más de 2.5 46.9%
Menos de 2.5 53.1%
No value — this market is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no line clears the +EV threshold).
Ambos Equipos Marcarán
40.4%
No 59.6%
Selección de IA: BTTS No
Principales Predicciones de Marcador Correcto
1-1 12.6%
0-1 10.5%
1-0 9.4%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confianza: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -7.14% · EV Under -3.36% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -29.7% · EV No 20.39%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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HNL HNL — Standings
# EQUIPO PJ W D L PTS
1 Dinamo Zagreb 31 23 4 4 73
2 HNK Hajduk Split 31 18 6 7 60
3 NK Varazdin 31 13 8 10 47
4 HNK Rijeka 31 11 9 11 42
5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 31 10 10 11 40
6 NK Slaven Belupo 31 9 10 12 37
7 Istra 1961 31 10 6 15 36
8 HNK Gorica 31 9 8 14 35
9 NK Osijek 31 7 10 14 31
10 Vukovar 31 5 9 17 24
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dinamo Zagreb 31 83 25 +58 73
2 HNK Hajduk Split 31 51 29 +22 60
3 HNK Rijeka 31 41 36 +5 42
4 NK Slaven Belupo 31 41 50 -9 37
5 NK Varazdin 31 40 40 0 47
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 31 38 47 -9 40
7 HNK Gorica 31 36 43 -7 35
8 Istra 1961 31 35 46 -11 36
9 Vukovar 31 31 60 -29 24
10 NK Osijek 31 25 45 -20 31
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Dinamo Zagreb 31 62.0 22.4 +39.6 73
2 HNK Hajduk Split 31 57.5 27.2 +30.3 60
3 HNK Rijeka 31 43.2 28.9 +14.3 42
4 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 31 37.5 38.6 -1.1 40
5 HNK Gorica 31 35.1 38.6 -3.5 35
6 NK Osijek 31 31.6 40.8 -9.2 31
7 NK Varazdin 31 28.8 38.3 -9.5 47
8 NK Slaven Belupo 31 30.2 44.0 -13.8 37
9 Vukovar 31 24.2 44.2 -20.0 24
10 Istra 1961 31 27.1 54.0 -26.9 36