Sí 61.2% · No 38.8%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -11.87% · EV No 8.64%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5
— Valor (especulativo)
Por qué
El modelo tasa Stal Rzeszów (1X2) unos 4.5 puntos porcentuales por encima de la implícita de cierre — la lectura estructural principal frente a la línea.
Tychy 71 · Modelo 41.8%
implícita 49.8%
Mercado de consenso principal · vehículo eléctrico: -14.9%
Mejor línea disponible (casa de apuestas): +-2.8% vehículo eléctrico
Algunas cuotas outlier de casas de apuestas pueden seguir mostrando un pequeño valor teórico frente a la línea de consenso anterior.
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 10.3%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Oportunidad de valor — Al menos un mercado muestra +EV estimado con las mejores cuotas decimales actuales (umbral: 2.0%).
Fuerza de la decisión: 5.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
- Dos o más líneas +EV válidas en el umbral (+0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado -10.1% ·
EV inferior 9.44%
(11 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -11.87% · EV No 8.64%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -11.87% · EV No 8.64%
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Estructura de Mercado + Ajuste de Riesgo)
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
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"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
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"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
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"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"main_pick_meta": {
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"edge": -0.0798,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
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},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 4,
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"away_score_rate": 87.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
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"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 69.7,
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"pick": "No",
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"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 61.2
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"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.8,
"home_expected": 1.4,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.2
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
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"prob": 7.3
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.2
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 6.6
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Tychy 71 or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Tychy 71 or Stal Rzesz\u00f3w",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Stal Rzesz\u00f3w",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Tychy 71 or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Tychy 71"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.2,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
"over_prob": 62.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 62.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.2,
"under_prob": 38.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Stal Rzesz\u00f3w",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Tychy 71",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 49.75,
"gap_pp": -7.98,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 22.15,
"gap_pp": 3.52,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.1,
"gap_pp": 4.46,
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 65.04,
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},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.96,
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],
"movement": [
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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},
{
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},
{
"closing": 3.31,
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.43,
"early": 1.43,
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"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.66,
"early": 2.66,
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 4.5,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.3
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.101,
"ev_under": 0.0944,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0944,
"over_prob": 62.0,
"sort_key": 10234.96,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 38.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
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"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.067,
"ev_yes": -0.1187,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.067,
"no_prob": 38.8,
"sort_key": 10060.3,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 61.2
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1486,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4975,
"max_ev": -0.0284,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Tychy 71",
"sort_key": 1792.9,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 810.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.3
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 6957,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6957.webp",
"away_team_name": "Stal Rzesz\u00f3w",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1381822,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 3495,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3495.webp",
"home_team_name": "Tychy 71",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 107,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/107.webp",
"league_name": "I Liga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2799,
"best_odd": 3.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0125,
"ev": -0.0284,
"implied_prob": 0.281,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2935
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1894,
"best_odd": 4.2,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0067,
"ev": -0.0417,
"implied_prob": 0.2215,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2282
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5282,
"best_odd": 1.87,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0422,
"ev": -0.1486,
"implied_prob": 0.4975,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4553
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.75,
"best_yes_odd": 1.44,
"edge_no": 0.0442,
"edge_yes": -0.0443,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.067,
"ev_yes": -0.1187,
"implied_no": 0.3438,
"implied_yes": 0.6562,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.45,
"best_under_odd": 2.88,
"edge_over": -0.0314,
"edge_under": 0.0314,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.101,
"ev_under": 0.0944,
"implied_over": 0.6514,
"implied_under": 0.3486,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0944,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.612,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.62,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.38,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0422,
"ev": -0.1486,
"implied_prob": 0.4975,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Tychy 71"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0442,
"ev": 0.067,
"implied_prob": 0.3438,
"model_prob": 0.388,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0314,
"ev": 0.0944,
"implied_prob": 0.3486,
"model_prob": 0.38,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1381822,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0944,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Stal Rzesz\u00f3w",
"home": "Tychy 71"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.035872,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0944,
"implied_prob": 0.3486,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.38,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1381822,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T19:30:02.965637+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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I Liga — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 68 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 61 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Kraków | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 56 |
| 4 | Chrobry Głogów | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzów | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 53 |
| 6 | ŁKS Łódź | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 49 |
| 9 | Miedz Legnica | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49 |
| 10 | Polonia Bytom | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 47 |
| 11 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 44 |
| 12 | Odra Opole | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 44 |
| 13 | Stal Rzeszów | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 |
| 16 | Górnik Łęczna | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 |
| 17 | Znicz Pruszków | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25 |
| 18 | Tychy 71 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow | 33 | 70 | 32 | +38 | 68 |
| 2 | Wieczysta Kraków | 33 | 69 | 46 | +23 | 56 |
| 3 | Slask Wroclaw | 33 | 69 | 47 | +22 | 61 |
| 4 | Polonia Bytom | 33 | 55 | 46 | +9 | 47 |
| 5 | ŁKS Łódź | 33 | 53 | 47 | +6 | 51 |
| 6 | Ruch Chorzów | 33 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 53 |
| 7 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 33 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Polonia Warszawa | 33 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 50 |
| 9 | Miedz Legnica | 33 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 49 |
| 10 | Chrobry Głogów | 33 | 47 | 35 | +12 | 54 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 33 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 33 |
| 12 | Stal Rzeszów | 33 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 33 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 49 |
| 14 | Górnik Łęczna | 33 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 | Znicz Pruszków | 33 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 25 |
| 16 | Tychy 71 | 33 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 22 |
| 17 | Odra Opole | 33 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 44 |
| 18 | Pogoń Siedlce | 33 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
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