Predicciones / Fútbol / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice

Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

May 02, 2026 - 16:00
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10% 45% 45%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ draw (Value)
Match: 45.0% draw; implied 29.4%; EV 53.0%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 53.0% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Piast Gliwice (EV 39.5%) — 45.0% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Más / Menos de 2.5
Más de 2.5 44.3%
Menos de 2.5 55.7%
Selección de IA: Menos de 2.5
Ambos Equipos Marcarán
50.6%
No 49.4%
No value — BTTS is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no side clears the +EV threshold).
Principales Predicciones de Marcador Correcto
1-1 12.9%
1-0 10.8%
0-1 10.4%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confianza: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -13.62% · EV Under 3.05% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -11.45% · EV No -0.21%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa — Standings
# EQUIPO PJ W D L PTS
1 Lech Poznan 29 13 10 6 49
2 Gornik Zabrze 30 14 7 9 49
3 Jagiellonia 30 12 10 8 46
4 Raków Częstochowa 30 13 7 10 46
5 Wisla Plock 29 12 9 8 45
6 Zaglebie Lubin 30 12 8 10 44
7 GKS Katowice 30 13 5 12 44
8 Motor Lublin 29 9 12 8 39
9 Lechia Gdansk 30 12 7 11 38
10 Korona Kielce 30 10 8 12 38
11 Cracovia Krakow 30 9 11 10 38
12 Pogon Szczecin 30 11 5 14 38
13 Legia Warszawa 29 8 13 8 37
14 Radomiak Radom 29 9 10 10 37
15 Piast Gliwice 29 10 6 13 36
16 Arka Gdynia 29 9 7 13 34
17 Widzew Łódź 29 9 6 14 33
18 Nieciecza 30 7 7 16 28
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lechia Gdansk 30 57 54 +3 38
2 Lech Poznan 29 51 41 +10 49
3 Jagiellonia 30 48 37 +11 46
4 Radomiak Radom 29 45 43 +2 37
5 Gornik Zabrze 30 43 34 +9 49
6 Zaglebie Lubin 30 43 36 +7 44
7 Raków Częstochowa 30 43 37 +6 46
8 GKS Katowice 30 43 41 +2 44
9 Pogon Szczecin 30 40 45 -5 38
10 Motor Lublin 29 39 43 -4 39
11 Korona Kielce 30 37 36 +1 38
12 Nieciecza 30 36 55 -19 28
13 Cracovia Krakow 30 35 38 -3 38
14 Piast Gliwice 29 35 39 -4 36
15 Legia Warszawa 29 34 32 +2 37
16 Widzew Łódź 29 34 37 -3 33
17 Wisla Plock 29 32 27 +5 45
18 Arka Gdynia 29 30 50 -20 34
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 29 51.8 32.3 +19.5 49
2 Legia Warszawa 29 40.3 29.8 +10.5 37
3 Raków Częstochowa 30 45.4 35.4 +10.0 46
4 Lechia Gdansk 30 42.0 37.7 +4.3 38
5 Pogon Szczecin 30 46.7 43.8 +2.9 38
6 Radomiak Radom 29 39.2 37.6 +1.6 37
7 Gornik Zabrze 30 36.5 35.1 +1.4 49
8 Widzew Łódź 29 34.3 33.0 +1.3 33
9 Cracovia Krakow 30 33.3 32.0 +1.3 38
10 Piast Gliwice 29 36.9 36.1 +0.8 36
11 Korona Kielce 30 44.8 44.9 -0.1 38
12 Wisla Plock 29 37.6 38.7 -1.1 45
13 GKS Katowice 30 35.7 39.5 -3.8 44
14 Jagiellonia 30 36.0 41.2 -5.2 46
15 Zaglebie Lubin 30 29.7 36.8 -7.1 44
16 Motor Lublin 29 34.8 46.2 -11.4 39
17 Arka Gdynia 29 30.9 42.9 -12.0 34
18 Nieciecza 30 37.4 50.1 -12.7 28